TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc903…b175

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
273
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 59 out of 100; worst Premier League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT17744.6%79 W · 98 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 177 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$407Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$407
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$436Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$436.06
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$155
LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.92
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$790
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+375.4%+$807.31
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.5
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+541.6%+$1,019.72
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$779Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$258.18
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$245
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.18
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$246.47
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$770Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$770.05
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$991Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$991.44
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: GAM Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winnerbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$175.49
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$61.64
LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winnerbacked DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+43.5%+$89.7
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$257.01
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$99.06
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$301.32
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$265
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$263.04
LoL: Team WE vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$421Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+66.2%+$278.8
LoL: Team WE vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+146%+$260.52
Showing 25 of 177 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT3857.9%22 W · 16 L+5.3wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+46.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$479Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$585.22
MegaETH FDV above $1.2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$699Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$699
MegaETH FDV above $1.6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$883Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$883.28
MegaETH FDV above $1.4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$726Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$1,088.36
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,480Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$1,520
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$6,111Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+180.9%+$11,053.94
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,039Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+122.8%+$2,503.92
Sentio FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+150%+$123
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$6,381Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+80.7%+$5,149.96
Katana FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,250
Katana FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,170
Katana FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,335Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,334.6
Fabric FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$255
Flying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,620Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+85.2%+$1,380
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$415Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+249.8%+$1,036.37
Superform FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,214Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$1,214.19
Rainbow FDV above $70M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,884Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$2,884.46
Rainbow FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,516Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,516.25
Tria FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,700Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+47.1%+$800
Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+233.3%+$863.95
Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,123Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+126.7%+$3,956.47
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,347Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$2,346.94
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$5,107Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$5,106.83
Moonbirds FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$804Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+25%+$201
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+44.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14.92
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,520Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,520
Will Hyperliquid reach $44 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$126.5
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,520Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,519.99
Will Hyperliquid reach $40 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,840Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,839.99
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,880Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,879.99
Will Hyperliquid reach $40 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+100%+$22.5
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,440Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+63.9%+$1,560
Will XRP reach $1.80 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,370Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$630
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 February 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$640
Will Solana dip to $70 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$957Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+517.3%+$4,952.58
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$787Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+270.4%+$2,129.09
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 December 29-January 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$270.42
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 December 29-January 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+426.3%+$1,215
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick9cpaid-77.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$254.1
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,714Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$571.29
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$780
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$2,660Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,660.28
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$875Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$875
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$352.75
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$414.46
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,800
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$5,552Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,552.16
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$640
Will China PR vs. Thailand end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$570
Will Thailand win on 2026-06-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.6
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-39.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.62
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$772Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$493.74
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$643Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$642.94
Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$119
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$950Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$950.33
Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)backed FK Bodø/Glimt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$640
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Brugge KV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,079.99
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)backed FK Bodø/Glimt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,260Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+58.7%+$740
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)backed FK Bodø/Glimt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$820Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+143.9%+$1,179.98
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$480
All 14 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+156.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+123.6%+$3,870
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,361Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,360.51
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$419Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$418.56
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$389Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$634.86
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.