TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6eb8…c665

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
480
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: CS2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 56 out of 100; worst NHL at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT33143.8%145 W · 186 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 331 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
LoL: Team WE vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$786Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$786
LoL: Team WE vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$940Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+38.5%+$361.65
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$60.71
LoL: Gen.G vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$197
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$372
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+87.5%+$568.67
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,315Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+55.2%+$725.75
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$621Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$573.23
LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$748Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+95.9%+$717.63
LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$612Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+121%+$739.79
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+161.2%+$451.46
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$188.44
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$48.66
Game Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.5
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$27
LoL: G2 Esports vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
LoL: Team Liquid vs Disguised - Game 1 Winnerbacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Heretics - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Heretics - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$43.08
Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$382
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
Showing 25 of 331 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT5358.5%31 W · 22 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$141.39
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+203%+$247.48
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$126.49
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.98
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$326.9
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$79.49
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.83
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.79
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.01
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$76.11
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.68
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 3 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.96
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$64.03
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+204%+$191.83
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$255.13
Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$218.09
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$296.26
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$118.62
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.52
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.81
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$210.79
Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+1.5)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.92
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+56%+$147.31
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.47
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$325.21
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT2536%9 W · 16 L-5.4wins-0.22per pick58cpaid-37.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
NHL — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$627Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$627
Stars vs. Flyersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Predators vs. Lightningbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$990Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$990
Ducks vs. Flamesbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$791Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$647.18
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Ducks vs. Canucksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$457Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$280.1
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Golden Knights vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.5
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$730Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$730
Flyers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$550
Stars vs. Avalanchebacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$427.78
Penguins vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$175.38
Penguins vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$735Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$735
Predators vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$222.59
Oilers vs. Bluesbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$315
Avalanche vs. Krakenbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$52.78
Flames vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$119
Canadiens vs. Senators: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$483Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$483
Canadiens vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$449Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$449
Capitals vs. Flyersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$197
Canadiens vs. Sharksbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Avalanche vs. Ducksbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$260.26
Predators vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$153.61
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$146.68
Maple Leafs vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+42.9%+$69
All 25 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 326: Rodolfo Bellato vs. Luke Fernandez (Light Heavyweight, Early Prelims)backed Luke Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$279
UFC Fight Night: Brandon Moreno vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Moreno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$675Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$675
UFC Fight Night: Marlon Vera vs. David Martinez (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$231.89
UFC Fight Night: King Green vs. Daniel Zellhuber (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+116.8%+$233.65
UFC Fight Night: Felipe Bunes vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Cháirez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+75.7%+$266.21
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$300
UFC Fight Night: Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Geoff Neal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$232.17
UFC Fight Night: Dan Ige vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+44.9%+$120.41
UFC Fight Night: Ante Delija vs. Serghei Spivac (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Spivac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+95.8%+$308.5
Will Jacobe Smith win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+79.3%+$79.35
UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Zachary Reese (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+73.9%+$178.86
UFC Fight Night: Chidi Njokuani vs. Carlos Leal (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Njokuani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25
UFC Fight Night: Ode' Osbourne vs. Alibi Idiris (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Idiris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+59%+$76.83
UFC Fight Night: Ramiz Brahimaj vs. Punahele Soriano (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Ramiz Brahimaj · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.20per pick55cpaid-37%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.62
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.61
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
Will Port Vale FC win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$553Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$211.09
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$700
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+138.3%+$411.55
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+53.8%+$25.31
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$460
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$440
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+108.3%+$162.5
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$213
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$337.52
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$171.5
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$146.41
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$391.99
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$595Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$595.5
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$127
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$643Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+86.3%+$555.17
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$23.99
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$537Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$536.68
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$517Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+42.9%+$221.45
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$213
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1080%8 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dubai Tennis Championships: Arthur Rinderknech vs Jack Draperbacked Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15.99
Mexican Open: Casper Ruud vs Yibing Wubacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$13.26
Mexican Open: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Flavio Cobollibacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+25.7%+$3.59
Dubai Tennis Championships: Otto Virtanen vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+75.4%+$10.55
Mensik vs. Hurkacz: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+58.7%+$17.61
Dubai Tennis Championships: Alexander Shevchenko vs Karen Khachanovbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+30.7%+$33.17
Dubai Tennis Championships: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.16
Dubai Tennis Championships: Quentin Halys vs Jack Draperbacked Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+43.8%+$113.79
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Alexandra Ealabacked Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+140.9%+$256.36
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Coco Gauff vs Elise Mertensbacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$327Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+51.5%+$168.45
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-32.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick11cpaid+66.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$597Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$432.31
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$421.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+61.3%+$367.74
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$16.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Final Stage: USA vs. Venezuelabacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
Final Stage: Italy vs. Venezuelabacked Venezuela · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$393.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+99.7%+$498.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Türkiye vs. Romania: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$730Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$730
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.