TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6f76…1d92

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
170
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: China Taiwan, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category China Taiwan at 54 out of 100; worst World Politics at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT6031.7%19 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$821Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$821.13
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$431Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$431.22
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.88
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+300%+$90
Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$17.77
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$66.67
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$142.31
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.56
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$608Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+146.9%+$893.2
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$261.32
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT4040%16 W · 24 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-34.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.44
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,009Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+59.9%+$604.54
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.62
Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Cho Gil-hyeong win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$944Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$943.99
Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+235.5%+$78.71
Will Luis Fernando Camacho win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.45
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$26.67
Will Esther Soria Gonzales win the 2026 Cochabamba gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Luis Antonio Revilla win the 2026 La Paz gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+136.4%+$27.28
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$38.68
Prince Andrew charged by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Benoît Payan win the Marseille mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
Will Gagan Kumar Thapa be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.38
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,220.22
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Christian Estrosi win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Manuel Saavedra win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$16.87
Will Manfred Reyes Villa win the 2026 Cochabamba mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$12.75
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+55.3%+$111.17
Will SPD win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$71.37
Will the Labour Party (PvdA) win the most seats in Amsterdam’s 2026 municipal election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.17
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$439Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+95.5%+$419.26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$973Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$862.92
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,749Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,749.13
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$663Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$587.81
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$701Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$701.35
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$603Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$602.76
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+107.2%+$314.25
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$18.82
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.13
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$80.54
Nothing Ever Happens: Khameneibacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$951Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$951.04
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+29.9%+$9.28
Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+204%+$83.64
Nothing Ever Happens: Iran Strike Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will Trump meet with Reza Pahlavi by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+30.7%+$17.62
All 20 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
AI — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Artemis II launch by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+59.7%+$11.94
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$50.06
Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$7.99
Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Artemis II launch by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+209%+$245.19
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+41.2%+$37.11
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$40.34
ChatGPT Outage by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$387.33
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 15 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.63
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$39.87
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+42%+$171.22
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+62.3%+$29.22
Will Darren Bailey win the 2026 Illinois Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$6.5
Will Raja Krishnamoorthi be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will John Cornyn come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Valerie Foushee be the Democratic Nominee for NC-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+60%+$24
Will Jessica Steinmann be the Republican Nominee for TX-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+28.2%+$11.28
Will Daniel Crenshaw be the Republican Nominee for TX-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$429.89
Will Steve Toth be the Republican Nominee for TX-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$84.72
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-60.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-65.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+131.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+197.1%+$39.41
DeepSeek V4 released by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Vitality win PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+38.9%+$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin outperform Silver in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+36.4%+$7.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Liquid win Blast Slam VI? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+35.5%+$7.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Akshay Bhatia win the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.