Music · resolved market
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75a8e7e2983cb2a0c0363e2bbf30bbd7719ada40b7b04c2ef2d43b06a61d96cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $202,301
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,301 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 8c | 15,635$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.67 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc41e…e2e9backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 8c | 12,637$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.37 | 122 | 34.4%42 W · 80 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…2c2dbacked Yes | 8c | 7,631$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357c…7dfebacked Yes | 5c | 6,878$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.49 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +813.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Yes | 14c | 5,150$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.13 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f2…1762backed Yes | 7c | 5,026$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.52 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 8c | 5,000$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 26cpaid | +165.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…9218backed Yes | 6c | 3,607$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.83 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…3fd2backed Yes | 12c | 3,459$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.88 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +134.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3f…fec2backed Yes | 6c | 3,347$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.27 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 5c | 2,703$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.98 | 69 | 5.8%4 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +148.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 2,131$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 58 | 3.4%2 W · 56 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +202.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f0…1e62backed Yes | 10c | 2,072$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.62 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3001…d5c3backed Yes | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fac…2f27backed Yes | 8c | 1,853$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.71 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…9e36backed Yes | 10c | 1,604$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.57 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 5c | 1,385$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.03 | 66 | 4.5%3 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a8…865abacked Yes | 8c | 1,375$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.47 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 6c | 1,250$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.84 | 107 | 4.7%5 W · 102 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…920fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,136$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 8c | 1,121$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.32 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x472a…2dadbacked Yes | 10c | 1,041$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 1,017$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e36…6215backed Yes | 2c | 951.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 7c | 893.74$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…6283backed Yes | 3c | 858.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c54…f0bbbacked Yes | 6c | 854.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ba…73a2backed Yes | 3c | 800.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed Yes | 8c | 772.37$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.56 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Yes | 13c | 742.39$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.71 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 3c | 709.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 65 | 1.5%1 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde4d…df45backed Yes | 4c | 688.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0327…5e15backed Yes | 7c | 664$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.33 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f39…7a21backed Yes | 6c | 657.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b9…9e66backed Yes | 3c | 647.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 8c | 642.38$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe1…6c98backed Yes | 17c | 599.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.19 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 11c | 598.02$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.14 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c47…882abacked Yes | 9c | 581.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 15cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99b…1211backed Yes | 4c | 550$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 14c | 537.01$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.83 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a0…db2ebacked Yes | 6c | 525.12$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked Yes | 7c | 520$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 3c | 508.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…0dfdbacked Yes | 2c | 493.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fb…90c7backed Yes | 12c | 444.41$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…df7fbacked Yes | 11c | 444.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…9c18backed Yes | 4c | 437.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…a1f1backed Yes | 10c | 435.34$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef7…fba9backed Yes | 9c | 427.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…e560backed Yes | 7c | 427.23$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…d09cbacked Yes | 6c | 417.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a3…a4e1backed Yes | 16c | 413.26$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 4c | 371.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +698%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 7c | 363.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1a…ebcebacked Yes | 11c | 355.09$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff44…fa58backed Yes | 13c | 346.3$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -73%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7dd…f4e0backed Yes | 15c | 331.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +83%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x615f…5f37backed Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 4cpaid | +241.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab0…9578backed Yes | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c79…0ad2backed Yes | 6c | 299.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 15c | 285.38$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f6…98e4backed Yes | 5c | 280.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa78c…2fcabacked Yes | 4c | 272.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 12c | 270$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.17 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 16c | 248.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f82…2d74backed Yes | 21c | 235.11$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.94 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48f…2132backed Yes | 6c | 233.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4d…78f5backed Yes | 8c | 220.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…07bcbacked Yes | 10c | 215.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Yes | 9c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…fe31backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…639fbacked Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10e8…fdaabacked Yes | 14c | 200$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4f…f2a1backed Yes | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x313f…e8a5backed Yes | 7c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6316…6bbabacked Yes | 11c | 186.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff3…531dbacked Yes | 17c | 174.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab3…a9c2backed Yes | 17c | 152.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x263d…fc4cbacked Yes | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f21…b935backed Yes | 17c | 143.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91c7…b70bbacked Yes | 17c | 143.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5632…8d9bbacked Yes | 9c | 129.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Yes | 8c | 125.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 8c | 121.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 81 | 28.4%23 W · 58 L | -10.7wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -50%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb403…5c40backed Yes | 17c | 119.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14cf…d019backed Yes | 13c | 115.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9686…1701backed Yes | 17c | 113.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8154…951abacked Yes | 15c | 108.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd1…1da0backed Yes | 14c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9b…705bbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…1dc4backed Yes | 16c | 99.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeacf…3c55backed Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9a…f6e9backed Yes | 17c | 82.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdea5…c77bbacked Yes | 17c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x921d…efb8backed No | 77c | 78.57$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bee…768cbacked Yes | 15c | 69.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1d…d738backed Yes | 28c | 64.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?this page
- Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?No won
- Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 300k and 350k?No won
- Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k?No won
- Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?Yes won
- Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?No won
- Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k?No won
- Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.