TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe7c1…3e0b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
740
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: World Politics, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 63 out of 100; worst Middle East at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT63646.9%298 W · 338 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 636 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffsbacked CCG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$150
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - LES Playoffsbacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$186
LoL: Solary vs Galions (BO5) - LFL Playoffsbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$128
LoL: Crusaders vs Bubliki (BO5) - LPLOL Playoffsbacked Bubliki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$139.99
LoL: The Bandits vs mCon esports (BO5) - Road Of Legends Playoffsbacked The Bandits · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffsbacked Vivo Keyd Stars Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+101.3%+$151
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$140
Game Handicap: AL (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$114
LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$33
LoL: Forsaken vs BOMBA Team (BO5) - Rift Legends Playoffsbacked Forsaken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$99.32
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffsbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$72
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Game Handicap: FLY (-2.5) vs Sentinels (+2.5)backed Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.28
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffsbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.2
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.06
LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
LoL: CCG Esports vs Conviction (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffsbacked CCG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.74
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Galions (BO5) - LFL Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$100
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$160
LoL: NRG Esports vs Winthrop University (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffsbacked Winthrop University · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$284
Showing 25 of 636 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT4652.2%24 W · 22 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$7,737Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+55.1%+$4,262.97
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,505Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,505.49
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$168.56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.5
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$192
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$308
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$84
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$79
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,079Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$475.43
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$585Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$315
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$108
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+55.3%+$106.8
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$268.99
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$334.8
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,423Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$388.8
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$506Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$506
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$54.08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,398Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$902
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$60
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,115Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$785
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,039Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$261
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$99.5
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$588Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+73%+$429.28
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT2572%18 W · 7 L+5.8wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+56%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
World Politics — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by between 6% and 9%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by between 3% and 6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by 9% or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+39.6%+$76.69
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by less than 3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$105
Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province gubernatorial election by between 10% and 20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+102.1%+$19.2
Will Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election by less than 10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+132.7%+$27.25
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election by less than 10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$587Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$392.52
Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election by less than 10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+62.2%+$304.48
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election by less than 10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+81.7%+$94.77
Will the Democratic Party win 12 upper-level local government races?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$79.08
Will the Democratic Party win 11 upper-level local government races?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.66
Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$744Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$744.03
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$786Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+715.5%+$5,623.03
Will Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$556Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$556
Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,808Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$1,479.47
Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,087Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+38%+$413
Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$404Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$198.91
Will Kim Doo-kyum win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$285
Will Lee Won-taek win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+67%+$149.44
Will Kim Sang-wook win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$250
Will Kim Kwan-young win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$18.15
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$26.5
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$116
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 5–10 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$202.4
All 25 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick67cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$897Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$896.9
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,012Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$587.6
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$424Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+65.1%+$276
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$532Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+77.7%+$413.36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,218Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$781.99
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+48.5%+$290.87
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,360Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$640
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+46.4%+$181.82
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,020Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+53.5%+$1,079.98
All 11 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-36.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$210
Will Netherlands win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$52.15
Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$4,275Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+37.9%+$1,619.29
Will Germany win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$742Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$741.77
Will the United States win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$132.25
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$8,368Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+39.3%+$3,288.68
Winter Games 2026: Norway (-6.5) vs. USA (+6.5) gold medals?backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,770Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,770.44
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+61.3%+$114
Will Laura Nolte (GER) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Bobsled - 2 Woman (Driver) at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+30.4%+$70
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick7cpaid+116.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-49.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$66
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$30.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Sean Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.