TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x90ee…801b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
280
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 59 out of 100; worst Fed Rates at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10743.9%47 W · 60 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 107 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.4
Will Burna Boy perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+54.6%+$239.88
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$517Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+174.9%+$904.39
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$240.72
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$213
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.99
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.99
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.75
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+133.9%+$171.75
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.95
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+55.6%+$196.45
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+109%+$156.34
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$71.5
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.62
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$75
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.48
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$116.25
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,059Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$310.8
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.5
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$81
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+77%+$130.49
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$81
Showing 25 of 107 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT4744.7%21 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick40cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be a 1v5 ace clutch in the IEM Cologne Major 2026 playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.68
Will the IEM Cologne Major 2026 Grand Final be a sweep?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$82
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$262.2
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.07
Will Spirit reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+83.1%+$418.71
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.73
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$58.8
Will FURIA reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+208.1%+$62.26
Will Vitality reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$483Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+132.3%+$639.2
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.4
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.7
Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.73
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$23
Will Natus Vincere qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+211.2%+$461.59
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$377.99
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.3
Will The MongolZ qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$35.88
Will Vitality qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.9
Will Aurora qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$31.94
Will MOUZ reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will PARIVISION qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT3151.6%16 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Music — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ukraine win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
Will Australia win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.16
Will Denmark win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$15
Will Greece win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$80
Will Croatia win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.44
Will Israel win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+640.7%+$173
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.84
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+77.9%+$43.8
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.95
Will Croatia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.58
Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Pooh Shiesty charged by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.6
Will "Six Seven" be said on ICEMAN?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$104.85
Will "2026" be said on ICEMAN?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+275.2%+$466.61
Will "Trump" or "Obama" be said on ICEMAN?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+87.9%+$115.83
Will "Caleb" be said on ICEMAN?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$28.31
Will "Kendrick" or "Lamar" be said on ICEMAN?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+60.5%+$99.62
Will "Covid" be said on ICEMAN?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.72
Will "Toronto" be said on ICEMAN?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.93
Will Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$31.77
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.99
Will Latvia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.15
Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.77
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick34cpaid-8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+62%+$179.46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$508Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+215%+$1,091.99
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$133.49
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Military action against Iran ends by April 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.3
Military action against Iran ends by April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+77.9%+$78.17
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+189%+$65.4
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.3
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+308.6%+$30.97
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.93
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10.32
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+120.1%+$139.35
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.6
Will Donald Trump say "Gaza" or "Israel" 12+ times during Israel President events on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+29.9%+$9.2
All 22 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+52.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Movies — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.42
Will Lady Gaga be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+151.6%+$458.43
Will Bhavitha Mandava be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.98
Will Doja Cat be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.46
Will Timothée Chalamet be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Will A$AP Rocky be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+56.6%+$46.82
Will Gwendoline Christie be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+271.7%+$146.2
Will Hailey Bieber be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+292.8%+$186.36
Will Kim Kardashian be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$66.6
Will Emma Chamberlain be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$44.8
Will Sabrina Carpenter be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+45%+$19.26
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+50.4%+$38.79
All 13 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.30per pick48cpaid+56.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $14M committed to the Space public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+63.9%+$7.8
Over $10M committed to the Trove public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+85.2%+$19.32
Over $8M committed to the Trove public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+31.6%+$5.83
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+177.8%+$128
Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+119.8%+$21.8
Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+62.2%+$21.51
Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Over $7M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+170.3%+$50.96
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.57
Will Reform UK win at least 1600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 900 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.65
Will Reform UK win at least 2000 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will the Conservative Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$81
Will the Green Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.97
Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 800 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+54.6%+$122.58
All 7 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+29.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-51.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jynxzi win the PogChamps chess tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$664Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$664.37
Will ohnePixel win the PogChamps chess tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+85.4%+$41.66
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$32.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.