TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xab88…3761

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
122
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Stocks, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Stocks at 62 out of 100; worst Earnings at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT5184.3%43 W · 8 L+8.4wins+0.16per pick68cpaid+26.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Stocks — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.27
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $370 on June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.5
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $410 on June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.64
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $410 on June 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$79.21
Will Meta (META) close at $590-$600 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 1 – Jun 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+98%+$79.2
Will Meta (META) close at $610-$620 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 1 – Jun 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of June 1 above $310?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.8
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $310 on June 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+107.5%+$26.01
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $430-$440 on the final day of trading of the week of May 25 – May 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+29%+$22.5
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of May 25 above $310?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+32%+$35.92
Will Meta (META) close above $630 on May 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.5
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $440 on May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$12.8
Will Meta (META) close above $610 on May 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.38
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 on May 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$25.8
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $260-$265 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 20 – Apr 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $270-$275 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 20 – Apr 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of April 20 above $345?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+36%+$13.23
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of April 20 above $270?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of April 20 above $370?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$19.3
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on April 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$14.43
Will Meta (META) close above $670 on April 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.01
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 on April 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $270 on April 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$19.36
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on April 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$16.54
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 on April 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+41.1%+$42.05
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT1776.5%13 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick71cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 18?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$459.99
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 10?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$15.69
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on June 9?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$23.48
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 5?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of April 27 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.03
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on April 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$26.5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on April 27?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$29.11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of April 20 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.53
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on April 22?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 22?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 21?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$14.23
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on April 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.1
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on April 16?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$10.49
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 15?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 7?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.9
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 6?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$27.37
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.86
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$31.5
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.53
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.51
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.24
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36.38
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$26.92
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.49
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.48
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
Will Italy win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.63
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+77.3%+$25.9
Will Sweden win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+78.2%+$17.22
Germany vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+43.6%+$29.39
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+113.4%+$249.76
Bulls vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+54.5%+$117.53
Spread: Hawks (-14.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Hawks (-13.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Pistons vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+29%+$45
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Clippers vs. Pacers: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+40.6%+$77.11
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Knicks vs. Hornets: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$119
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
Pelicans vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-55%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Earnings — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-32.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$21
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.59
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deep Fission's market cap be between $1.5B and $1.75B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$296
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.