Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: T1 vs FULL SENSE - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x545a2eb730effe8c3b92ed80f5f6839e8d186575f7e15be3e387986b7c5c58a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- T1of T1, FULL SENSE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,990
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,318
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,990 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8725…eb10backed T1 | 61c | 1,950$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.38 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…41f9backed FULL SENSE | 38c | 1,084$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.46 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf33…0353backed FULL SENSE | 43c | 513.91$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.94 | 333 | 46.5%155 W · 178 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FULL SENSE | 40c | 498.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.25 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked T1 | 62c | 485.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.23 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked FULL SENSE | 26c | 402.56$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.28 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4850backed FULL SENSE | 20c | 249.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.85 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked FULL SENSE | 31c | 135.14$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.37 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed FULL SENSE | 41c | 123.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 42.7%47 W · 63 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0aa…96f5backed T1 | 64c | 106.12$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed FULL SENSE | 27c | 103$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked T1 | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed FULL SENSE | 17c | 95.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 463 | 47.1%218 W · 245 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked T1 | 68c | 95$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked FULL SENSE | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed FULL SENSE | 33c | 78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked FULL SENSE | 28c | 76.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FULL SENSE | 39c | 69.64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed FULL SENSE | 39c | 67.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed T1 | 62c | 64.58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 391 | 66%258 W · 133 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked FULL SENSE | 30c | 64.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked FULL SENSE | 42c | 60.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed FULL SENSE | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed FULL SENSE | 27c | 58.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec7…4a76backed T1 | 62c | 50.96$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked FULL SENSE | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked T1 | 60c | 49.13$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 321 | 57.6%185 W · 136 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…e415backed T1 | 61c | 42.77$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed FULL SENSE | 46c | 41.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a7…ca43backed FULL SENSE | 47c | 28.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed T1 | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…c297backed T1 | 62c | 19.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4442…238cbacked T1 | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda7…af42backed T1 | 61c | 17.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed T1 | 79c | 12.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.66 | 241 | 40.2%97 W · 144 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: T1 vs FULL SENSE - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs FULL SENSE (+1.5)T1 won
- Valorant: T1 vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-InT1 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.