TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe7db…4fa3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
157
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst F1 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT5446.3%25 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.5
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.95
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.63
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs FaZe (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.13
Counter-Strike: NRG vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+143.7%+$26.01
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.09
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$8.68
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Alliance (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+237.5%+$414.41
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Lavked (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Lavked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.21
Counter-Strike: DashSkins vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - PGL Astana: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked DashSkins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$20.99
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs M80 (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$21.6
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Monte (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$99.58
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Legacy (BO5) - FERJEE In House Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$25.29
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO3) - FERJEE In House Playoffsbacked Gaimin Gladiators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.18
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Sashi Esport (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Sashi Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+200.5%+$101.29
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.93
Counter-Strike: OG vs BESTIA (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsbacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+100.8%+$22.15
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs Drama eSports (BO3) - DraculaN Group Dbacked Drama eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+145.5%+$22.67
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.4
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs OG (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group Cbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.24
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$539Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$214.18
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO3) - FERJEE In House Group Abacked Gaimin Gladiators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10.05
Counter-Strike: Gaimin Gladiators vs ShindeN (BO3) - FERJEE In House Group Abacked Gaimin Gladiators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+104%+$75.94
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+181.4%+$206.91
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT3151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.48
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+164.2%+$310.08
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+67.6%+$60.5
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.43
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs L1ga Team (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$302.99
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - BLAST Slam China Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$27.37
Dota 2: REKONIX vs GLYPH - Game 2 Winnerbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.1
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+128.7%+$178.75
Dota 2: MOUZ vs 1win (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+131.4%+$108.57
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$112.06
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.2
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.39
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.17
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$55.05
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$159.32
Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.69
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.97
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$133.67
Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.59
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$105.56
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+54.8%+$164.99
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.52
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.79
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs AVULUS (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Play-In Group Abacked AVULUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.28
Dota 2: 1win vs paiN Gaming (BO5) - CCT Playoffsbacked paiN Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$16.25
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT2142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.86
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.17
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+150%+$26.15
LoL: Galions vs Solary (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.47
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Misa Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10.89
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.18
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$62.73
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$646Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$646.12
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ultra Prime (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1backed Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+71.2%+$58.45
LoL: G2 NORD vs Verdant (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.42
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.01
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.05
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+231.8%+$100.6
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$97.92
LoL: LYON vs LOUD (BO5) - First Stand Group Bbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.96
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group Bbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$504
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Berlin International Gaming (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffsbacked Eintracht Spandau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$21
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$44.99
LoL: RED Canids vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Cup Playoffsbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+115.7%+$148.01
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+116.8%+$91.35
All 21 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+28%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Dino Prizmic vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.75
Miami Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$38.55
Miami Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Luca Van Asschebacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+68.4%+$19.39
BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Aleksandar Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.77
Santiago: Andrea Collarini vs Alex Barrenabacked Andrea Collarini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.04
BNP Paribas Open: Talia Gibson vs Clara Tausonbacked Talia Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+77.4%+$21.11
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Benjamin Bonzi vs Shintaro Mochizukibacked Benjamin Bonzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+35.1%+$13
Lugano: Joel Schwaerzler vs Zsombor Pirosbacked Zsombor Piros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+96.1%+$95.06
All 8 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+154.2%+$91
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+101.2%+$94.53
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.33
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+87.3%+$23.3
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$102
All 8 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-66.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-39%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chargers vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+143.9%+$20.94
Giants vs. Eaglesbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$22.5
Chiefs vs. Billsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$20.25
Dolphins vs. Billsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$16.8
All 4 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2024, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
F1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Basketball vs. Olimpia Milanobacked Olimpia Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.56
Fujian Sturgeons vs. Liaoning Flying Leopardsbacked Fujian Sturgeons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.99
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+61.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Everton vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+222.6%+$37.84
Will Aston Villa win on 2024-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$13.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+37%+$5.4
Iran strike on Israel before November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$24.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 18, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$104.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Angers SCO vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$90.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats vs. Texas Southern Tigers (W)backed Bethune-Cookman Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+102.1%+$11.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Sep 30, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'The Wild Robot' gross less than $24m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Melbourne City FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Any Questions Gaming vs TYLOO (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 1 Playoffsbacked Any Questions Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senegal vs. Peru: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hoffman vs. Warwickbacked Warwick · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT-100%-$80.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.