NHL · resolved market
Predators vs. Lightning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b13341ccac6498e2389a914f10ec99d1f73c380b65f5f32e25f4c0b57c87548
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lightningof Predators, Lightning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,738,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,767,392
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,738,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 801 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Predators | 36c | 540,228$193,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193,075.23 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Lightning | 64c | 416,568$266,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149,964.6 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Predators | 36c | 204,570$74,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,247.85 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Lightning | 63c | 200,000$125,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74,499.84 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Lightning | 62c | 155,798$97,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,644.72 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Predators | 37c | 150,000$55,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,499.98 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Predators | 36c | 145,943$52,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,739.46 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Lightning | 66c | 122,000$80,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,100.26 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Lightning | 65c | 100,000$65,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,000 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Predators | 37c | 55,000$20,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,350 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Lightning | 65c | 39,858$25,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,081.44 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Lightning | 62c | 37,976$23,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,430.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Lightning | 64c | 36,846$23,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,286.78 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Lightning | 66c | 22,000$14,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,479.94 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Predators | 37c | 20,600$7,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,551.48 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lightning | 52c | 18,525$9,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,822.06 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Predators | 38c | 18,200$6,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,916 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a65…9142backed Lightning | 65c | 18,171$11,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,359.79 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Predators | 34c | 17,580$5,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,977.2 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Predators | 33c | 14,244$4,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,703.47 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Lightning | 64c | 12,156$7,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,376.25 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Predators | 35c | 11,631$4,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,071 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Predators | 28c | 10,096$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800.45 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Lightning | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,800 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Predators | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Lightning | 60c | 8,333$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,333.33 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Lightning | 62c | 8,065$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,064.52 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Predators | 40c | 8,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.99 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Predators | 34c | 8,000$2,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,719.91 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Lightning | 64c | 7,813$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,812.5 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Lightning | 63c | 7,614$4,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,817.18 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Lightning | 65c | 7,553$4,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,624.31 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Lightning | 55c | 7,277$3,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,288.91 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…74e1backed Lightning | 64c | 7,114$4,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,561.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Predators | 35c | 7,004$2,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,428.63 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32dd…c881backed Lightning | 64c | 6,953$4,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,503.07 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lightning | 67c | 6,920$4,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,298.43 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Lightning | 65c | 6,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lightning | 63c | 5,854$3,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,164.59 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Predators | 35c | 5,425$1,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,882.16 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…2f1bbacked Predators | 35c | 5,174$1,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810.87 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Predators | 53c | 5,118$2,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,736.41 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x548f…9d70backed Predators | 35c | 5,046$1,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.21 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Lightning | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800.16 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Predators | 38c | 4,860$1,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,846.63 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ae…4385backed Predators | 34c | 4,560$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Predators | 37c | 4,444$1,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,622.05 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Predators | 35c | 4,200$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Predators | 38c | 4,125$1,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.79 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Lightning | 65c | 4,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Predators | 37c | 4,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Predators | 35c | 4,000$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.18 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Predators | 35c | 4,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Lightning | 64c | 3,906$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.25 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Lightning | 66c | 3,874$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.18 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Lightning | 64c | 3,868$2,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.62 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7837…40f1backed Lightning | 64c | 3,769$2,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.75 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -4.6wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Lightning | 64c | 3,674$2,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.93 | 140 | 62.1%87 W · 53 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Predators | 35c | 3,663$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.11 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…53a1backed Predators | 36c | 3,661$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.84 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…9897backed Lightning | 62c | 3,452$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.61 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Lightning | 64c | 3,333$2,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.88 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c1…5177backed Predators | 40c | 3,331$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 52cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lightning | 57c | 3,261$1,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416.27 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Lightning | 65c | 3,003$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.5 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Predators | 35c | 3,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Lightning | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Predators | 21c | 2,941$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.18 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Lightning | 64c | 2,781$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.25 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb792…1658backed Lightning | 66c | 2,733$1,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.27 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Lightning | 63c | 2,706$1,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.06 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Lightning | 64c | 2,617$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.19 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x280f…5477backed Lightning | 66c | 2,533$1,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Predators | 37c | 2,500$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Lightning | 62c | 2,500$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd788…16d3backed Lightning | 66c | 2,500$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.87 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Predators | 34c | 2,467$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.92 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…7186backed Lightning | 66c | 2,454$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Lightning | 63c | 2,295$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.24 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f91…c7dabacked Lightning | 64c | 2,266$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.63 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Predators | 39c | 2,100$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Lightning | 64c | 2,054$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.6 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Lightning | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Predators | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Predators | 47c | 1,807$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.43 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Lightning | 56c | 1,730$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.33 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Lightning | 63c | 1,723$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.29 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Lightning | 64c | 1,700$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e8…2525backed Lightning | 64c | 1,672$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.88 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Lightning | 55c | 1,658$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.68 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…c665backed Predators | 61c | 1,610$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -5.4wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Lightning | 56c | 1,548$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.99 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Predators | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…06d0backed Lightning | 64c | 1,429$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.29 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Lightning | 63c | 1,395$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.75 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Lightning | 64c | 1,389$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.04 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Predators | 38c | 1,375$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.18 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Predators | 36c | 1,286$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.87 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6658…8afdbacked Predators | 34c | 1,248$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9894…0307backed Lightning | 64c | 1,200$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Predators vs. Lightningthis page
- Predators vs. Lightning: O/U 4.5Over won
- Predators vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5Under won
- Predators vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5Under won
- Predators vs. Lightning: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Predators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.