Music · resolved market
Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ea5ad5c33702d8dd68316d3959caa7784a7f269ccde8e736035997ec9f81e25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,532
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,866
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,532 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94c4…43cabacked No | 70c | 22,430$15,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,809.53 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Yes | 26c | 13,056$3,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,440.19 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +205.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 31c | 8,503$2,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,612.9 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…a98fbacked Yes | 48c | 2,120$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2c…c88fbacked Yes | 38c | 1,632$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 72c | 1,552$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.25 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 72c | 1,506$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.9 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2f…2bc6backed Yes | 27c | 1,381$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87fd…66bcbacked No | 75c | 1,250$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +73%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad8…cd62backed Yes | 36c | 1,130$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.23 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4b…1fb3backed No | 57c | 1,107$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.01 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2236…6e0cbacked No | 52c | 1,105$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.01 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 28c | 1,099$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.86 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ec…62aabacked No | 57c | 1,043$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.49 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f3…e6aabacked Yes | 25c | 984$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…275ebacked No | 57c | 975$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ec…998cbacked Yes | 32c | 934.37$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1220…741abacked No | 66c | 929$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6537…fcecbacked Yes | 34c | 929$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed No | 77c | 928.03$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.24 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa23d…da1fbacked Yes | 27c | 921.48$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.8 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf84f…5c5cbacked No | 62c | 834.22$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.22 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa304…b075backed Yes | 27c | 804.78$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.29 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…0170backed Yes | 27c | 801.3$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.3 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0b…4e72backed Yes | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 29c | 700$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.6 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 52c | 694.25$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.97 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…8bf6backed Yes | 43c | 694$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbf…7328backed Yes | 43c | 667$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.81 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb976…c213backed Yes | 43c | 657$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.51 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf50f…ccc1backed No | 71c | 565.34$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked No | 74c | 561.73$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.05 | 146 | 61%89 W · 57 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 28c | 549.56$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.82 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes | 28c | 544.76$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked Yes | 29c | 525$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.17 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 73c | 524.55$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.04 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed No | 74c | 503.7$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.37 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…06acbacked Yes | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed No | 72c | 500$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ba…0f36backed Yes | 37c | 485.51$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes | 35c | 471.66$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.97 | 40 | 7.5%3 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +345.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…7ea0backed Yes | 30c | 453.45$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 32c | 433.15$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.79 | 65 | 20%13 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 35c | 403.97$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.08 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a5…56cbbacked No | 70c | 394.45$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.97 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…b418backed Yes | 43c | 389$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x968f…a539backed Yes | 43c | 365$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb33c…6634backed Yes | 27c | 364.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59e4…4536backed Yes | 34c | 358.38$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb83e…10fcbacked Yes | 43c | 353$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8dd…9b5abacked No | 69c | 342.49$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.79 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked No | 71c | 324.03$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.97 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 58c | 322.11$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.74 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked No | 73c | 316$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.32 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf75d…55d2backed Yes | 31c | 312.83$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 26c | 300.01$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.5 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a0…4230backed No | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb97…b54dbacked Yes | 25c | 266$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked No | 68c | 262.05$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.92 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bf…c7acbacked Yes | 32c | 260$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.1 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +136.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6a…fdc0backed Yes | 31c | 257.75$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbd…1288backed Yes | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Yes | 31c | 236$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.29 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8304…667bbacked Yes | 45c | 220.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd7f…35c1backed Yes | 38c | 214.28$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.03 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 46c | 211$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2571…3bcfbacked Yes | 29c | 200.62$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96aa…c145backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ee…801bbacked Yes | 29c | 179.23$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.77 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3f…32a4backed Yes | 24c | 179$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 28c | 168.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.63 | 81 | 28.4%23 W · 58 L | -10.7wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -50%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd378…19e8backed Yes | 29c | 156.06$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Yes | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…ce1abacked No | 72c | 149.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…5495backed Yes | 29c | 148.28$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.92 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…1701backed Yes | 29c | 145$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.1 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7975…f4a2backed No | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1a…6bccbacked No | 71c | 142.76$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.84 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81e9…1812backed No | 73c | 142.2$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.39 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes | 29c | 142$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Yes | 30c | 137.05$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.88 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 32c | 137$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.43 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…4b5fbacked No | 68c | 132.98$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.98 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 67cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 31c | 131.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.29 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 27c | 127.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.73 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…c524backed Yes | 10c | 127.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e55…c88dbacked Yes | 33c | 126.37$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.17 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fed…a1f9backed Yes | 27c | 124.23$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 34c | 123.8$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.37 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f2…1cc8backed Yes | 38c | 118.42$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5087…ded0backed Yes | 28c | 117.17$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 66c | 112$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…1538backed Yes | 27c | 111.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46ef…a342backed Yes | 29c | 109.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aac…dcebbacked Yes | 27c | 108.19$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…e8a4backed Yes | 27c | 105.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.43per pick | 32cpaid | +871.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 38c | 105.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -70%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73c8…dec4backed Yes | 28c | 103.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?this page
- Will Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Latvia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Norway advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Switzerland advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Ukraine advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.