Music · resolved market
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94922537c5ee69a731a68c884e6a81f6854a55673e4d21d9f04e99373e815f69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $214,164
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $214,164 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 8c | 12,337$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.63 | 122 | 34.4%42 W · 80 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 3c | 5,647$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.35 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc487…fd90backed Yes | 3c | 4,239$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 2c | 4,205$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.12 | 58 | 3.4%2 W · 56 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +202.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0e…830cbacked Yes | 2c | 4,184$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b2…b200backed Yes | 5c | 4,112$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19a2…8601backed Yes | 7c | 3,692$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8794…fa1bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,375$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff04…d971backed Yes | 8c | 2,757$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.58 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 5c | 2,627$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.72 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ea…95cebacked Yes | 2c | 2,547$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fac…2f27backed Yes | 14c | 2,500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 3c | 2,187$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.23 | 69 | 5.8%4 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +148.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571e…6870backed Yes | 35c | 2,114$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 7c | 2,106$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.47 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 1,989$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.17 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…9c18backed Yes | 1c | 1,885$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e10…c984backed Yes | 6c | 1,811$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…9e36backed Yes | 16c | 1,538$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.76 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f2…1762backed Yes | 6c | 1,523$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f0…1e62backed Yes | 16c | 1,512$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.02 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1b…f055backed Yes | 7c | 1,434$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 3c | 1,414$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 107 | 4.7%5 W · 102 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98ad…7246backed Yes | 1c | 1,412$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dda…df45backed Yes | 11c | 1,387$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4377…1764backed Yes | 4c | 1,345$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc97…97b6backed Yes | 8c | 1,288$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3001…d5c3backed Yes | 1c | 1,279$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…d703backed Yes | 4c | 1,208$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…6283backed Yes | 2c | 1,199$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…449fbacked Yes | 8c | 1,184$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…1765backed Yes | 2c | 1,167$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x137f…9723backed Yes | 2c | 1,111$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 4c | 1,050$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.49 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85f9…86ddbacked Yes | 14c | 1,043$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde4d…df45backed Yes | 3c | 1,042$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5999…ae94backed Yes | 20c | 1,039$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.07 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 5c | 1,011$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.31 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b7…d59fbacked Yes | 6c | 985.15$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed Yes | 11c | 972.04$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c54…f0bbbacked Yes | 11c | 925.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 3c | 894.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 66 | 4.5%3 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cb…81c6backed Yes | 17c | 870.66$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f99…3eb1backed Yes | 8c | 866.25$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0327…5e15backed Yes | 15c | 862.68$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.73 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f3…4decbacked Yes | 4c | 861.43$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a3…a4e1backed Yes | 10c | 859.69$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked Yes | 21c | 828.81$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.74 | 146 | 61%89 W · 57 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…19cbbacked Yes | 12c | 783.73$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 14c | 778.39$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4948…c29ebacked Yes | 24c | 762.38$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b9…9e66backed Yes | 2c | 753.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Yes | 17c | 752.77$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.97 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x217f…d713backed Yes | 1c | 748.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 10c | 728.3$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.18 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1115…a3edbacked Yes | 21c | 716.53$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80f6…98e4backed Yes | 3c | 690.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60c3…2953backed Yes | 5c | 650.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e7…e2d9backed Yes | 3c | 641.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ea…127cbacked Yes | 8c | 604.81$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x615f…5f37backed Yes | 3c | 595.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 4cpaid | +241.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed No | 79c | 590.83$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.19 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 79c | 540$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.65 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e36…6215backed Yes | 5c | 517.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 3c | 512.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0a…7858backed Yes | 5c | 500$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67f9…cf1abacked Yes | 6c | 499.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd42c…17fdbacked Yes | 9c | 484.65$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…e7e5backed Yes | 6c | 475.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc21b…e07abacked Yes | 2c | 460.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf019…e3e5backed Yes | 16c | 459.63$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a8…865abacked Yes | 14c | 434.77$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.74 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22c4…9b79backed Yes | 10c | 429.12$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +475.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a08…47afbacked Yes | 5c | 411.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62b3…4849backed Yes | 17c | 399.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f39…7a21backed Yes | 5c | 377.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9b…c3f9backed Yes | 4c | 361.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…d93dbacked Yes | 5c | 348.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9a…f6e9backed Yes | 20c | 336.04$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.54 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…3f68backed Yes | 15c | 330.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 5c | 329.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…fdb6backed Yes | 9c | 299.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…4ce9backed Yes | 17c | 295.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…1e3bbacked Yes | 4c | 286$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8352…f2ccbacked Yes | 11c | 272.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76b…873cbacked Yes | 11c | 266.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b38…6366backed Yes | 6c | 262.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Yes | 16c | 257.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a84…e0d5backed Yes | 20c | 249.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9f…d218backed Yes | 5c | 242.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34cb…7588backed Yes | 5c | 240.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4e…a985backed Yes | 7c | 239.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…d386backed Yes | 11c | 234.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f82…2d74backed Yes | 10c | 233.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 9c | 206.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x088d…82f9backed Yes | 10c | 205$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4f…f2a1backed Yes | 18c | 200$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…f8a5backed Yes | 21c | 200$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa65…0133backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…928fbacked No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k?this page
- Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?No won
- Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 300k and 350k?No won
- Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k?No won
- Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?No won
- Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?Yes won
- Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?No won
- Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.