World Politics · resolved market
Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf21dfd7b985a2e3e78f56f14146013b35cdbd24dbc3f72831d425d7e131ac26b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,730,190
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,864,181
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,730,190 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 0c | 243,703$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.11 | 46 | 0%0 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 218,726$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.11 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x558e…2ee7backed Yes | 0c | 196,226$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4e…47f0backed Yes | 0c | 183,928$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.93 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc21e…0215backed Yes | 0c | 126,028$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.91 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e9…88e5backed Yes | 0c | 111,374$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.12 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa88d…9830backed Yes | 0c | 66,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x907d…20c4backed Yes | 0c | 34,237$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 41 | 0%0 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…b965backed Yes | 0c | 31,784$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58fd…43a6backed Yes | 0c | 30,999$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d2…fb68backed Yes | 0c | 30,575$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6161…8ad9backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…9754backed Yes | 0c | 26,400$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 58 | 3.4%2 W · 56 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 25,948$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.02 | 89 | 2.2%2 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 5c | 18,689$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.08 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0873…09e8backed Yes | 0c | 16,665$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 361 | 4.4%16 W · 345 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…0dfdbacked Yes | 0c | 14,414$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 37 | 2.7%1 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8db1…8269backed Yes | 8c | 14,021$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.15 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8516…293dbacked Yes | 6c | 13,529$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.3 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…9e24backed Yes | 0c | 13,029$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.32 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcad4…1a4cbacked Yes | 6c | 11,610$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.36 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebd…c462backed Yes | 5c | 11,572$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.92 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 0c | 9,600$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 169 | 1.8%3 W · 166 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa719…0f74backed Yes | 0c | 9,500$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7417…66a7backed Yes | 11c | 9,262$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 4c | 9,185$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.67 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 2c | 8,350$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.76 | 58 | 15.5%9 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0169…0096backed Yes | 0c | 6,667$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc64b…516dbacked Yes | 6c | 6,452$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.18 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Yes | 4c | 6,394$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.68 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfff2…3f58backed Yes | 0c | 6,100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 6,065$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.23 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae9…5f74backed Yes | 11c | 5,850$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.03 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 7c | 5,469$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.95 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…4155backed Yes | 5c | 4,467$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.71 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 4c | 4,217$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.05 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18d…9863backed Yes | 3c | 4,004$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.93 | 78 | 16.7%13 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c8a…d888backed Yes | 7c | 3,862$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.33 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 3,747$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.04 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 4c | 3,714$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.39 | 135 | 7.4%10 W · 125 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 5c | 3,610$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.02 | 241 | 10.8%26 W · 215 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 4c | 3,471$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.77 | 211 | 7.1%15 W · 196 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Yes | 7c | 3,418$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.13 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 4c | 3,336$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.2 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 2c | 3,300$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.26 | 166 | 4.2%7 W · 159 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1086…7b3cbacked Yes | 5c | 3,195$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.38 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedee…f2b4backed Yes | 6c | 2,970$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.07 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab0…d33bbacked Yes | 6c | 2,849$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd44…2c0ebacked Yes | 7c | 2,723$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.68 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…7c2abacked Yes | 5c | 2,219$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 27cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…7449backed Yes | 5c | 1,945$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…1017backed Yes | 5c | 1,904$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 20cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,898$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.85 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x264d…13fdbacked Yes | 4c | 1,855$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e03…7f16backed Yes | 5c | 1,751$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x183c…9bf6backed Yes | 5c | 1,700$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa84…e985backed Yes | 12c | 1,630$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.95 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1559…af25backed Yes | 4c | 1,587$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 6c | 1,492$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.89 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd742…2fd4backed Yes | 5c | 1,427$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…7a45backed Yes | 6c | 1,377$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,376$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.86 | 94 | 18.1%17 W · 77 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 1c | 1,336$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…7af9backed Yes | 5c | 1,325$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.14 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 4cpaid | +72%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93e0…9f02backed Yes | 9c | 1,275$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b54…548dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,270$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77fc…0eacbacked Yes | 3c | 1,262$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5898…5028backed Yes | 5c | 1,174$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.67 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e60…da40backed Yes | 4c | 1,148$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…01b2backed Yes | 5c | 1,091$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 1c | 1,048$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 150 | 14%21 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 4c | 1,032$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.16 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x027c…b158backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x632e…ade1backed Yes | 5c | 999$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bb…2851backed Yes | 7c | 994$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b87…e9aebacked Yes | 6c | 980$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd165…7743backed Yes | 7c | 971$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x455e…1fcfbacked Yes | 9c | 970$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 4c | 963.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 140 | 27.9%39 W · 101 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…91b2backed Yes | 5c | 948$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc461…97f0backed Yes | 5c | 893$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff3…009cbacked Yes | 8c | 824$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 2c | 812.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 53 | 7.5%4 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes | 3c | 775.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 15cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdac0…0207backed Yes | 7c | 721$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…820cbacked Yes | 4c | 718$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…b103backed No | 67c | 700$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 205 | 38%78 W · 127 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1604…ff0ebacked Yes | 5c | 699.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…4525backed Yes | 4c | 690$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e18…5a76backed Yes | 5c | 684$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 11c | 683.31$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.65 | 182 | 16.5%30 W · 152 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x356c…01eebacked Yes | 7c | 667$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fb…548fbacked Yes | 7c | 667$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5be…b83bbacked Yes | 7c | 663$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3f…a6bfbacked Yes | 6c | 663$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 3c | 637.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…145cbacked Yes | 5c | 627.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -94.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x561b…ae78backed Yes | 33c | 573.6$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.73 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionthis page
- Will Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo won
- Will Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo won
- Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo won
- Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo won
- Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo won
- Will Hong Ihk-pyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo won
- Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo won
- Will Kang Hoon-sik win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo won
- Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo won
- Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes won
- Will Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo won
- Will Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo won
- Will Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.