TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xed88…0dfd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
185
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Weather, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT372.7%1 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick1cpaid-59.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rachel Reeves be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.73
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.83
Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.37
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.46
Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.29
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.74
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.63
Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Will Claudia López win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.06
Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.41
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+1,403.1%+$451.8
Will Daniel Quintero win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will David Luna Sánchez win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.19
Will Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.72
Will Enrique Peñalosa win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.16
Will Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.25
Will Hong Ihk-pyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.25
Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT287.1%2 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-39%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Taylor Fritz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.92
Will Ben Shelton be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.86
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+1,317.1%+$1,446.72
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.44
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.47
Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.82
Will Andrey Rublev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.93
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.9
Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.08
Will Francisco Cerundolo win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.14
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.96
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.47
Will Alejandro Davidovich Fokina win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.76
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.93
Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.72
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.67
Will Jack Draper win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.53
Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.94
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.87
Barcelona Open: Andrey Rublev vs Arthur Filsbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Marta Kostyuk vs Veronika Podrezbacked Veronika Podrez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.83
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Karolina Muchovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Oeiras 3: Maja Chwalinska vs Sinja Krausbacked Sinja Kraus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.7
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Marta Kostyuk vs Tatjana Mariabacked Tatjana Maria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT229.1%2 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-84.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.54
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.99
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$390
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$616Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$465.94
Will Oceania (OCF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.16
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$520
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.99
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.49
Will Asia (AFC) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.48
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.99
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
All 22 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT210%0 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.97
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.68
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.31
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.69
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.67
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.41
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.15
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.55
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.6
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.53
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.81
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.89
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.53
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.48
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.27
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.19
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.29
All 21 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick6cpaid-85.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$458Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$458.3
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.04
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.72
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.33
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.95
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.8
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.86
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.25
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.57
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Celtics vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,387Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+69.5%+$963.5
All 12 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT110%0 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.41
Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.93
Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.15
Over $150M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.22
Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.78
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.98
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.63
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.48
Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.01
Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.98
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.82
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT110%0 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.77
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.15
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.55
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.65
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.41
Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.93
Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.83
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.86
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.53
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.75
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT90%0 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.58
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.2
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.49
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.43
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.87
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.38
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.85
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.04
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.91
All 9 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick3cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+56.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.75
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Nanjing Monkey Kingbacked Nanjing Monkey King · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Jilin Northeast Tigers vs. Guangzhou Loong Lionsbacked Jilin Northeast Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$33
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$87.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lucknow Super Giants win the 2026 Indian Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.