Earnings · resolved market
Will Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9932a126b03eb1bd88bbc754dc925710fcd7b436b3705a5543c78c3a609772f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,020
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,482
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,020 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b19…50b7backed Yes | 1c | 21,016$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 0c | 6,079$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d5…c665backed Yes | 1c | 1,975$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab58…f788backed Yes | 13c | 1,887$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…ae47backed Yes | 1c | 1,498$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc77b…a526backed Yes | 4c | 1,305$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…6430backed Yes | 1c | 1,122$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…9411backed Yes | 3c | 1,058$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…3a04backed Yes | 1c | 1,018$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd4…194bbacked Yes | 4c | 878.24$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa16a…33a1backed Yes | 1c | 756.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ee…801bbacked Yes | 6c | 410.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 6c | 250$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 142 | 33.8%48 W · 94 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…f496backed Yes | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…4f31backed No | 27c | 125.93$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.93 | 356 | 35.1%125 W · 231 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd54b…b008backed No | 50c | 80.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b96…7f2dbacked Yes | 76c | 64.58$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.78 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 41c | 59.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0e…4419backed Yes | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa68…ba5dbacked Yes | 78c | 48.9$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.14 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab88…3761backed Yes | 71c | 46.88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafd7…f634backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 76c | 14.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.