World Politics · resolved market
Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f099ddf210c1d32006f55fe2da00ee78ff10734b7786d8b34f281c4b9c426e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $357,233
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $275,174
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $357,233 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1255…dc0fbacked Yes | 21c | 48,094$10,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,320.07 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88be…652dbacked Yes | 9c | 45,739$4,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,068.32 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff9e…56a1backed Yes | 15c | 23,593$3,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,537.35 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…4155backed Yes | 22c | 15,603$3,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,386.91 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf861…aa20backed Yes | 22c | 14,224$3,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,166.87 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +106.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed Yes | 12c | 13,946$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728.23 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +8.3wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Yes | 13c | 10,582$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.14 | 142 | 40.8%58 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…0a2bbacked Yes | 15c | 10,185$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.07 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 23cpaid | +391.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes | 21c | 8,817$1,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829.04 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 27cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…067dbacked Yes | 22c | 8,741$1,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,916.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 77c | 6,679$5,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.58 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes | 21c | 5,149$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.87 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +202.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…9ee2backed Yes | 28c | 5,014$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.93 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +8.0wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x567a…f5f4backed Yes | 24c | 4,890$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.02 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7616…69eebacked Yes | 32c | 4,701$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.94 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x238a…a504backed Yes | 14c | 4,497$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.19 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 14cpaid | +245.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 4c | 3,966$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 70c | 3,672$2,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.71 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa143…a135backed Yes | 0c | 3,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50a7…8afbbacked Yes | 21c | 2,912$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…fc58backed Yes | 18c | 2,793$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.11 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 73c | 2,549$1,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.69 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe373…3a51backed Yes | 31c | 2,492$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +175%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…ef76backed Yes | 16c | 2,275$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.87 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 21c | 2,229$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.07 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed No | 71c | 2,222$1,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.55 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca0…d5f8backed Yes | 22c | 2,174$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 79c | 2,087$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.07 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9063…3cc8backed Yes | 20c | 1,700$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbea2…2d33backed No | 78c | 1,445$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.14 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03cf…7e40backed Yes | 20c | 1,355$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked Yes | 13c | 1,271$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.49 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d5…2c0ebacked Yes | 12c | 1,240$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.76 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f2…5bbebacked Yes | 17c | 1,212$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.04 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ab…3d8bbacked Yes | 30c | 1,184$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…36bebacked Yes | 10c | 1,156$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.18 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e1…5683backed Yes | 54c | 1,127$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +349.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed No | 79c | 1,109$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.94 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1c…4d4dbacked No | 78c | 1,079$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.89 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked No | 60c | 1,066$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.72 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 75c | 1,022$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.52 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2829…6ae8backed Yes | 32c | 1,017$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…8a41backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.65 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ab…ab2ebacked Yes | 14c | 1,000$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +197.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…0217backed Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8b…92c9backed Yes | 12c | 999.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 36cpaid | +141.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed Yes | 25c | 999.84$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.16 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Yes | 16c | 981.89$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1281…8d51backed Yes | 40c | 953.81$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.52 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a7a2backed Yes | 15c | 932.04$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +139.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 15c | 901.53$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2f31backed Yes | 21c | 801.11$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.98 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…13fdbacked Yes | 13c | 800$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +338.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc5…e03abacked Yes | 27c | 785.28$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 16cpaid | +216.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x364e…2e36backed Yes | 46c | 738.7$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d0…4427backed Yes | 20c | 700.01$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.81 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba9…555ebacked Yes | 17c | 699.99$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…95adbacked Yes | 31c | 636.23$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.7 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1ac6backed Yes | 5c | 630.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +8.9wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 78c | 626.3$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.05 | 223 | 55.6%124 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf0…facbbacked Yes | 23c | 614.96$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 72c | 604.71$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.88 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c1…3e0bbacked No | 67c | 602.61$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.91 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +5.8wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +56%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe891…e3ddbacked Yes | 30c | 602.5$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +172.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18d…9863backed No | 63c | 600.41$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.17 | 78 | 16.7%13 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde0…c21cbacked Yes | 17c | 599.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc6…c936backed Yes | 35c | 590.5$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 75c | 587.54$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.8 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd479…1086backed Yes | 17c | 559.02$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +119.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe31c…642bbacked Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +169.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce53…834bbacked No | 78c | 554.33$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.95 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +36%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88e3…384ebacked Yes | 9c | 531$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70f3…3df7backed Yes | 20c | 508.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed Yes | 25c | 501.79$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.19 | 110 | 20.9%23 W · 87 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae33…7807backed Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +334.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 80c | 495.6$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.04 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e5…7127backed Yes | 21c | 475.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdad0…c9c5backed Yes | 23c | 462.73$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed No | 45c | 457.58$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.76 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +8.0wins | +0.20per pick | 33cpaid | +105%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 21c | 446.5$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.06 | 347 | 26.8%93 W · 254 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes | 21c | 437.31$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeacd…8143backed Yes | 20c | 427.19$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.97 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f9…e37dbacked Yes | 10c | 420.71$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.86 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…5c5cbacked Yes | 31c | 408.45$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6e…2dfbbacked Yes | 16c | 405.93$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc5…e1e3backed Yes | 12c | 399.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.87 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da6…9ac4backed Yes | 16c | 394.17$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.32 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…6e72backed No | 39c | 372.69$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.04 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +18.2wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 79c | 370$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.35 | 285 | 58.9%168 W · 117 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9076…e5e4backed Yes | 16c | 367.28$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…4ef3backed Yes | 19c | 366.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.43 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -73%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3642…a80dbacked Yes | 23c | 358.02$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8d…71eebacked Yes | 29c | 345.14$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.67 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +43%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a57…493ebacked No | 79c | 340.88$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.41 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…916fbacked Yes | 9c | 339.22$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +127.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…ed44backed Yes | 45c | 336.19$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf89b…adccbacked Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 8c | 326.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 55 | 12.7%7 W · 48 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d6…48f9backed Yes | 23c | 304.35$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa773…871abacked Yes | 33c | 303.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +111.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?this page
- Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?No won
- Will Cho Kyoung-tae win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?No won
- Will Choi In-ho win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?No won
- Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?Yes won
- Will Hong Soon-heon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?No won
- Will Kim Do-eup win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?No won
- Will Kim Young-choon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?No won
- Will Lee Jae-sung win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?No won
- Will Park Jae-ho win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?No won
- Will Park Seong-hoon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?No won
- Will Suh Byung-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.