World Politics · resolved market
Will Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe660bc726e2e1171e8af9a1362845f9e85c16550f8918f75959a5229af280c3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,149,603
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,478,400
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,149,603 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 682,977$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.97 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 0c | 510,644$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443.05 | 46 | 0%0 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc21e…0215backed Yes | 1c | 270,208$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.95 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e9…88e5backed Yes | 0c | 236,125$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.59 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4e…47f0backed Yes | 0c | 232,848$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.85 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9c…6421backed Yes | 0c | 158,081$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.24 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa88d…9830backed Yes | 0c | 133,332$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…9e24backed Yes | 0c | 109,787$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.12 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58fd…43a6backed Yes | 0c | 37,499$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2179…bedbbacked Yes | 0c | 33,312$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.31 | 46 | 0%0 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…9754backed Yes | 0c | 30,901$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.27 | 58 | 3.4%2 W · 56 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d2…fb68backed Yes | 0c | 29,999$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc709…5f3abacked Yes | 0c | 24,989$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…58b0backed Yes | 0c | 16,923$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.85 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480f…c911backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa719…0f74backed Yes | 0c | 14,200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x907d…20c4backed Yes | 0c | 12,809$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 41 | 0%0 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 11,563$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 55 | 0%0 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 0c | 10,123$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 58 | 15.5%9 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2c…407ebacked Yes | 0c | 9,885$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 110 | 0%0 W · 110 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedfd…367dbacked Yes | 0c | 9,280$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7018…b95abacked Yes | 0c | 9,280$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…c286backed Yes | 0c | 9,280$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf6…fbdabacked Yes | 0c | 9,119$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20c0…aa2dbacked Yes | 0c | 9,119$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed6…4371backed Yes | 0c | 8,500$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +153.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…3424backed Yes | 0c | 7,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe408…b7b8backed Yes | 0c | 7,266$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x681b…d3aebacked Yes | 0c | 7,266$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffa0…5cc3backed Yes | 0c | 7,266$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf75d…790bbacked Yes | 0c | 7,266$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fae…8491backed Yes | 0c | 7,266$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…f99dbacked Yes | 0c | 6,924$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6506…c751backed Yes | 0c | 6,644$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…5a2cbacked Yes | 0c | 6,644$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39b1…97b1backed Yes | 0c | 6,644$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec0…c0ecbacked Yes | 0c | 6,644$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36c9…2260backed Yes | 0c | 6,644$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93d1…fd4abacked Yes | 0c | 6,644$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfff2…3f58backed Yes | 0c | 5,250$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd412…8790backed Yes | 0c | 5,241$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8555…ef94backed Yes | 0c | 5,241$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c9…8cd0backed Yes | 0c | 5,234$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc799…9f97backed Yes | 0c | 5,208$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b48…431fbacked Yes | 0c | 5,045$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30dd…cbfdbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e1…72e6backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5833…9ff0backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb50d…a49bbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d0…dc15backed Yes | 0c | 3,401$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3057…45e5backed Yes | 0c | 3,401$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb6…efb6backed Yes | 0c | 3,401$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51af…ecfebacked Yes | 0c | 3,401$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde13…8dd5backed Yes | 0c | 3,401$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4979…0ec7backed Yes | 0c | 3,401$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x616e…2076backed Yes | 0c | 3,381$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…065bbacked Yes | 0c | 3,381$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 2,917$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 169 | 1.8%3 W · 166 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionthis page
- Will Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo won
- Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo won
- Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo won
- Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo won
- Will Hong Ihk-pyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo won
- Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo won
- Will Kang Hoon-sik win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo won
- Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo won
- Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes won
- Will Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo won
- Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo won
- Will Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo won
- Will Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.