TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x28c9…5769

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
77
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: MLB, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 53 out of 100; worst Premier League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-35.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$44.18
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.69
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+51.5%+$103.03
Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,039Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+125.3%+$1,301.99
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$103.03
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Arsenal wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.4
Manchester City wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Man City win on 2024-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Will Arsenal win on 2024-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST+37%+$18.49
Will Tottenham beat Brighton?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$150
Will Aston Villa beat Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$50
Will Chelsea beat Nottingham Forest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$100
Will Chelsea beat Bournemouth?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2024, EDT+103.1%+$206.27
Will Chelsea beat Crystal Palace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
Will Victor Osimhen join Chelsea?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT+100%+$25
Will Tottenham Hotspur beat Leicester City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$404Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$403.62
Will Manchester City win vs Chelsea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2024, EDT+85.4%+$152
Will England win the 2024 Euros?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$200
Will Jamal Musiala be Euro 2024 top scorer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$19
Will France win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$100
All 22 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$711.11
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,003Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$614.66
Champions LeagueQuarterfinals: Arsenal vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$236.24
Will Arsenal beat Atalanta?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$250
Will Barcelona beat Monaco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$250
Will Borussia Dortmund beat Club Brugge?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT+101.2%+$141.63
Will Paris Saint-Germain beat Girona?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT+40.8%+$13.07
Will Manchester City beat Inter Milan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$234
Will Celtic vs. Slovan Bratislava end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$19
Will Liverpool beat AC Milan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2024, EDT+100%+$28
Will Aston Villa beat Young Boys?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2024, EDT+25.7%+$90.32
Will Juventus beat PSV?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2024, EDT+78.6%+$18.86
All 14 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Kinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+138.1%+$58
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$705Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+383.9%+$2,706.4
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,014Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+27.9%+$283.25
Over $1.3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$114.42
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$746Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$745.66
Will none of the named coins be listed on Binance in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+58.7%+$29.37
Will Moo Deng be the first Pump.fun coin to $1b?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2024, EST-100%-$179.88
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$26
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+229.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-57.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+61.6%+$123.1
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$255.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USA win the 2025 Ryder Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 Masters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+58.3%+$86.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Sep 26, 2024, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+61.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Frankfurt beat Viktoria Plzen?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$100
Will Rangers beat Malmo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2024, EDT+223.5%+$223.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Space — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Helene make landfall at category 4 or stronger?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2024, EDT+49.3%+$8.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$5,089Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$5,089
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$117.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$353
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roaring Kitty dumps GME calls by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$57.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hoffman vs. Warwickbacked Warwick · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.