NBA · resolved market
Keyonte George: Points O/U 23.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0229e03d52855d22c21ab35c7236207ffc7a08c904532526fd1e6de111c55df2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,344
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,344 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 51c | 5,116$2,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,607.44 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Yes | 50c | 5,000$2,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,512.63 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed No | 48c | 2,151$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.96 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked No | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked No | 53c | 2,000$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked No | 49c | 1,325$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.78 | 473 | 54.8%259 W · 214 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked No | 49c | 1,318$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.98 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked No | 43c | 1,220$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.43 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Yes | 45c | 1,156$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.76 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked No | 49c | 816$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.16 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Yes | 45c | 725.99$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.98 | 369 | 54.7%202 W · 167 L | +28.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed No | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 51c | 449.23$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.12 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked No | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…c665backed Yes | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed No | 48c | 285.01$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.21 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 50c | 272$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Yes | 52c | 238.3$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.92 | 405 | 46.9%190 W · 215 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2e…0433backed No | 47c | 201.06$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.56 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed No | 53c | 161.91$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.72 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked No | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.86 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…176bbacked No | 49c | 122.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.48 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9d…8498backed Yes | 45c | 121$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.24 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b90…3d5cbacked Yes | 52c | 111.54$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e9…6d8ebacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 154 | 46.1%71 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 200 | 49%98 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 45c | 88.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.79 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac56…3efdbacked No | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked No | 54c | 79.12$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.34 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb858…7dc3backed Yes | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed No | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb431…b654backed Yes | 53c | 68.05$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.07 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4d…f103backed Yes | 53c | 67.63$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf392…bb0dbacked Yes | 53c | 65.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed No | 54c | 64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47b8…76f2backed No | 49c | 57.14$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd069…d068backed Yes | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed No | 46c | 54.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 1,084 | 42.4%460 W · 624 L | -48.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb83d…3aa2backed Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 240 | 42.9%103 W · 137 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe97…89e1backed Yes | 52c | 46.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…7560backed No | 50c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed No | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa684…ca71backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -7.0wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked No | 49c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x788c…4a44backed No | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Yes | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 326 | 54.3%177 W · 149 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b16…1290backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2691…f3b8backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Yes | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Keyonte George: Points O/U 23.5this page
- Ace Bailey: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Bobby Portis: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Jazz vs. BucksBucks won
- Jazz vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineBucks won
- Jazz vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Bucks: O/U 230.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Bucks: O/U 231.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Bucks: O/U 233.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Bucks: O/U 234.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Bucks: O/U 235.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Bucks: O/U 236.5Under won
- Keyonte George: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Keyonte George: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Kyle Filipowski: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Kyle Filipowski: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Ousmane Dieng: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Spread: Bucks (-10.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Bucks (-11.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Bucks (-9.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.