TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Boxing · resolved market

Hoffman vs. Warwick

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hoffmanof Hoffman, Warwick
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$65,459
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$70,283

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,459 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Boxing
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdd45…e37dbacked Warwick60c10,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,999.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x02c2…dff1backed Hoffman49c6,158$2,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,158.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeea5…b5c3backed Warwick62c5,812$3,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,603.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77a4…d5babacked Hoffman40c5,393$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,242.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8e…75cbbacked Warwick77c3,786$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,90010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67a5…b94fbacked Hoffman23c3,582$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,742.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+326.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x881b…28acbacked Hoffman40c2,697$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,627.23250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe036…0baebacked Hoffman28c2,375$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,717.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+80.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaff…7ff7backed Warwick78c2,307$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x048f…8a36backed Warwick52c2,259$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,180.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe29…63e5backed Hoffman44c2,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,120250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5225…d53fbacked Hoffman26c1,615$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,195.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6d…4f3bbacked Hoffman27c1,503$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,103.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+275.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6691…17cfbacked Warwick20c1,466$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.1830%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd13…e6f1backed Hoffman3c1,462$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,419.63742.9%3 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.38per pick5cpaid+779.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc509…9b2abacked Warwick74c1,352$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ba3…83debacked Hoffman38c1,316$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.79333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98c4…7022backed Hoffman38c1,316$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x282e…00f3backed Warwick72c1,067$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x495c…512bbacked Warwick63c1,044$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.9820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7e…4562backed Hoffman26c948.74$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.711346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9205…28b8backed Hoffman32c945.19$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+215.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x705f…3fcfbacked Warwick75c804.13$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.120%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ee5…83d6backed Warwick64c785.11$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Warwick67c679.72$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-35.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcfb…deb3backed Warwick76c661.06$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde77…65d2backed Hoffman38c657.89$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+40.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6116…f247backed Warwick76c600$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x07dd…a8bdbacked Hoffman42c590.23$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+136.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd39…7e1bbacked Hoffman38c561.58$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.58333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee11…9710backed Warwick50c538.64$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1d7…e17ebacked Warwick75c500$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37530%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ef0…6ca1backed Hoffman36c500$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3201100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c67…bb39backed Warwick64c499.99$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-65%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0f3…01acbacked Hoffman33c424.83$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdde…556ebacked Hoffman37c404.18$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+169.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d87…0d85backed Hoffman39c388.59$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+159.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc462…5e7abacked Hoffman30c378.28$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+237.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fd3…27b8backed Hoffman49c371.33$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd752…fb74backed Hoffman38c368.18$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.18250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+32.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9be…fe74backed Hoffman30c329.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2311100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86aa…9935backed Hoffman32c325$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2211100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1790…5d5abacked Warwick80c319.02$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2310…8537backed Hoffman35c284.95$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+43.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1200…a827backed Hoffman39c282.05$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf939…2e92backed Hoffman50c277.62$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Hoffman27c274.97$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.485345.3%24 W · 29 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x25f7…9713backed Hoffman45c270$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf267…51bebacked Hoffman38c265$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1651100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+165%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1e1…921ebacked Hoffman38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+36.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0079…17ccbacked Hoffman39c256.36$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.38250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06fb…9db6backed Hoffman39c255$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa805…83dcbacked Warwick69c250$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.1560%0 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb95d…7108backed Hoffman50c234.87$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc1f…35d5backed Hoffman28c226.78$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+254.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8398…047fbacked Hoffman22c222.2$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc514…aa00backed Hoffman26c212.88$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0fd…a346backed Hoffman24c205.45$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.45250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+105.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd063…1696backed Hoffman49c203.6$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c91…851fbacked Hoffman49c202.8$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a68…6679backed Hoffman63c201.96$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf04f…bb1ebacked Warwick69c200$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.6520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x11f1…2752backed Hoffman35c200$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1301100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda0c…0551backed Warwick70c200$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85f3…2441backed Hoffman35c200$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1301100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa390…4abdbacked Warwick65c200$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe18c…f741backed Warwick63c200$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe62…adf4backed Hoffman37c200$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1261100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c0e…1411backed Hoffman59c200$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc75…4936backed Warwick70c200$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4b9…9b62backed Hoffman30c200$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1401100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52e3…07dabacked Warwick65c200$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1793…d80cbacked Hoffman30c200$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1401100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52ff…2c6ebacked Warwick63c200$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f31…a376backed Hoffman37c200$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1261100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe07…20b8backed Hoffman35c200$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1301100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2452…225cbacked Warwick65c200$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f99…0cd1backed Warwick65c200$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0905…7cd0backed Hoffman35c200$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1301100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b59…cd08backed Hoffman20c200$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick20cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbdf…7f36backed Warwick58c199.99$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd955…4868backed Hoffman42c193.51$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.99333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4f5…a9efbacked Hoffman50c190.66$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ea4…acbdbacked Hoffman40c188.8$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+151.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfe7…7c84backed Hoffman26c181.28$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick32cpaid+404.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8688…a1febacked Hoffman28c179.98$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.98250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+76.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ff2…2caabacked Hoffman53c167.57$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Warwick68c164.49$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.025817.2%10 W · 48 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f2c…70cfbacked Warwick64c162$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x859a…0fc9backed Warwick63c160.94$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a20…4dbfbacked Hoffman69c158.65$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc6c…287cbacked Hoffman35c157.12$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.91250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+44.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe329…2b1ebacked Hoffman28c150$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+252.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d90…20d8backed Hoffman38c146.97$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.122100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+114.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ea0…536fbacked Hoffman26c142.31$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb76…c33ebacked Hoffman39c141.79$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.49250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Hoffman28c141.62$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.493100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+154.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0793…192dbacked Hoffman38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.58250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7db…4fa3backed Warwick62c130$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf716…82ccbacked Hoffman20c126.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.15250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+153.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.