TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6bcc…f8b2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
377
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: World Politics, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 57 out of 100; worst UFC at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT15739.5%62 W · 95 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 157 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Faye die in Euphoria: Season 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.47
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will "Sinners" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+57.8%+$101.16
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,161Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,160.61
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Sinners win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Sinners win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will The Perfect Neighbor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Come See Me in the Good Light win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+53.5%+$48.15
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$751Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+60.5%+$454.07
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$442Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$120.64
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$49.92
Will Train Dreams win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$50.18
Will One Battle After Another win Best Original Score at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will "Sentimental Value" win exactly 2 awards at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will "Sentimental Value" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+60.3%+$99.51
Will "Frankenstein" win exactly 3 awards at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$317Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$95.49
Will "Hamnet" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$50.55
Will "Sinners" win exactly 4 awards at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$167.31
Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$97.06
Will Delroy Lindo win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+180.8%+$497.08
Showing 25 of 157 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT7139.4%28 W · 43 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 71 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+53.6%+$99.18
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Ukraine win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Finland be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.02
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.5
Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$52.5
Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+71.1%+$125.82
Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.8
Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$97.38
Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Malta be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+68.7%+$34.34
Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$167.39
Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$104.25
Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$311
Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+204.9%+$307.42
Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+118.6%+$59.29
Will Romania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$152
Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$358
Showing 25 of 71 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT4533.3%15 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AJ Brown be traded?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Arvell Reese be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$100
Will David Bailey be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+85.3%+$100.64
Will Fernando Mendoza be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+55.4%+$100.35
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Bad Bunny wears a dress or skirt at the Big Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+40.6%+$25.17
Will "DtMF" be played last at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Taylor Swift perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+63.3%+$189.92
Will Ricky Martin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$85
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 110 and 120 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+75.4%+$49.79
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Christian McCaffrey win the 2025–26 NFL OPOY?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will Mike Vrabel win NFL Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+37.6%+$33.82
Will Trevor Lawrence be the 2025-2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will TreVeyon Henderson be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Jaxson Dart be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will the Giants trade for Jaylen Waddle?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+26.9%+$73.25
Will Chris Olave not be traded?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will Aaron Rodgers retire?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Aaron Rodgers sign with the New York Giants?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will the Browns draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will the Steelers draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+63%+$53.59
Will 1 QB get taken in the first round of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT4040%16 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-28.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$108.28
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$5.24
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.55
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$103.71
Will George Russell win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+66.6%+$106.64
Will Kimi Antonelli win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.64
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+73.7%+$62.6
Who will finish higher: Lindblad or Lawson?backed Lindblad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Who will finish higher: Verstappen or Hadjar?backed Hadjar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Who will finish higher: Ocon or Bearman?backed Ocon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$30.2
Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+55.3%+$71.91
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$134
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+29.9%+$49.88
Will Carlos Sainz win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
F1 Belgian GP: Hamilton vs. Leclerc backed Leclerc · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$133.33
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix Pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+421.3%+$421.3
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix Pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
F1 Austrian Grand Prix: Red Bull vs. Mercedesbacked Red Bull · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perrybacked Perry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+49.4%+$68.41
UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
UFC Fight Night: Jose Delano vs. Robert Ruchala (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Robert Ruchala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.87
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Israel Adesanya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$340
UFC Fight Night: Yousri Belgaroui vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Yousri Belgaroui · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$149.73
UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Tyrell Fortune (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Tyrell Fortune · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+119.9%+$479.75
Klein vs. Rebeckibacked Rebecki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
UFC 319: Murphy vs. Pico backed Pico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$156.5
UFC Fight Night Parlay: Buckley and Namajunas backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$34.87
UFC Fight Night: Wellmaker vs. Moutinhobacked Moutinho · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$125
Luque vs. Hollandbacked Luque · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
McGregor vs. Chandler canceled?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2024, EDT+103.2%+$46.42
All 12 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+56.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+203%+$101.52
Will Luc Rabouin win the 2025 Montreal mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+436.8%+$218.42
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$323Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$323
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+27.1%+$53.72
Will NDP win 9 or less seats in the next Canadian Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$49.97
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in Nova Scotia in the next Canadian Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will the Bloc Québécois win the most seats in Quebec in the next Canadian Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Liberals win majority in Canadian election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$61.11
Will Nicolas Maduro Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2024, EDT+100%+$25
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Anti-semitic" during his victory/concession speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Next Mayor" during his victory/concession speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+163.2%+$57.11
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Socialist" or "Socialism" during his victory/concession speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will TikTok be banned again before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+101.9%+$25.48
Will Trump say "ceasefire" during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+38.8%+$13.57
All 8 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-24.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nothing Ever Happens backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+77.4%+$77.43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Yoshinobu Yamamoto be named the 2025 World Series MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$26
MLB All-Star Gamebacked American League · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ryan Garcia launch a memecoin by next Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2024, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Supreme Court delay the Tiktok ban?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+36%+$36.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
OpenAI apologizes to Scarlett Johansson by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jeff Brohm be the next permanent head coach of the University of Michigan Football team?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Euro 2024: Favorite fails to advance beyond group stage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 9, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.