Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2894eb020b5423d702c66ba412cc4d7a09cd1aedf0a27aa332a064dd0db22c7

Rebuilt 18 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 3, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,441,943
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,470,606

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,441,943 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 427 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xefbb…2e36backed No	28c	500,000$140,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$360,000	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.2wins	+0.60per pick	40cpaid	+174.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6af1…6d4bbacked Yes	72c	500,000$360,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360,000	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.2wins	-0.60per pick	60cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf74b…95cbbacked Yes	2c	66,154$1,210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,209.63	63	14.3%9 W · 54 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Yes	32c	10,908$3,443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,443.38	68	36.8%25 W · 43 L	+4.6wins	+0.07per pick	30cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe71c…dcbcbacked Yes	76c	10,300$7,828 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,828	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.8wins	-0.76per pick	76cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8944…41d5backed No	39c	10,022$3,923 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,099.12	25	32%8 W · 17 L	+2.4wins	+0.09per pick	23cpaid	-9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes	21c	9,214$1,955 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,955.28	105	21.9%23 W · 82 L	+4.2wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbd1…6feebacked Yes	54c	8,405$4,514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,513.91	54	48.1%26 W · 28 L	+6.9wins	+0.13per pick	35cpaid	+14%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3cc4…4afcbacked No	35c	7,524$2,633 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,890.6	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.65per pick	35cpaid	+185.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a58…3356backed Yes	23c	7,341$1,662 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,662.09	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc903…b175backed No	44c	7,079$3,123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,956.47	38	57.9%22 W · 16 L	+5.3wins	+0.14per pick	44cpaid	+46.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xef94…f8c4backed No	50c	6,646$3,306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,339.41	37	56.8%21 W · 16 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66f2…de1fbacked Yes	17c	5,726$1,001 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000.93	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-53.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd249…678fbacked Yes	57c	5,588$3,183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,183.14	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-2.2wins	-0.22per pick	32cpaid	-85.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1b2…a321backed No	39c	5,423$2,095 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,328.55	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+2.1wins	+0.12per pick	29cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca53…d319backed Yes	58c	4,837$2,808 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,807.77	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-2.0wins	-0.34per pick	67cpaid	-54.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes	31c	4,592$1,442 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,442.08	28	10.7%3 W · 25 L	-3.4wins	-0.12per pick	23cpaid	-69.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5897…3dd0backed Yes	57c	4,581$2,620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,619.99	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-45%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f5c…a5debacked No	42c	4,471$1,879 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,592.15	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	+1.8wins	+0.08per pick	27cpaid	+23.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4ba…7b2fbacked Yes	64c	4,322$2,781 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,781.26	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.15per pick	37cpaid	-61.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb1b…efb5backed No	74c	4,198$3,098 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,100.7	56	57.1%32 W · 24 L	+11.4wins	+0.20per pick	37cpaid	+74.3%equal weight	66+0.14 edge/pick
0xce1d…1b9bbacked No	76c	4,194$3,188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,006.04	100	45%45 W · 55 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-15%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe955…3b03backed No	36c	4,042$1,455 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,586.67	42	38.1%16 W · 26 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3887…0bcdbacked No	38c	4,000$1,520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,480	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2acb…7b31backed Yes	63c	4,000$2,520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,520	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.2wins	-0.62per pick	62cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9d3…212ebacked Yes	65c	3,850$2,502 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,502.2	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.65per pick	65cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc82f…460dbacked Yes	58c	3,754$2,168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,167.94	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.7wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-22%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e97…871fbacked Yes	65c	3,674$2,388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,388.1	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.65per pick	65cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c55…9e26backed Yes	63c	3,170$1,997 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,997	46	41.3%19 W · 27 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-34%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb045…d8bcbacked Yes	57c	3,090$1,777 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,776.6	33	27.3%9 W · 24 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bc3…8548backed No	50c	2,971$1,493 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,477.7	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	27cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35cb…bd5fbacked No	40c	2,957$1,179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,777.48	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+3.9wins	+0.18per pick	39cpaid	+45.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5b23…4528backed No	41c	2,942$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,741.63	46	60.9%28 W · 18 L	+5.9wins	+0.13per pick	48cpaid	+53.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1084…d520backed Yes	68c	2,929$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	55	38.2%21 W · 34 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…c691backed No	33c	2,563$842 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,720.78	40	50%20 W · 20 L	+4.9wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+37.1%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0a19…f887backed Yes	63c	2,400$1,512 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,512	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	32c	2,311$739 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$739.37	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-50%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb343…46bbbacked No	36c	2,274$818 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,456.05	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+2.7wins	+0.18per pick	29cpaid	+22.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6484…9aebbacked Yes	62c	2,200$1,364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,364	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29b3…6b74backed Yes	46c	2,200$1,012 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,012	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36c5…8a6bbacked No	54c	2,200$1,188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,012	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+47.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x58aa…a481backed No	46c	2,176$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,176.27	49	59.2%29 W · 20 L	+3.5wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a47…740bbacked No	36c	2,160$780 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,380	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+50.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Yes	22c	2,051$448 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$448	254	22%56 W · 198 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x296d…70f9backed No	35c	2,000$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,300	57	43.9%25 W · 32 L	+4.8wins	+0.08per pick	36cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb3cf…4723backed No	17c	2,000$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,659.99	81	54.3%44 W · 37 L	+6.4wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa173…3315backed No	35c	2,000$705 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,294.99	55	41.8%23 W · 32 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked No	36c	1,987$708 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,278.63	141	41.8%59 W · 82 L	+8.8wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x63a1…146dbacked No	80c	1,900$1,520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$380	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	71cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0b9…74d8backed No	69c	1,852$1,272 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$579.41	27	70.4%19 W · 8 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	65cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2b6…69e9backed Yes	62c	1,800$1,116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,116	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked No	78c	1,796$1,397 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$399.11	75	45.3%34 W · 41 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22d1…b52bbacked No	44c	1,787$786 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000.61	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	33cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8a9…2f62backed No	31c	1,755$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,205.39	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+2.8wins	+0.40per pick	31cpaid	+215.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbb50…7bfcbacked No	48c	1,671$803 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$867.83	83	44.6%37 W · 46 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4e6…4bd4backed No	64c	1,633$1,045 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$587.53	88	54.5%48 W · 40 L	+6.0wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3060…54babacked Yes	3c	1,623$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.41	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd608…08c5backed Yes	63c	1,600$1,008 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,008	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes	9c	1,600$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.8	233	3.4%8 W · 225 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-64.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	2c	1,599$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.06	328	3%10 W · 318 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x349d…7d6abacked No	40c	1,550$624 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$926	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.47per pick	53cpaid	+101.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4821…a2ddbacked No	33c	1,518$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,018.25	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+31%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9fc…6033backed Yes	40c	1,500$595 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$594.99	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xde90…76b1backed No	78c	1,495$1,160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$334.5	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.5wins	+0.22per pick	49cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7b3…be6cbacked Yes	21c	1,447$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.61	58	32.8%19 W · 39 L	+4.4wins	+0.08per pick	25cpaid	+29.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8f7…86d5backed Yes	56c	1,434$808 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$807.78	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-2.1wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No	78c	1,405$1,097 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$308.14	80	32.5%26 W · 54 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3df7…f332backed No	38c	1,363$525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$838.38	53	52.8%28 W · 25 L	+3.3wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x82a9…e3efbacked No	55c	1,300$715 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$584.99	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed No	63c	1,298$812 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$485.56	179	48%86 W · 93 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bc3…73d1backed No	56c	1,292$726 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$566.53	103	40.8%42 W · 61 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5d6…700bbacked Yes	49c	1,200$588 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$588	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x20cd…5634backed Yes	58c	1,200$694 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$693.99	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-2.0wins	-0.14per pick	60cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	23c	1,195$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275.75	357	12.9%46 W · 311 L	-29.9wins	-0.08per pick	21cpaid	-55.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x56bf…3f74backed Yes	1c	1,113$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb401…df2abacked No	31c	1,093$343 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$750.2	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+2.0wins	+0.16per pick	15cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f5c…7af3backed Yes	56c	1,073$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.13per pick	53cpaid	+30.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e2e…8abfbacked No	18c	1,005$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$820.29	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x841f…806bbacked Yes	4c	1,000$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.2	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-38%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6138…97a0backed No	35c	1,000$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$650	159	41.5%66 W · 93 L	+9.4wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd2d…84e6backed No	33c	999.99$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$669.99	72	40.3%29 W · 43 L	+6.8wins	+0.09per pick	31cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe716…1450backed Yes	42c	994.11$413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$413.44	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-2.6wins	-0.32per pick	45cpaid	-77.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x162c…07a3backed No	49c	974.72$479 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$495.44	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+103.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91b2…f617backed Yes	20c	943.47$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.08	21	19%4 W · 17 L	-4.5wins	-0.22per pick	41cpaid	-72.1%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf44e…dcfabacked Yes	80c	934.58$748 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$747.66	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.3wins	-0.42per pick	75cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd062…7929backed Yes	65c	850$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c40…3575backed Yes	76c	847.05$645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$645.17	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	+31.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd808…6f89backed Yes	49c	842.81$411 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$411.19	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ad4…3d8cbacked Yes	39c	840.39$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330.69	147	32%47 W · 100 L	+12.7wins	+0.09per pick	23cpaid	+44%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe2b9…57bebacked Yes	60c	834.55$497 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$497.39	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6452…30a1backed No	62c	811.63$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$311.63	63	50.8%32 W · 31 L	+12.0wins	+0.19per pick	32cpaid	+108.3%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0x250c…2774backed Yes	2c	799.98$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	142	4.2%6 W · 136 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a79…d6cebacked No	44c	763.89$333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$431.28	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57e4…835ebacked No	80c	755.11$601 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.29	77	59.7%46 W · 31 L	+4.1wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad23…47c4backed Yes	15c	750$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.5	107	63.6%68 W · 39 L	+11.1wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8138…3c88backed No	47c	729.72$342 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$387.68	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+41%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2090…2246backed No	57c	729.06$415 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$314.26	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77e4…d18fbacked No	21c	704.76$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$556.85	57	36.8%21 W · 36 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe95e…61f2backed No	23c	651.63$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$502.2	150	41.3%62 W · 88 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2220…9f1cbacked No	40c	631.18$254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$377.49	38	36.8%14 W · 24 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?this page
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?No won
Zama FDV above $2B one day after launch?No won
Zama FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes won
Zama FDV above $3B one day after launch?No won
Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?No won
Zama FDV above $4B one day after launch?No won
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?No won
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event