Token Launches · resolved market
Zama FDV above $300M one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce2c89e6dbc3a499d8f7b54096da5f6cfe34002efded9f3e9b9922f97829927e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $439,619
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $438,525
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $439,619 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 269 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8eb2…fea3backed No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e8…e169backed No | 2c | 11,497$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x841f…806bbacked Yes | 45c | 9,550$4,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,263.57 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca53…d319backed Yes | 74c | 9,073$6,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,397.93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1aab…773bbacked No | 18c | 7,489$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,327.83 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…deb7backed No | 20c | 7,343$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.64 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x996c…1c8cbacked No | 29c | 7,095$2,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,085.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed Yes | 48c | 6,874$3,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,565.01 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f06…39c7backed No | 8c | 6,659$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.71 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20cd…5634backed Yes | 70c | 6,460$4,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.19 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed No | 15c | 5,839$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.13 | 153 | 62.7%96 W · 57 L | +22.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e6…4bd4backed No | 18c | 5,659$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.06 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef94…f8c4backed No | 40c | 5,477$2,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,173.92 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 25c | 5,129$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.65 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…593dbacked Yes | 67c | 4,848$3,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,623.22 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -14.9wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…41d5backed No | 11c | 4,053$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.24 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb7…dad6backed No | 28c | 3,551$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.71 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…256abacked No | 2c | 3,401$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.87 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77e4…d18fbacked No | 11c | 3,166$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.22 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…90d4backed No | 10c | 3,139$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79f8…44f1backed No | 40c | 3,008$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…4652backed Yes | 80c | 3,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed No | 1c | 3,000$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 159 | 41.5%66 W · 93 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c73…44f4backed No | 24c | 2,903$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.81 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…160ebacked No | 35c | 2,867$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd946…ccf7backed No | 1c | 2,778$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9702…1042backed No | 70c | 2,745$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2090…2246backed No | 8c | 2,666$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc3…8548backed No | 14c | 2,590$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.4 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc59a…5bbfbacked Yes | 56c | 2,545$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.75 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked Yes | 52c | 2,469$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.47 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +13.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x197c…9b94backed No | 13c | 2,446$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.16 | 130 | 23.8%31 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57e4…835ebacked No | 10c | 2,400$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.81 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 11c | 2,360$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.81 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ca…960bbacked No | 7c | 2,333$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.6 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…47c4backed Yes | 60c | 2,250$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.75 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6452…30a1backed No | 18c | 2,182$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +12.0wins | +0.19per pick | 32cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…9628backed No | 1c | 2,127$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 69 | 11.6%8 W · 61 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x79d4…6d24backed Yes | 62c | 2,063$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.44 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5c…a5debacked Yes | 19c | 2,009$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.76 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1161…729abacked No | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2616…8d3cbacked No | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…c691backed No | 30c | 1,913$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.94 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 21c | 1,862$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.06 | 357 | 12.9%46 W · 311 L | -29.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x969b…db70backed No | 1c | 1,667$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed No | 80c | 1,635$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b7…7d51backed Yes | 79c | 1,610$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.74 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +13.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2907…9c3fbacked Yes | 61c | 1,459$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…a3d6backed Yes | 25c | 1,453$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.6 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b28…e046backed No | 6c | 1,298$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 13c | 1,232$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.08 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2e…8abfbacked No | 5c | 1,200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked No | 10c | 1,128$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.09 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c9…0f2bbacked No | 45c | 1,117$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.58 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +13.4wins | +0.24per pick | 31cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x006d…06f8backed No | 79c | 1,074$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.57 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 33c | 1,045$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.21 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 14c | 1,030$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.1 | 209 | 4.3%9 W · 200 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fe…4a24backed No | 26c | 1,021$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 125 | 28%35 W · 90 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c1…51aabacked No | 20c | 1,019$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae5…910abacked No | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…f596backed No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe182…b624backed No | 9c | 1,000$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 112 | 25.9%29 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b55…14f2backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +397.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcae9…c13bbacked No | 11c | 999.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 6c | 999.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 328 | 3%10 W · 318 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…5330backed No | 8c | 999.97$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce1d…1b9bbacked Yes | 28c | 999.81$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.76 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea5…3fdabacked Yes | 77c | 980.63$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.03 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f50…0eafbacked No | 41c | 967$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fd…83b5backed No | 5c | 900$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 41c | 896.81$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.03 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Yes | 79c | 860.65$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.86 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81b4…d205backed No | 12c | 823.28$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.77 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 40cpaid | -83%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…74adbacked Yes | 24c | 813.59$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.59 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e9…1812backed Yes | 39c | 812.31$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.61 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12e6…ea33backed Yes | 73c | 787.75$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.73 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…2c41backed No | 52c | 773.15$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x322e…a2cebacked No | 5c | 761$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x68d7…1c0bbacked No | 48c | 751.04$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…07bcbacked No | 15c | 719.11$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.26 | 55 | 3.6%2 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.13per pick | 16cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 17c | 713.6$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.94 | 349 | 5.7%20 W · 329 L | -25.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b44…ec4ebacked Yes | 59c | 712.31$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.84 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad4…3d8cbacked No | 7c | 710.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +44%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2c…898abacked No | 5c | 705.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.26 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed No | 6c | 702.81$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.71 | 123 | 4.1%5 W · 118 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked No | 6c | 700$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 124 | 3.2%4 W · 120 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…73e3backed Yes | 8c | 695.49$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.63 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 4c | 688.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 193 | 36.3%70 W · 123 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…4e07backed No | 13c | 660$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.18 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…3c35backed No | 16c | 644$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.01 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +107.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…f3a3backed No | 30c | 631.83$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed No | 7c | 600$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 134 | 3.7%5 W · 129 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe730…e424backed No | 9c | 600$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.4 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d80…ee14backed No | 79c | 600$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4273…19d8backed No | 15c | 600$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.7 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 9c | 584.57$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 233 | 3.4%8 W · 225 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 6c | 571.81$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 244 | 2%5 W · 239 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cb…3f69backed No | 21c | 544.42$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.72 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5c…718dbacked No | 12c | 540.46$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5f…1d83backed No | 4c | 508.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Zama FDV above $300M one day after launch?this page
- Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?No won
- Zama FDV above $2B one day after launch?No won
- Zama FDV above $3B one day after launch?No won
- Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?No won
- Zama FDV above $4B one day after launch?No won
- Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?No won
- Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?No won
- Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.