Middle East · resolved market
Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09c2f5cff9250d14e9b5425166f6f8c78b4de224a2b84234b998f7b01131a515
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $764,901
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $665,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $764,901 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 270 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf15f…40e0backed Yes | 3c | 219,090$7,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,145.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed Yes | 9c | 74,075$6,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,817.52 | 65 | 16.9%11 W · 54 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31c…c1c3backed Yes | 4c | 39,382$1,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,725.23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa3…dc66backed Yes | 1c | 26,667$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.6 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…da79backed Yes | 1c | 24,432$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.94 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe410…de46backed Yes | 6c | 13,709$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.5 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x030a…acfcbacked No | 57c | 11,617$6,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,996.56 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc009…8bc6backed Yes | 0c | 10,900$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed Yes | 61c | 9,880$6,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,019.31 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…76ddbacked Yes | 62c | 7,943$4,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,962.38 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed No | 77c | 5,415$4,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.04 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdba6…0218backed Yes | 19c | 5,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Yes | 19c | 5,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…1964backed Yes | 29c | 4,915$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 19c | 4,909$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.2 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…f7c0backed No | 29c | 4,448$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,157.95 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8025…fce2backed No | 73c | 4,311$3,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.46 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x749b…8805backed Yes | 59c | 4,263$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1452…4c20backed No | 75c | 4,001$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd57b…f2bbbacked Yes | 40c | 3,936$1,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,586 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5405…3d7cbacked No | 35c | 3,738$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,439.03 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed No | 56c | 3,403$1,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.64 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked No | 35c | 3,392$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,220.94 | 215 | 31.2%67 W · 148 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4a…ac42backed Yes | 19c | 3,300$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.14 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8633…a08dbacked No | 78c | 3,200$2,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.72 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3f…ff4bbacked Yes | 3c | 3,168$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.19 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…87b3backed No | 35c | 3,063$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,994 | 98 | 15.3%15 W · 83 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7056…b961backed Yes | 22c | 2,867$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ec…ba7bbacked No | 66c | 2,829$1,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.87 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…81c4backed No | 49c | 2,812$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.9 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdef…3d47backed Yes | 4c | 2,662$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d2…4f4bbacked Yes | 22c | 2,600$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.6 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Yes | 56c | 2,566$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.93 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…0601backed No | 61c | 2,547$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.32 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -53%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c9…5769backed Yes | 5c | 2,368$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed No | 72c | 2,218$1,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.23 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c0…48f6backed Yes | 5c | 2,127$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5643…5390backed Yes | 7c | 2,074$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…d1d1backed Yes | 9c | 1,910$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.22 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec8…96a5backed No | 80c | 1,824$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.51 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…3bd0backed Yes | 42c | 1,806$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.95 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 22c | 1,783$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.93 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0782…9477backed Yes | 6c | 1,750$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e91…b801backed No | 63c | 1,732$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.88 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +5.6wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x467c…b168backed Yes | 9c | 1,700$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.43 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1c…5fe8backed Yes | 18c | 1,601$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.51 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -5.9wins | -0.24per pick | 28cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa8…f84abacked Yes | 4c | 1,500$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.78 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd4…50fabacked Yes | 7c | 1,480$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed No | 12c | 1,465$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.95 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 65c | 1,460$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.25 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca30…7d9cbacked Yes | 24c | 1,458$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Yes | 21c | 1,401$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.9 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe104…ca89backed Yes | 20c | 1,332$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3963…5f44backed Yes | 4c | 1,300$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked Yes | 18c | 1,298$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…affbbacked No | 79c | 1,263$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 25c | 1,257$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.42 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed No | 73c | 1,214$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.32 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35f1…6600backed No | 38c | 1,193$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7419…f732backed No | 72c | 1,190$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe190…1428backed Yes | 4c | 1,163$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…d68fbacked No | 24c | 1,159$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.81 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd18d…99dbbacked No | 14c | 1,133$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.46 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc620…2da3backed Yes | 17c | 1,092$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 15c | 1,075$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.34 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked No | 44c | 1,051$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.94 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x657b…6724backed Yes | 25c | 1,012$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked Yes | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…aa81backed No | 10c | 999.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.9 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 17c | 968.85$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.02 | 287 | 50.2%144 W · 143 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e5…109bbacked Yes | 49c | 957.92$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.73 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked No | 74c | 949.99$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.92 | 60 | 11.7%7 W · 53 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked No | 71c | 920$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18b0…2354backed No | 57c | 882.74$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.1 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4c…cb39backed Yes | 17c | 876.73$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.04 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d53…b53abacked Yes | 3c | 800$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cb…cc59backed Yes | 26c | 775.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…c1cebacked Yes | 26c | 774.79$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0110…0929backed Yes | 33c | 762.57$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660f…ec30backed No | 65c | 750$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.8 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked No | 78c | 700$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.49 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +73%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked No | 54c | 690.58$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.92 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…7938backed No | 73c | 690$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f17…fecbbacked No | 75c | 667.73$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb231…99a4backed Yes | 20c | 663.25$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…00b3backed No | 13c | 660.6$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.71 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +117.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…a0d7backed No | 12c | 660$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.3 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…4ad3backed No | 76c | 650$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.82 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 22c | 640.85$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.42 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed No | 73c | 611.87$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.66 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Yes | 44c | 594.64$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.92 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa842…e305backed Yes | 38c | 593.27$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.26 | 113 | 29.2%33 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1dc…7283backed No | 52c | 573.38$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.57 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b0…b781backed Yes | 50c | 564.92$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5c…b379backed No | 11c | 563.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +369.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…cd9ebacked Yes | 22c | 563.19$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e2…25f7backed No | 51c | 547$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.7 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked No | 57c | 541.71$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.98 | 92 | 34.8%32 W · 60 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.