Ligue 1 · resolved market
Paris FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26b7183b47a0b6c3bf5c6aa07de3c24962c67fa2294f5d6548d61317fbf734fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,102
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,102 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 56c | 8,701$4,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,868.95 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…5780backed Over | 40c | 6,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.84 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Under | 31c | 4,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.95 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 61c | 3,095$1,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890.51 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 40c | 2,325$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.05 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…8793backed Over | 27c | 1,442$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +47%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 1,364$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.01 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc903…b175backed Under | 32c | 1,308$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 63c | 1,068$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.71 | 227 | 45.8%104 W · 123 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Over | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 69c | 864.05$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.27 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 71c | 588.85$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.83 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b18…2c5ebacked Under | 33c | 460.18$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Over | 69c | 433.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.75 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab88…3761backed Under | 74c | 400$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Over | 68c | 399.99$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 65c | 343.53$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.89 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 69c | 299.87$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.06 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 32c | 260.69$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.45 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 67c | 259.13$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.51 | 260 | 41.9%109 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 68c | 251.32$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.42 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 69c | 237.52$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.52 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 59c | 211.86$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.86 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 67c | 202.7$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.9 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e02…3667backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 43c | 197.79$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.79 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed Under | 14c | 195.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 56c | 190$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Under | 33c | 182.7$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -6.7wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Under | 32c | 169$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -49%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Over | 58c | 160.87$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa2…dc0abacked Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…c154backed Under | 40c | 125.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 38c | 121.49$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.45 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 15c | 121$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.84 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Over | 70c | 107.14$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 68c | 98.7$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 233 | 42.5%99 W · 134 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 59c | 84.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…6eebbacked Under | 30c | 81.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…aa08backed Under | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 29c | 77.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 68c | 75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 68c | 72.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeec3…6bd2backed Under | 34c | 70.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…0df5backed Over | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Over | 69c | 64.3$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…f183backed Over | 69c | 62$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68d1…f166backed Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6c…0319backed Over | 43c | 58.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.34per pick | 32cpaid | +117.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…8ba9backed Over | 48c | 56.25$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Over | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 65c | 48.56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb208…e0b2backed Over | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Over | 71c | 40.85$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0dca…a234backed Over | 40c | 37.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -64%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443f…4539backed Over | 46c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Over | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 45c | 35.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 132 | 50.8%67 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8684…bfaabacked Under | 31c | 32.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Over | 42c | 31.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 63c | 29.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 228 | 54.4%124 W · 104 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Over | 71c | 26.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb630…e38ebacked Over | 69c | 26.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Over | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 69c | 24.14$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 123 | 67.5%83 W · 40 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Under | 73c | 23.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbba1…f2fdbacked Over | 43c | 23.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +130%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 71c | 23.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60f…b6c4backed Over | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Over | 69c | 19.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 69c | 17.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Over | 69c | 17.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 66c | 17.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paris FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Paris FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Paris FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Paris FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Paris FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Paris FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Paris FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Paris FC (-1.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Paris FC (-2.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Paris FC won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)Paris FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.