NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. Bucks: O/U 236.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5a606159f2a656e30aea5cbffbf15e134a9aa27eb474263178c951831207a4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,404
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,404 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 44c | 5,045$2,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,207.73 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Under | 63c | 1,600$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Under | 57c | 1,404$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.51 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 40c | 1,277$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.05 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Under | 57c | 1,140$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.35 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6eb…5402backed Under | 57c | 1,009$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.77 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Over | 40c | 978.24$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.26 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 38c | 960.89$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.61 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 52c | 959.43$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.43 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd29…a74abacked Under | 66c | 756.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.45 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Under | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.66 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 37c | 463.64$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.02 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Under | 57c | 456.14$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.14 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 34c | 440.18$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.46 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 43c | 313.45$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.65 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fa…97a9backed Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Under | 65c | 164.83$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.79 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 61c | 159$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.01 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Over | 38c | 155.19$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.97 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Under | 60c | 97.17$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.87 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Under | 65c | 92.58$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.58 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…52fbbacked Under | 67c | 59.74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 139 | 38.8%54 W · 85 L | -14.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Over | 37c | 48.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 123 | 31.7%39 W · 84 L | -17.0wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 48c | 46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under | 57c | 44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Over | 37c | 41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 273 | 45.1%123 W · 150 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Over | 37c | 41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 329 | 47.4%156 W · 173 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898f…e9f2backed Under | 57c | 40.35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 44c | 38.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Over | 40c | 38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 327 | 47.4%155 W · 172 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 40c | 38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59c3…48e8backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 43c | 35.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…9e2fbacked Over | 37c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…e82ebacked Under | 61c | 32.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Under | 55c | 31.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 285 | 36.8%105 W · 180 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 48c | 30.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Under | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…0af4backed Over | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…d02bbacked Over | 45c | 24.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under | 62c | 21.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cab…7489backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa31a…e061backed Under | 64c | 18.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31ee…96c5backed Under | 63c | 16.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1f…cf3bbacked Under | 65c | 15.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jazz vs. Bucks: O/U 236.5this page
- Ace Bailey: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Bobby Portis: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Jazz vs. BucksBucks won
- Jazz vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineBucks won
- Jazz vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Bucks: O/U 230.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Bucks: O/U 231.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Bucks: O/U 233.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Bucks: O/U 234.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Bucks: O/U 235.5Under won
- Keyonte George: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Keyonte George: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Keyonte George: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Kyle Filipowski: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Kyle Filipowski: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Ousmane Dieng: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Spread: Bucks (-10.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Bucks (-11.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Bucks (-9.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.