Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: T1 vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-In
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8135c2f228040ab6712935d92602229c526c972efd23a9fce4724239a1802c75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- T1of T1, FULL SENSE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,266
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,550
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,266 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed T1 | 66c | 10,000$6,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,368.52 | 524 | 55.2%289 W · 235 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked FULL SENSE | 34c | 5,664$1,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,932.36 | 190 | 46.3%88 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8660…93edbacked T1 | 64c | 3,398$2,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.43 | 181 | 48.1%87 W · 94 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked FULL SENSE | 35c | 2,726$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.23 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed T1 | 66c | 2,689$1,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.6 | 184 | 57.1%105 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…89babacked FULL SENSE | 36c | 1,200$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…0103backed T1 | 65c | 1,132$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked FULL SENSE | 33c | 1,007$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.31 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed T1 | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed FULL SENSE | 34c | 882.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 186 | 47.8%89 W · 97 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed FULL SENSE | 33c | 879.52$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.24 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed FULL SENSE | 34c | 874.97$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.99 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked FULL SENSE | 36c | 847.22$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 297 | 33.3%99 W · 198 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed FULL SENSE | 35c | 800$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed T1 | 65c | 799.98$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.99 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed FULL SENSE | 34c | 750$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 932 | 48.1%448 W · 484 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed FULL SENSE | 33c | 747.46$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.66 | 420 | 35%147 W · 273 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed FULL SENSE | 15c | 547.55$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.13 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed FULL SENSE | 34c | 542.09$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.93 | 444 | 41.9%186 W · 258 L | -22.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FULL SENSE | 17c | 446.43$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.08 | 1,380 | 47.1%650 W · 730 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eba…0f3abacked FULL SENSE | 29c | 389.97$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.5 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked FULL SENSE | 35c | 335.74$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.82 | 604 | 54%326 W · 278 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…70e3backed FULL SENSE | 35c | 299.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked FULL SENSE | 35c | 285.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -17%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked FULL SENSE | 10c | 285.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 1,612 | 45.1%727 W · 885 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed FULL SENSE | 13c | 275$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 238 | 34%81 W · 157 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked FULL SENSE | 13c | 273.21$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.73 | 289 | 42.9%124 W · 165 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed FULL SENSE | 35c | 260.35$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.12 | 639 | 48%307 W · 332 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be7…8e91backed T1 | 65c | 205$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +143.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed FULL SENSE | 33c | 204$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94b9…2592backed FULL SENSE | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f38…a0edbacked T1 | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked FULL SENSE | 13c | 170.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 913 | 33.2%303 W · 610 L | -89.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked FULL SENSE | 13c | 157.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 1,607 | 37.5%603 W · 1,004 L | -75.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcda7…af42backed T1 | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…bfd8backed T1 | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 192 | 57.8%111 W · 81 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed FULL SENSE | 35c | 145$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…9ee3backed FULL SENSE | 14c | 140$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -8.4wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed FULL SENSE | 35c | 132.97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.96 | 283 | 52.3%148 W · 135 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…df57backed FULL SENSE | 27c | 129.39$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked FULL SENSE | 14c | 129$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 969 | 45%436 W · 533 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked FULL SENSE | 16c | 128.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 1,312 | 43.8%575 W · 737 L | -44.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked FULL SENSE | 35c | 120$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked FULL SENSE | 35c | 111.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked T1 | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 393 | 50.9%200 W · 193 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed FULL SENSE | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 251 | 46.6%117 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe8…accabacked T1 | 65c | 94.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed T1 | 65c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x845d…aef6backed FULL SENSE | 35c | 82.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked FULL SENSE | 36c | 79.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed FULL SENSE | 29c | 72.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 439 | 43.7%192 W · 247 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed T1 | 65c | 69.87$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 155 | 60.6%94 W · 61 L | +14.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6cab…8de4backed FULL SENSE | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed FULL SENSE | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed FULL SENSE | 34c | 54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed FULL SENSE | 36c | 51.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed FULL SENSE | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked T1 | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed FULL SENSE | 36c | 47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed T1 | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 185 | 65.4%121 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef1…4a76backed T1 | 65c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed FULL SENSE | 34c | 41.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3064…6e6fbacked FULL SENSE | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…5330backed T1 | 65c | 40.23$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed FULL SENSE | 36c | 40.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 136 | 61%83 W · 53 L | +14.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked T1 | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 575 | 50.6%291 W · 284 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked T1 | 80c | 16.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.32 | 783 | 44.1%345 W · 438 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: T1 vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs FULL SENSE (+1.5)T1 won
- Valorant: T1 vs FULL SENSE - Map 2 WinnerT1 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.