World Politics · resolved market
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73de4d9d13eb94079d2e707b34ad3a6c6923a5d5a27775127f9139946a08152f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,279,701
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,321,779
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,279,701 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 501 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ab5…e123backed No | 49c | 39,000$18,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,915 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x744e…4c43backed Yes | 52c | 38,992$20,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,911.09 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddae…33ccbacked Yes | 73c | 23,795$17,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,424.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…b34dbacked No | 27c | 23,795$6,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,424.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked No | 32c | 14,270$4,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,564.02 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 1c | 9,970$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.78 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34f0…7962backed No | 8c | 8,652$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 9c | 6,451$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.38 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 1c | 6,369$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.33 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff05…fad7backed No | 1c | 5,877$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.68 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ff…8750backed No | 7c | 5,581$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ba…569bbacked No | 9c | 4,750$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf807…65a2backed No | 2c | 4,478$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f76…1d92backed No | 28c | 4,412$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.22 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd459…13f9backed No | 13c | 4,363$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc722…1334backed No | 5c | 4,272$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.27 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…daccbacked No | 12c | 3,443$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6151…1678backed No | 1c | 3,163$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d9…1fd3backed No | 1c | 3,061$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be5…c1b3backed No | 46c | 3,000$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.75 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10cc…9816backed No | 1c | 2,976$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf87…ebc0backed No | 1c | 2,926$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…023fbacked No | 1c | 2,909$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe04b…c716backed No | 1c | 2,888$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1921…aa67backed No | 1c | 2,771$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffe…4478backed No | 4c | 2,660$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…27e4backed No | 1c | 2,637$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55f2…ccddbacked No | 1c | 2,617$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01e0…99b6backed No | 1c | 2,598$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9018…0ae5backed No | 1c | 2,562$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b3…4468backed No | 1c | 2,553$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed No | 9c | 2,549$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.07 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d6…29b5backed No | 1c | 2,500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x246d…3364backed No | 1c | 2,434$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf068…dc96backed No | 1c | 2,396$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8f…f98abacked No | 1c | 2,349$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee7…f2b0backed No | 1c | 2,310$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…a6d6backed No | 1c | 2,307$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad80…73f1backed No | 1c | 2,233$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4903…0242backed No | 1c | 2,231$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…4488backed Yes | 56c | 2,229$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53c4…a89fbacked No | 1c | 2,205$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19da…1666backed No | 1c | 2,196$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a57…fff4backed No | 1c | 2,190$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42b…4626backed No | 1c | 2,142$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8660…79f8backed No | 1c | 2,126$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2894…e6a0backed No | 1c | 2,093$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…a6e9backed No | 1c | 2,087$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20f0…49bcbacked No | 1c | 2,051$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2452…7a37backed No | 2c | 2,045$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…3b03backed Yes | 55c | 2,032$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f87…f277backed No | 13c | 2,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd64e…5516backed No | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.94 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e7…606cbacked No | 1c | 1,973$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…238ebacked No | 11c | 1,947$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9705…6844backed No | 1c | 1,933$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed No | 5c | 1,922$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a43…c867backed No | 1c | 1,920$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…809dbacked No | 1c | 1,917$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a9…4f6abacked No | 11c | 1,890$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +42%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa937…3325backed No | 1c | 1,871$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…5b1ebacked No | 1c | 1,845$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…6892backed No | 1c | 1,829$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…fa87backed No | 1c | 1,821$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…72d4backed No | 1c | 1,785$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a2…6419backed No | 1c | 1,784$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 18c | 1,769$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.35 | 367 | 42.5%156 W · 211 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d1…b35cbacked No | 1c | 1,735$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1693…e5ebbacked No | 1c | 1,725$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43bd…71a8backed No | 1c | 1,683$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14dd…2996backed No | 2c | 1,680$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4e…cf40backed No | 1c | 1,674$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x671e…bcc6backed No | 1c | 1,664$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee41…477ebacked No | 1c | 1,656$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadc0…5124backed No | 1c | 1,654$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b9…2478backed No | 1c | 1,638$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7036…dfedbacked No | 1c | 1,630$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde08…2504backed No | 1c | 1,629$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba2…eb93backed Yes | 58c | 1,629$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.68 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57f1…cfddbacked No | 7c | 1,627$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 34c | 1,626$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.37 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f87…0901backed No | 2c | 1,624$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0697…28afbacked No | 1c | 1,623$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f17…1da4backed No | 1c | 1,608$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84c4…8f95backed No | 1c | 1,600$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea07…02d9backed No | 1c | 1,594$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c47…954fbacked No | 1c | 1,569$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc7…fe1cbacked No | 6c | 1,561$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e2…50e2backed No | 1c | 1,561$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2970…f89bbacked No | 1c | 1,556$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed No | 7c | 1,539$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.02 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfcbf…3b98backed No | 1c | 1,536$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced9…ff9dbacked No | 2c | 1,510$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb443…ab0fbacked No | 1c | 1,505$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca5…7215backed No | 1c | 1,491$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…af1ebacked No | 1c | 1,480$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1256…d7c0backed No | 1c | 1,468$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c13…d1f1backed No | 1c | 1,447$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01d8…fa68backed No | 1c | 1,444$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeefc…8218backed No | 1c | 1,442$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?this page
- Will Gagan Kumar Thapa be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?No won
- Will Harka Sampang be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?No won
- Will KP Sharma Oli be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?No won
- Will Pushpa Kamal Dahal (“Prachanda”) be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?No won
- Will Rabi Lamichhane be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.