World Politics · resolved market
Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x819ae990aac5ebdf8f3093ec059946d98832f67edd13901df333d39f96b3db8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,553,451
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,337,648
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,553,451 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc21e…0215backed Yes | 0c | 488,947$1,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,712.47 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 296,464$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.73 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 0c | 279,506$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.7 | 46 | 0%0 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e9…88e5backed Yes | 0c | 195,946$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.96 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4e…47f0backed Yes | 0c | 146,669$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.67 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9c…6421backed Yes | 0c | 98,203$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.61 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…9754backed Yes | 0c | 51,133$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.47 | 58 | 3.4%2 W · 56 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2179…bedbbacked Yes | 0c | 39,999$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 46 | 0%0 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58fd…43a6backed Yes | 0c | 37,999$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…9e24backed Yes | 0c | 34,954$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.52 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa88d…9830backed Yes | 0c | 33,332$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d2…fb68backed Yes | 0c | 30,528$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.39 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Yes | 0c | 29,999$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdb…d762backed Yes | 0c | 29,481$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.78 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18d…9863backed Yes | 1c | 20,591$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.47 | 78 | 16.7%13 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 1c | 14,816$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.75 | 58 | 15.5%9 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1c…4d4dbacked Yes | 8c | 13,768$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.83 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c1…3e0bbacked Yes | 6c | 12,585$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.03 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +5.8wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +56%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 2c | 11,840$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.17 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b7…ce76backed Yes | 0c | 11,625$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2c…407ebacked Yes | 0c | 11,500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 110 | 0%0 W · 110 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…a07cbacked Yes | 0c | 11,341$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x907d…20c4backed Yes | 0c | 10,665$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 41 | 0%0 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa719…0f74backed Yes | 0c | 10,600$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4c…e089backed Yes | 1c | 9,664$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…0dfdbacked Yes | 0c | 9,625$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 37 | 2.7%1 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd861…0ef9backed Yes | 0c | 8,942$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdab6…60a9backed Yes | 0c | 8,942$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe596…88cabacked Yes | 0c | 8,245$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d06…3beebacked Yes | 0c | 7,254$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…4155backed Yes | 6c | 6,962$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.96 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe828…c425backed Yes | 0c | 6,920$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfde0…812ebacked Yes | 0c | 6,603$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa175…037bbacked Yes | 0c | 6,116$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0461…3d55backed Yes | 0c | 5,841$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb15…92b6backed Yes | 0c | 5,835$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…aa32backed Yes | 0c | 5,694$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b14…02d7backed Yes | 0c | 5,694$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7c…e228backed Yes | 0c | 5,694$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x379d…0f62backed Yes | 0c | 5,560$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec6a…4768backed Yes | 0c | 5,492$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…5238backed Yes | 0c | 5,492$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2878…e56abacked Yes | 0c | 5,492$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe469…37a2backed Yes | 0c | 5,291$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c7…e5dbbacked Yes | 0c | 5,073$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…9b23backed Yes | 0c | 4,690$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…203cbacked Yes | 0c | 4,690$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 4,406$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.48 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc708…e31ebacked Yes | 0c | 4,342$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4f…6689backed Yes | 0c | 4,342$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a50…af42backed Yes | 0c | 4,342$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26f3…158dbacked Yes | 0c | 4,342$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5efe…600fbacked Yes | 0c | 4,342$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d30…ecf7backed Yes | 0c | 4,342$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9147…a532backed Yes | 0c | 4,342$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x109e…98d5backed Yes | 0c | 4,342$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92df…1e90backed Yes | 0c | 4,332$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45b…d941backed Yes | 0c | 4,332$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc264…7793backed Yes | 0c | 4,332$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d34…2826backed Yes | 0c | 4,332$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a21…652fbacked Yes | 0c | 4,332$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4915…c9c3backed Yes | 0c | 4,332$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…abb3backed Yes | 0c | 4,332$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22ca…a82ebacked Yes | 0c | 4,332$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b06…8eb2backed Yes | 0c | 4,332$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x053b…ce10backed Yes | 0c | 3,763$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0123…d137backed Yes | 0c | 3,730$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53da…2921backed Yes | 0c | 3,730$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3243…365fbacked Yes | 0c | 3,730$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb56a…a2eabacked Yes | 0c | 3,730$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Yes | 1c | 3,472$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.33 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 0c | 3,400$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 135 | 7.4%10 W · 125 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c8…e944backed Yes | 1c | 3,394$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 3c | 2,647$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.95 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 4c | 2,643$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.47 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 2,096$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.25 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…477cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,046$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…ab55backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 2c | 1,972$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.15 | 166 | 4.2%7 W · 159 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c2…89abbacked Yes | 1c | 1,800$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 3cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b01…95a9backed Yes | 1c | 1,744$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…b103backed Yes | 7c | 1,587$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.65 | 205 | 38%78 W · 127 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1086…7b3cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,516$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.5 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 5c | 1,477$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.02 | 241 | 10.8%26 W · 215 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbba8…f383backed Yes | 1c | 1,446$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -89.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…7af9backed Yes | 2c | 1,302$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 4cpaid | +72%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 3c | 1,166$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.06 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 3c | 1,158$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 211 | 7.1%15 W · 196 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e60…da40backed Yes | 4c | 1,138$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ba…7401backed Yes | 2c | 983.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd2…b33cbacked Yes | 3c | 983$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa546…fa04backed Yes | 3c | 883$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 1c | 875.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe6…5892backed Yes | 2c | 795.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 6c | 783$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 94 | 18.1%17 W · 77 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7170…3c0cbacked Yes | 6c | 749.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ce…dcfabacked Yes | 2c | 699.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77fc…0eacbacked Yes | 2c | 676.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ef…3413backed Yes | 3c | 647$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…d9cabacked Yes | 5c | 622.03$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionthis page
- Will Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo won
- Will Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo won
- Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo won
- Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo won
- Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo won
- Will Hong Ihk-pyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo won
- Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo won
- Will Kang Hoon-sik win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo won
- Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes won
- Will Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo won
- Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo won
- Will Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo won
- Will Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.