TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Bucks: O/U 230.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$188,399

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $188,399 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93ab…9723backed Under50c59,485$29,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,712.8160351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under50c40,965$20,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,482.51,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Over50c40,000$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,0001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83ab…3d56backed Over50c21,000$10,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,5009343%40 W · 53 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Over50c20,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over50c15,608$7,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,804.094,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over50c10,077$5,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,038.312,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Over50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under50c9,817$4,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,914.329,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c75…329abacked Over50c7,617$3,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,808.335750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c7,374$3,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,676.24,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under51c6,445$3,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,188.11,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Under50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5008153.1%43 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under50c4,003$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,002.0226637.2%99 W · 167 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Over50c3,800$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,899.9541553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00064944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under63c1,867$1,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.481,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Over49c1,708$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$836.9154443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Over51c1,566$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80028554.7%156 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Under51c1,500$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.114448.6%70 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Under51c1,190$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.7241947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over3c1,069$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1867921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over49c1,062$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.342,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50024050.8%122 W · 118 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under66c936.44$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.763,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c63…b90dbacked Under51c898.47$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.263762.2%23 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2271…8170backed Over50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.918147%85 W · 96 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Over33c752.74$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.7320838%79 W · 129 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3502…e42cbacked Over50c750$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.24per pick54cpaid+42.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Under50c589.67$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.6330453.3%162 W · 142 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Over49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24551753.8%278 W · 239 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9eab…7e13backed Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25014152.5%74 W · 67 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over49c499.94$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.9769149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Under52c480.99$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.9922447.8%107 W · 117 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over50c450.95$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.973,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over50c400.41$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Over50c400.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1e9…6d8ebacked Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.915446.1%71 W · 83 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over51c399.37$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.261,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb227…8809backed Under52c385$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18511157.7%64 W · 47 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Under51c309$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.4123946.4%111 W · 128 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Under51c308.38$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.114053.6%75 W · 65 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Over49c259.92$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.3621743.8%95 W · 122 L-14.2wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under64c255$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.82,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Under51c239.39$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.414155.3%78 W · 63 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4694…b6b2backed Over43c232.94$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010647.2%50 W · 56 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc308…c3b9backed Under50c208.43$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0931354.6%171 W · 142 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b49…1f54backed Under52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.151353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94c4…2a41backed Under52c193.76$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.9722953.3%122 W · 107 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefa5…b417backed Over50c193$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.518133.7%61 W · 120 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Under50c192$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9626756.2%150 W · 117 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under50c186.08$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.0464844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c9c…8c15backed Over50c155.62$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.811266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+31.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x93f1…b99dbacked Under52c150.89$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.8914466%95 W · 49 L+17.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+20.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa028…0031backed Under50c142.51$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.1730654.6%167 W · 139 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over49c142.32$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.573,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x86a8…d0e7backed Over50c120.24$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010955%60 W · 49 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd71…6714backed Over50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605166.7%34 W · 17 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x94b5…1225backed Under50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd454…b47fbacked Over50c115.7$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8527251.1%139 W · 133 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe02f…3d4cbacked Over50c100.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509545.3%43 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.969337.8%262 W · 431 L+2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under50c99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.51,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Under52c96.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.3429046.9%136 W · 154 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb65c…dcdfbacked Over50c93.8$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.910149.5%50 W · 51 L-7.8wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Under51c89.03$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0310545.7%48 W · 57 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x831c…f4eabacked Over40c84$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b20…62cbbacked Under50c79.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.619659.7%117 W · 79 L+17.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7715…ada4backed Over50c75$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.436344.4%28 W · 35 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under51c74.15$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.789853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Under58c70.19$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7645452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over39c66.93$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.441,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under50c66$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0223350.6%118 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f95…70a9backed Under52c60.46$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.026165.6%40 W · 21 L+7.9wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2b21…05ecbacked Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303033.3%10 W · 20 L-5.4wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-38.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0eec…89babacked Under51c59.02$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.923259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4630…1968backed Under50c58.44$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1412650%63 W · 63 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Over49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2552951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x035b…3ca0backed Under50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254148.8%20 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb83d…3aa2backed Over51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2524042.9%103 W · 137 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x409b…21e8backed Under51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0225855.8%144 W · 114 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeac9…4092backed Under50c42.38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1920554.6%112 W · 93 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under54c40.89$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.712,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x383d…87eabacked Under51c39.47$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4647852.9%253 W · 225 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d15…8026backed Under51c39.29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2927854.7%152 W · 126 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Under65c36$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.639055.6%217 W · 173 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc467…4cc3backed Over50c34.22$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.11955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Over50c32.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2552552%273 W · 252 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e4a…7045backed Under51c31$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1422748.9%111 W · 116 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3037…00a9backed Over50c30.62$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.281050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-33.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd0c…282cbacked Over50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.984845.8%22 W · 26 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Under51c29.47$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4740548.6%197 W · 208 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Over41c28.93$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9210028%28 W · 72 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf35…3fe7backed Under50c28.34$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.176653%35 W · 31 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa0e…27c3backed Over44c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111060%6 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91d5…4ab2backed Under56c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118043.8%35 W · 45 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0b…4db0backed Over50c24.05$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1218459.2%109 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe182…1d11backed Under50c23.88$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.881866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8d51…7317backed Under51c23.7$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.622853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2482…a721backed Over51c23.49$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.927646.1%35 W · 41 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.