NHL · resolved market

Predators vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c5172d79dc8ace67d5fb039d5be8f71268060dab6638c55178c0eb731cf518e

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 29, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $46,312
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $47,334

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,312 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NHL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xaa07…2125backed Over	51c	20,000$10,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,199.87	1,070	49.9%534 W · 536 L	+22.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Over	52c	7,908$4,093 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,093.31	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	-2.9wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Under	48c	4,160$1,997 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,163.18	51	49%25 W · 26 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf740…c6b5backed Under	49c	3,922$1,922 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,000.22	8	87.5%7 W · 1 L	+2.6wins	+0.32per pick	55cpaid	+70.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under	49c	3,780$1,852 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,927.8	619	53.8%333 W · 286 L	+13.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under	48c	2,639$1,267 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,372.25	1,441	49.2%709 W · 732 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under	48c	2,593$1,245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,348.39	594	50.8%302 W · 292 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under	49c	2,569$1,259 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,310.07	1,434	50.8%728 W · 706 L	-10.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Over	52c	2,555$1,329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,328.6	866	49.9%432 W · 434 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Under	48c	2,323$1,115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,207.76	134	45.5%61 W · 73 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Over	52c	2,200$1,144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,144	836	52.8%441 W · 395 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5318…1118backed Over	52c	2,108$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	43	72.1%31 W · 12 L	+7.7wins	+0.18per pick	54cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Under	48c	2,092$1,004 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,088.22	1,377	49.1%676 W · 701 L	+39.2wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed Under	49c	2,042$1,001 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,041.42	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under	49c	2,000$980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,020	502	51.2%257 W · 245 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc18…2ce9backed Over	52c	2,000$1,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,040	33	27.3%9 W · 24 L	-5.5wins	-0.17per pick	44cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	53c	1,737$920 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$817.17	1,846	57.2%1,055 W · 791 L	+85.0wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	48c	1,518$726 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$725.53	2,112	42.9%907 W · 1,205 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Under	49c	1,233$604 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$628.78	149	54.4%81 W · 68 L	+9.5wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under	74c	1,055$780 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$275.43	2,314	46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over	14c	1,051$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.11	115	37.4%43 W · 72 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under	49c	1,000$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$510	623	46.9%292 W · 331 L	-3.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	47c	933.37$443 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$490.3	1,555	51.4%800 W · 755 L	+12.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under	49c	931.64$457 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$475.14	665	52%346 W · 319 L	+8.8wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under	49c	902.41$442 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$460.23	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+2.3wins	+0.14per pick	48cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over	52c	807.69$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420	318	48.1%153 W · 165 L	-9.4wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under	49c	607$297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$309.57	793	50.1%397 W · 396 L	-11.5wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	49c	556.2$275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$281.14	1,092	50.4%550 W · 542 L	+12.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Under	49c	461$226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235.11	121	52.1%63 W · 58 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Under	54c	460.45$249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211.46	192	54.7%105 W · 87 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x298c…3e58backed Under	49c	434.69$213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$221.69	185	48.1%89 W · 96 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Under	49c	400$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204	270	49.6%134 W · 136 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over	51c	388$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.88	318	48.7%155 W · 163 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over	48c	320.22$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.92	2,754	47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L	+11.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Over	50c	264.74$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.37	339	41.3%140 W · 199 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under	49c	224.49$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.49	1,093	51.8%566 W · 527 L	+14.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under	49c	200$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102	538	49.4%266 W · 272 L	+10.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b4…168fbacked Under	51c	196$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.04	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa10e…4ea1backed Over	52c	192.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	+1.8wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Under	49c	189.92$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.92	62	54.8%34 W · 28 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under	49c	183.67$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.67	323	53.9%174 W · 149 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed Under	48c	179.87$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.53	153	49%75 W · 78 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Over	30c	157.47$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.7	422	54.3%229 W · 193 L	+18.3wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Under	53c	141.93$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.59	211	58.8%124 W · 87 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under	50c	124.32$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.63	1,028	53.2%547 W · 481 L	+21.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	48c	121.46$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.14	769	50.3%387 W · 382 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Over	53c	113.21$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	64	53.1%34 W · 30 L	+2.6wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under	49c	111.42$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.82	70	54.3%38 W · 32 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d56…a287backed Under	49c	102.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.04	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8aa…fbf1backed Under	49c	102.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.04	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under	48c	100.11$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.06	388	49.5%192 W · 196 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd4d8…c3f8backed Under	49c	100$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under	54c	91$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.98	276	59.4%164 W · 112 L	+12.6wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7db…4fa3backed Under	49c	90.9$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.36	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under	49c	78$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.78	95	45.3%43 W · 52 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcff1…f8debacked Over	52c	76.92$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	42	28.6%12 W · 30 L	-6.4wins	-0.15per pick	44cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5c5a…a6a2backed Over	52c	73.33$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.13	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under	49c	71.43$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.43	565	53.6%303 W · 262 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8bb…e1c5backed Over	52c	68.02$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.35	104	47.1%49 W · 55 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Under	49c	65.31$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.31	212	43.4%92 W · 120 L	-6.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under	48c	60$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.2	336	47.9%161 W · 175 L	-5.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Over	52c	60$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.2	216	51.4%111 W · 105 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under	49c	56.69$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.91	385	51.4%198 W · 187 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Under	49c	55.55$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.33	199	51.8%103 W · 96 L	-9.8wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under	53c	53.52$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.16	66	59.1%39 W · 27 L	+3.2wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x217f…9812backed Under	49c	50.82$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.82	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.4wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+84.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7be…908dbacked Under	52c	49.55$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.88	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	-3.3wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x514e…a604backed Over	52c	49$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.48	51	43.1%22 W · 29 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf98…a5c3backed Under	49c	47.67$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.31	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc18a…b3dbbacked Under	49c	46.94$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.94	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+2.7wins	+0.18per pick	42cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Under	54c	43.65$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.97	153	68%104 W · 49 L	+11.6wins	+0.08per pick	60cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over	40c	43$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.1	1,431	58.3%834 W · 597 L	+81.0wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Under	49c	40.9$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.86	456	51.5%235 W · 221 L	+4.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb3d…58f5backed Under	48c	39.58$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.58	157	51.6%81 W · 76 L	+6.2wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd4c…394abacked Over	52c	38.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	81	46.9%38 W · 43 L	-6.0wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over	50c	36.36$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.01	3,704	50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L	+105.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	53c	35$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.59	920	49.7%457 W · 463 L	+14.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6668…ad96backed Over	52c	29.99$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-2.1wins	-0.31per pick	59cpaid	-53.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf0bb…049fbacked Under	51c	29.64$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.41	149	63.8%95 W · 54 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x43d6…fbedbacked Under	51c	29$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.21	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.15per pick	51cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafcf…72f6backed Under	73c	27.5$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.34	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.30per pick	70cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under	78c	24.5$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.45	1,107	52%576 W · 531 L	+63.9wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xccb8…8114backed Over	52c	23.44$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.19	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Under	49c	21.29$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.86	156	51.9%81 W · 75 L	+7.1wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Over	52c	21$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.92	120	50.8%61 W · 59 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b74…1e21backed Under	49c	20.41$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.41	40	60%24 W · 16 L	+2.1wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Under	70c	20$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6	70	60%42 W · 28 L	+4.8wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Predators vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5this page
Predators vs. LightningLightning won
Predators vs. Lightning: O/U 4.5Over won
Predators vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5Under won
Predators vs. Lightning: O/U 7.5Under won
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Predators won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Predators vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event