TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1ccd…5330

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
602
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweetslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT19020.5%39 W · 151 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 190 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.09
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$19.5
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+410.2%+$482.4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.37
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+300%+$75
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$70
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$28.11
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$92
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$65
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.2
Showing 25 of 190 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT16552.7%87 W · 78 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 165 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+225.3%+$227.14
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$427Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$426.99
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$9.25
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.35
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$96
Will Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$34
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$40
West Ham United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
West Ham United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+92.3%+$27.69
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$67
Newcastle United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+45.8%+$17.85
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$39.29
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+56.3%+$28.13
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$41
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+37%+$6.66
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 165 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: T1 vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
Valorant: ONSIDE GAMING vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked ONSIDE GAMING · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$25.2
Valorant: T1 vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Valorant: DRX vs Sharper Esport (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16
Valorant: DRX vs Sharper Esport - Map 2 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.2
Valorant: ZETA DIVISION vs Xipto Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked ZETA DIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$17.2
Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs QT DIG∞ (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.8
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Valorant: ONSIDE GAMING vs Team Secret (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked ONSIDE GAMING · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$17.2
Valorant: T1 vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$14.08
Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Sharper Esport (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked Sharper Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$18.3
Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Sharper Esport - Map 2 Winnerbacked DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Valorant: DRX vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$14
Valorant: Team Secret vs Xipto Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked Xipto Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs QT DIG∞ (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked QT DIG∞ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Sharper Esport (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.2
Valorant: Global Esports vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$14.5
Valorant: DRX vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.5
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs FULL SENSE - Map 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Valorant: Team Secret vs DetonatioN FocusMe - Map 2 Winnerbacked DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
Valorant: VARREL vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked VARREL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$29
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs Rex Regum Qeon (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$28.5
Valorant: T1 vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.5
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2356.5%13 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+72.8%+$14.57
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.5
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$23.65
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.42
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.65
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.6
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$40.45
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs PARIVISION (+2.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+42.9%+$36
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 3 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+53.8%+$35
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+78.6%+$88
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+40.8%+$58
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$80.7
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+41.6%+$133.16
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
All 23 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST1968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+36.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+47.1%+$23.53
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+77.1%+$21.77
Knicks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+376.2%+$75.24
Raptors vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Nets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+48.5%+$16.33
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Magic vs. Bulls: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$48.04
Pistons vs. Lakersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+51.5%+$51.52
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+127.3%+$27.99
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+63.9%+$39
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$76
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$53
Spread: Hawks (-5.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+81.8%+$45
Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+96.1%+$49
Kings vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+33.7%+$25.22
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+100%+$50
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+100%+$101.04
Warriors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 19 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1921.1%4 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick16cpaid-31.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+321.3%+$228.8
Will Golden - KPop Demon Hunters win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.2
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will F1 win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Sinners win Best Original Score at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.14
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.91
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.2
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash win Best Visual Effects at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.08
Will "Hamnet" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$207
Will One Battle After Another win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.46
Will Frankenstein win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.21
Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.55
Will KPop Demon Hunters win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$87.32
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+128.3%+$68.39
Will Will Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$16.5
All 19 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$82.9
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+45.9%+$75.19
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+194.1%+$38.82
Will Athletic Club vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$76
Will Villarreal CF vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+28.2%+$16.36
Will Girona FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Girona FC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Girona FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+58.7%+$93.97
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+244.8%+$46.13
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2025-12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+51.5%+$14.34
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$48.52
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+29.9%+$42.42
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$30.55
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Girona FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+92.3%+$46.15
All 19 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+72.9%+$42.66
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+29.9%+$46
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+170.3%+$175.35
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+47.1%+$42.63
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+49.3%+$31.41
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$128
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$71.75
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$25.83
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Club Brugge KV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$36.72
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10.84
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$33.75
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+397.1%+$445.63
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$15.78
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+129%+$117.28
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+26.6%+$12.86
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1513.3%2 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-37.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.5
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+651.9%+$260.1
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.5
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Argentina vs. Egypt: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.6
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.1
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$21.6
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.57
Will Morocco win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$66
Will Zambia win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 15 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST140%0 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$368.88
Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$37.6
Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Will Alan Dershowitz be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$147.62
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Prince Andrew be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Will Bill Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$194.58
Will Bill Gates be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Epstein Data Set 9 be released before March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$290.71
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$657Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$657.24
All 14 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+46.5%+$31.75
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$24.5
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$17.75
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+112.8%+$56.38
Spread: Falcons (-3.5)backed Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: 49ers (-1.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+66.7%+$40
Lions vs. Vikings: O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: 49ers (-6.5)backed Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$57
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+133%+$66.51
Dolphins vs. Steelersbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$63
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)backed Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$143
All 12 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.56
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on June 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.99
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.99
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$13.5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.43
Will there be 18–20 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+617.6%+$103.97
Will there be 20 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Will there be 10-12 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$245.14
All 12 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Senators (-1.5)backed Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Utah vs. Rangersbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+96.1%+$48.04
Senators vs. Maple Leafsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Kings (-1.5)backed Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+78.6%+$51.07
Golden Knights vs. Flamesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Wild vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Penguins vs. Senatorsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Devils vs. Golden Knightsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+44.9%+$44.93
Ducks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Panthers vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+81.8%+$22.5
All 10 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick16cpaid+41.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick30cpaid+99.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+45.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+76%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+79.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+79.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Texas State (-16.5)backed Rice · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Pittsburgh (-10.5)backed East Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+96.1%+$49
Washington State vs. Utah Statebacked Utah State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Alabama vs. Oklahomabacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 4 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+166.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-27.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+37%+$13.5
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ (BO3)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$58
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+104.1%+$52.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$92
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.