TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0cab…7489

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
239
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 54 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10371.8%74 W · 29 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 103 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on April 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$3
Will 150 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on April 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+97.4%+$14.32
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.56
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on April 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.15
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on April 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on April 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.2
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.16
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on April 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.38
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.31
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on April 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on April 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.14
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$8.19
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on April 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.92
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$12.78
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C or higher on April 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.64
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on April 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.06
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on April 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.48
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.82
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on April 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+27%+$4.16
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C or higher on April 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.57
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.51
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$5.27
Showing 25 of 103 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT4156.1%23 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Nuggets (-14.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Knicks vs. Clippersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Grizzlies vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+102%+$20.2
Jazz vs. Bucks: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9
Jazz vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+26.6%+$3.15
Clippers vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Pelicans vs. Suns: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13.6
Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+66.7%+$12
Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 241.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+85.2%+$13.8
Hawks vs. Bucksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+108.3%+$18.2
Thunder vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$21.5
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.4
Thunder vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Trail Blazers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$6.8
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$6.8
Bucks vs. Bullsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$19.38
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$22.8
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$19.25
Hornets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$18.55
Lakers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$21.2
Lakers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$25
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$11
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+19.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$37
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$48.86
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+180.9%+$96.6
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+66.7%+$20
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+566.7%+$170
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+100%+$20
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.3
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 3 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+66.8%+$20.18
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+56.2%+$18
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$21
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$21.49
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$97.5
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+50%+$43.33
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+27.7%+$6.5
All 19 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-48%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will KP Sharma Oli be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to no prison time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$28.31
Will Reiwa Shinsengumi loose any seats in Japanese snap election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will Johannes Kaiser win at least 19% of votes in the first round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+28.2%+$4.4
Will Jeannette Jara win between 28% and 32% of votes in the first round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+78.6%+$8.8
Will Chile Grande y Unido hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$16.8
Will Jeannette Jara and José Antonio Kast advance to the runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+61.3%+$7.6
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.8
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$63
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.22
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.82
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.75
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+49.3%+$13.2
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+70.9%+$16.6
Will Atlas have an iOS app live by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$91.33
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+40.8%+$4.35
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-45.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-49%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick50cpaid+52.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-63.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick64cpaid+58.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+123.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dogecoin reach $0.10 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+28.2%+$6.6
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+28.2%+$6.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Medline's market cap be between $35B and $45B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+185.7%+$26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+113.7%+$26.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 National League Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SD Huesca vs. AD Ceuta FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+51.5%+$6.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Myles Garrett break the NFL sack record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-01-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.8% in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.