Music · resolved market
Will Latvia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0134d63e41bfa6cccdce49de9dab72d3ffc50e94d655bdfd6b244cbfdec08fe9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,216
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94c4…43cabacked No | 63c | 5,963$3,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,228.92 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…4c4cbacked No | 65c | 2,989$1,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x594e…1c11backed No | 72c | 2,432$1,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.35 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 35c | 2,412$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.91 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes | 28c | 2,190$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.59 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482d…ba5ebacked Yes | 47c | 2,138$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f2…e1c1backed No | 53c | 1,638$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed No | 67c | 1,520$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.79 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +213.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…5527backed Yes | 36c | 1,456$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.83 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…0170backed Yes | 33c | 1,300$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.99 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Yes | 41c | 1,119$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.04 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked Yes | 35c | 1,041$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.76 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…50a2backed No | 63c | 1,035$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.95 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed Yes | 36c | 832.89$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0b…4e72backed No | 65c | 799.48$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.25 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 36c | 753.23$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.94 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes | 41c | 752.58$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.75 | 40 | 7.5%3 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +345.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x909d…1bb9backed No | 69c | 726.97$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +113.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Yes | 29c | 683.91$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.74 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…e040backed Yes | 37c | 604.2$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.12 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed Yes | 34c | 600$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 66c | 560.65$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.23 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 61c | 530.37$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.9 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 54c | 507.59$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.64 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa440…a487backed No | 54c | 453.59$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.8 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +72%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 41c | 423$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.34 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Yes | 38c | 389.97$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.11 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked Yes | 10c | 360$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Yes | 34c | 351.03$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed No | 58c | 343.63$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.05 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6a…fdc0backed No | 63c | 315.95$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.9 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1368…220fbacked No | 65c | 309.48$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.48 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27c1…f4acbacked Yes | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 63c | 279.41$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.2 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bf…c7acbacked Yes | 38c | 277.49$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.8 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +136.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked No | 61c | 269.99$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.5 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 38c | 265$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.43 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e4…471abacked Yes | 36c | 261.52$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.64 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81e9…1812backed No | 60c | 244.56$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.89 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked No | 61c | 232.53$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.16 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed Yes | 35c | 208.26$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.59 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8dd…9b5abacked No | 52c | 202.53$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.53 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Yes | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Yes | 34c | 199.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed Yes | 34c | 199.97$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.56 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed No | 59c | 199.68$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.87 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2236…6e0cbacked No | 44c | 173.6$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.7 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked No | 64c | 170.13$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.38 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ee…801bbacked Yes | 37c | 157.13$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.15 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9297…0068backed Yes | 66c | 153.89$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.8wins | -0.47per pick | 60cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6f64…32b3backed No | 69c | 143.75$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.56 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e53…b0a7backed No | 70c | 143.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.07 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…0cdebacked Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +87%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 44c | 140$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.33 | 391 | 16.1%63 W · 328 L | -44.4wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84ec…998cbacked No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 31c | 136.93$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.02 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +353%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 51c | 135$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.37 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 33c | 131.59$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 36c | 130.58$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x722c…09ebbacked Yes | 55c | 122.88$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.36 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +134.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed No | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca0…e17abacked No | 38c | 116.82$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.76 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3d…fea1backed Yes | 52c | 113.17$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.27 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -68%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed No | 71c | 104$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.77 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3602…b407backed No | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 11c | 99.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…9a5ebacked Yes | 33c | 97.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 49c | 91$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.76 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked No | 57c | 90$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +320%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked Yes | 39c | 89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +213.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd9…ebc3backed No | 68c | 81.25$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed Yes | 40c | 79.64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3c…4169backed Yes | 46c | 78.52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.94 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfc…4516backed Yes | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 40c | 72.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f57…c3acbacked No | 72c | 69.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked Yes | 34c | 64.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 48c | 64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4a…a1b9backed No | 65c | 61.16$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 28c | 60.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf364…7d5ebacked No | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa48e…b476backed Yes | 35c | 58.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 33c | 58.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf98f…927dbacked Yes | 42c | 56.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…63c4backed Yes | 37c | 54.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 59c | 52.18$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 81 | 28.4%23 W · 58 L | -10.7wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -50%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8266…c472backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e27…d603backed Yes | 41c | 48.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 37c | 47.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 42c | 47.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…6ad8backed Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…d036backed Yes | 45c | 43.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 41c | 43.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…809ebacked No | 67c | 42.49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6eec…c524backed Yes | 35c | 42.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 25c | 41.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 36c | 41.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c74…d2d4backed Yes | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Latvia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?this page
- Will Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Norway advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Switzerland advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Ukraine advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.