TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x4a1f…1a9f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,057
Categories scored
46
Categories below 50
20

Best Category: College Football, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 60 out of 100; worst Middle East at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT1199.2%11 W · 108 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-70.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 119 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.18
Will Benjamin Netanyahu enter Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.02
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.35
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.13
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$585Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$584.65
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.66
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.43
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.44
Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.77
Will Iran strike Turkey by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.51
Will Iran strike Jordan by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+102.2%+$12.83
Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.08
Will Iran strike the United Kingdom by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.36
Will USD fall to 1.4M Iranian rials by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.43
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$461Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$461.4
Another EU country restricts U.S. military aircraft by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.13
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.79
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.83
Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.04
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.63
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.34
Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.82
Showing 25 of 119 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT9616.7%16 W · 80 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-35.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 96 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.23
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.91
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.52
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.81
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.58
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.08
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$92.85
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+259.3%+$214.31
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.61
Will there be between 50 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.76
Will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.98
Will there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.44
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+53.3%+$14.87
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.5
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+125.7%+$84.16
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+317.6%+$451.17
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.65
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.57
Houthis successfully target shipping by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.57
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.39
Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.96
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.28
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.7
Showing 25 of 96 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT9021.1%19 W · 71 L0.0wins0.00per pick21cpaid-25.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 90 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.05
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+378.4%+$43.44
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.97
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.78
No one announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+183.4%+$74.44
Will "Michael" be the April film with the highest domestic gross on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.49
Will "My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON" win Anime of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.97
Will "Gachiakuta" win Anime of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.31
Will "SPY x FAMILY Season 3" win Best Comedy Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.69
Will Aoi Yuki as Maomao (The Apothecary Diaries Season 2) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Japanese) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+604.4%+$75.25
Will Justin Briner as Izuku Midoriya (My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (English) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.86
Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.47
Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.51
Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+45.6%+$33.36
Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.83
Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.86
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.89
Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.03
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.97
Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.55
Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.94
Will "Project Hail Mary" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.87
Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.96
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+159.6%+$22.61
Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+316.8%+$152.18
Showing 25 of 90 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT8716.1%14 W · 73 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-33.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 87 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+205.3%+$26.63
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$817Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$817.4
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+180.7%+$684.36
Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.41
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.59
Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.72
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.3
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.46
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.4
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.57
Will Keiko Fujimori and Jorge Nieto advance to the runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.81
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.39
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.97
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.97
Will Jorge Nieto finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.11
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$194
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.79
Will Carlos Álvarez finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.47
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.56
Will Jorge Nieto finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.39
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.32
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+273.4%+$243.18
Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+216.2%+$41.56
Showing 25 of 87 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT6923.2%16 W · 53 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick16cpaid-7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 69 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+497%+$174.37
Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.09
Will Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q2 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.7
Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q2 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.85
Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.19
Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+133.8%+$17.31
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.22
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.92
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.41
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+933.4%+$2,349.73
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$544Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$1,009.8
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$350.91
Will SpaceX have exactly 12 launches in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+707.4%+$122.15
Will SpaceX have exactly 13 launches in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.95
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $650b and $660b on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+667.1%+$253.81
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $600b on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.05
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $670b on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.92
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $630b and $640b on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.32
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $620b and $630b on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.97
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.95
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.21
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$539Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$539.49
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.61
Will SpaceX have less than or equal to 11 launches in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.97
Will OpenAI have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.97
Showing 25 of 69 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT5930.5%18 W · 41 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will David Njoku play for Tampa Bay Buccaneers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.37
Will David Njoku play for Los Angeles Chargers in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.76
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+69.8%+$38.53
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+307.2%+$617.98
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,810Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,810.05
Will Jordan Love win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$58.42
Will Jalen Hurts win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50.8
Will Daniel Jones win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$32.8
Will Abdul Carter be the 2025-2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.44
Will James Pearce Jr. be the 2025-2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$44.89
Will Mike Macdonald win NFL Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$27.76
Will Quinshon Judkins be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.96
Will Emeka Egbuka be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$176.62
Will Jaxson Dart be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+39.3%+$110.76
Will Tetairoa McMillan be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+203.1%+$639.28
Will the team that wins the 2025-26 Super Bowl be from any Other state?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$47.35
Will the team that wins the 2025-26 Super Bowl be from California?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$18.91
Will the Seahawks win the 2026 NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+335.4%+$2,181.34
Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+1,864.1%+$218.29
Will the Bears win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$326.99
Will the Texans win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$928Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$927.77
Will the team that wins the 2025-26 Super Bowl be from New York/New Jersey?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15.77
Will the Bills win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$784Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$783.91
Will the Chargers win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$169.68
Will the Jaguars win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$295.11
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT527.7%4 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-74%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BNB dip to $500 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.72
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.51
Will Solana reach $100 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.52
Will Solana reach $110 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.6
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$241.88
Will XRP reach $2.20 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.88
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.58
Will Solana dip to $50 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.39
Will Solana dip to $70 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.04
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.38
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.72
Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.62
Will Hyperliquid reach $44 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.99
Will BNB reach $700 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.64
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.71
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.55
Will XRP reach $2.40 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.38
Will Solana reach $150 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.92
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.22
Will Solana dip to $60 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.06
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.56
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.49
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.44
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$232.11
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$669Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$669.14
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT4415.9%7 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.15
Will there be 14 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.53
Will April 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.77
Will April 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.36
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.31
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.23
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.3
Will 230 to 259 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.17
Will 170 to 199 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.9
Will fewer than 140 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.44
Will Seattle have between 3.5 and 4 inches of precipitation in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.98
Will Seattle have between 3 and 3.5 inches of precipitation in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.96
Will Seattle have less than 2.5 inches of precipitation in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.97
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.28
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+251.4%+$79.24
Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+374.2%+$87.12
Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.06
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.12
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on March 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.34
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on March 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.79
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 60°F or higher on March 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.46
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on March 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+278.1%+$59.53
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on March 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.06
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on March 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.45
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C or higher on March 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.42
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT4320.9%9 W · 34 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.24
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.29
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.05
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.66
Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.28
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.09
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.48
Will no one dissent the April Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.43
Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+441.4%+$64.39
Will there be a US x Iran ceasefire before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+219.2%+$76.55
Will Powell say "Distortion" during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.69
Will Powell say "Simulation" during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.6
Will Powell say "Refund" during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.01
Will Powell say "Affordability" during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.45
Will Powell say "Balance Sheet" during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+233.9%+$29.5
Will Powell say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+160.7%+$39.38
Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.41
Will Powell say "Iran" during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+210.5%+$40.67
Will Powell say "Dollar" 2+ times during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+188.5%+$34.94
Will Powell say "Successor" during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+323.3%+$43.42
Will Powell say "Percent" 20+ times during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.4
Will Powell say "Sorry" or "Pardon" during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.59
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.32
Will Powell say "Supreme Court" during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.79
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3917.9%7 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid+16.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kanye blocked from entering another country by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.81
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.32
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 300k and 350k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.77
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+65.7%+$18.31
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.35
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+64.7%+$30.55
Will Ukraine win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.97
Will Moldova win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.47
Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.02
Will Australia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.26
Will Italy win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.95
Will Finland be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.06
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.83
Will Germany come in last place at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.38
Will Lithuania come in last place at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.02
Will Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.74
Pooh Shiesty charged by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
Will Brooks Rosser win American Idol Season 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.56
Will Bad Bunny have a #1 hit in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.35
Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.37
Will Noah Kahan have a #1 hit in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.82
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.46
Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+167.6%+$17
Will Kanye tweet again by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.41
Will "House Tour" get 15 million or more views in the first week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.45
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT3423.5%8 W · 26 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick12cpaid+28.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+86.8%+$11.06
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 25-28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.71
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+471.3%+$50.44
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 13-16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.77
Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 6 - April 12 be between 17,500,000 and 18,000,000?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.85
Will the U.S. collect between $500b and $1t in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.32
Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$32.1
Will Trump & Elon reduce the deficit in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$72.02
Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.58
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.34
Will TikTok be banned in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.11
Ghislaine Maxwell accuses Trump of sexual misconduct?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.92
Trump removes income tax on individuals making <$150k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.85
Will Trump reopen Alcatraz in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$165.62
Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33.84
Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$135.27
Will Xi visit the US by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$42.8
Will JD Vance announce Presidential run in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.03
Will Trump end Department of Education in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$62
Will DOGE confirm Gold missing from Fort Knox?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.63
Will Trump remove municipal bond tax exemption in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.41
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Israel"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.31
Will Trump announce a national housing emergency in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$37.75
Will Trump send the national guard to Detroit by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.46
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT3119.4%6 W · 25 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick7cpaid+109.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Tweets — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+1,736.5%+$239.25
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets in May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.36
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets in May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.85
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.67
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.48
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.27
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.98
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.28
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+993.9%+$241.86
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.1
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.16
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.01
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.51
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.87
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.91
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.01
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.54
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+460.6%+$147.11
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.72
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+1,568.9%+$236.78
Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in October 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+418.8%+$62.64
Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in October 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.74
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in October 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.89
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+717.5%+$1,581.24
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT2924.1%7 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick19cpaid+54.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Marquita Bradshaw be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.68
Will Maria Brewer be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.19
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+421%+$121.47
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.68
Will Mayes Middleton win the Texas Republican primary runoff for Attorney General?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.16
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+170.2%+$33.3
Will Maxine Durand win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.31
Will Ryan Crosswell be the Democratic nominee for PA-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.56
Will Lamont McClure be the Democratic nominee for PA-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.6
Will Amanda Edwards win TX-18 Special Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+69.7%+$10.7
Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$76.26
Larger Margin of Victory: Mamdani vs Prop 50?backed Proposition 50 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$22.06
Will Tim Keller win the 2025 Albuquerque mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$13.73
Will Jim McGreevey win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+209.6%+$71.35
Will Andrew Cuomo get between 25% and 30% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$18.89
Will Andrew Cuomo get less than 15% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$18.11
Will Andrew Cuomo get more than 35% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+270%+$101.16
Will Zohran Mamdani win all 5 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$10.99
Will Curtis Sliwa get between 13% and 16% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$53.48
Will Curtis Sliwa get less than 10% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+470.7%+$330.53
Will Curtis Sliwa get between 10% and 13% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$40.14
Will Curtis Sliwa get more than 25% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$15.4
Will Curtis Sliwa get between 22% and 25% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$12.62
Will Curtis Sliwa get between 16% and 19% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$45.74
Will Zohran Mamdani win Queens in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$62.48
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2425%6 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick16cpaid+101.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.9
Will Trump and Putin not meet?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+1,952.8%+$256.19
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.26
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.46
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.8
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.69
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+180.8%+$133.16
Will Putin visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+1,308.7%+$938.87
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.34
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.79
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.97
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.72
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.56
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+382.7%+$144.47
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+211.6%+$35.37
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+202.5%+$64.74
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.54
Will Russia invade Finland in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.66
Adam Schiff federally charged by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$66.61
Will Trump meet with MrBeast in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30.06
Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40.7
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$52.9
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.07
All 24 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT238.7%2 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick9cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.74
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+1,372.5%+$466.18
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.55
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+361.1%+$476.13
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.45
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$286.26
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.24
Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.25
Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.39
Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.57
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Will Cedric Coward win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.48
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$569.65
Will Dylan Harper win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.48
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$482Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$481.69
Will V.J. Edgecombe win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.27
Will Ace Bailey win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.29
Will Donovan Mitchell win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.49
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$304.42
Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.02
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.39
Will the Chicago Bulls win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.79
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.74
All 23 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2227.3%6 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+594.9%+$315.04
English Premier League: Bruno Fernandes breaks assists record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+176.3%+$32.68
Will Liverpool qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.92
Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.36
Will Aston Villa finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.41
Will Manchester United finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+410.7%+$80.98
Will Nottingham Forest qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.34
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+85.9%+$32.57
Will Chelsea finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.02
Will Crystal Palace finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.91
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+204%+$56.62
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.76
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$18.96
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-10-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.39
Will Chelsea FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.04
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.23
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+33.4%+$19.6
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-10-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.14
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-10-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$113.86
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.47
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.77
Will Wycombe Wanderers FC win on 2025-10-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.64
All 22 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2020%4 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin outperform Silver in April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.02
Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $146 end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.14
Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $154 end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.41
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.02
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $250 end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.87
Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $136 end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.82
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of April 6 above $185?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+343.5%+$41.95
Will Meta (META) close at >$620 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 6 – Apr 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+61.5%+$9.68
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of April 6 above $350?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.02
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $370 on April 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.53
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,700 on the final trading day of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.25
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,800 on the final trading day of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.96
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.68
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.15
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,500-$6,600 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+474.6%+$68.64
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,400-$6,500 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.95
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,400 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.86
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,400 (LOW) in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+241.8%+$99.3
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,600 (LOW) in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.23
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$130.65
All 20 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1618.8%3 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-41.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Citigroup (C) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.52
Will Unity Bancorp (UNTY) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.23
Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.33
Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.59
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.41
Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.36
Will Accenture (ACN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.33
Will Micron Technology (MU) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.09
Will Academy Sports and Outdoors (ASO) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+329.5%+$74.12
Will Pathward Financial (CASH) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$32.73
Will Exxon Mobil (XOM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$90.47
Will Verizon Communications (VZ) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+236.4%+$237.39
Will American Airlines Group (AAL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.87
Will Hilton Worldwide Holdings (HLT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.09
Will Omnicom Group (OMC) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.32
Will Halliburton (HAL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+73.2%+$22.55
All 16 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+86.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
College Football — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,775Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+247%+$4,382.69
Will Oregon win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$796Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$796.19
Will Texas win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$11.36
Will Utah win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$22.55
Will Texas make the College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$14.78
Will Notre Dame make the College Football Playoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+528.3%+$55.33
Will Miami Florida make the College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+405.6%+$183.8
Will Tulane make the College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+49.3%+$14.47
Will Alabama make the College Football Playoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$31.98
Will Virginia win the 2025 ACC Conference Championship Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15.42
Will Indiana win the 2025 Big Ten Championship Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+238.8%+$39.71
Will Ohio State win the 2025 Big Ten Championship Game?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+165.9%+$24.89
All 12 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+53.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+151.8%+$17.8
Will AC Milan finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+829.8%+$259.3
Will Roma finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Napoli place 2nd for the 2025-26 Serie A season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.35
Will Napoli finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.66
Will Pisa be relegated from Serie A after the 2025-26 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.11
Will Torino be relegated from Serie A after the 2025-26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.29
Will Parma be relegated from Serie A after the 2025-26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.76
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+257.6%+$67.21
Will Inter win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.99
All 10 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-81.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be between $200B and $250B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.45
Will Discord’s market cap be between $15B and $20B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.88
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.91
Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+89.4%+$27.06
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.96
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.06
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.02
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.01
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.21
Fannie Mae IPO in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.83
All 10 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick22cpaid-85.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.21
Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.11
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.15
Will G2 Esports win LEC 2026 Spring?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.57
Will Anyone's Legend qualify for EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+45.9%+$4.75
Will GAM Esports qualify for EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.16
Will Gen.G complete the League of Legends “Golden Road” in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.68
Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$841Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$841.01
Will G2 Esports win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$208.39
Will FlyQuest win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.25
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT100%0 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.65
Will PARIVISION make a roster change before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.92
Will PARIVISION win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.13
Will Alliance qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.56
Will Vitality win BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.27
Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.26
Will "Short" be said 10+ times during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.86
Will The MongolZ win PGL Bucharest 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.65
Will PARIVISION win PGL Bucharest 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.55
All 10 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick13cpaid+36.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.86
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+783.4%+$158.41
USD.AI FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.44
USD.AI FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.42
Will USD.AI launch a token by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.64
Rainbow FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$52.82
Will Zama launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+243.8%+$495.83
Will Opensea launch a token by December 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$426Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$426.11
Will Infinex launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$210.01
All 9 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick6cpaid-33.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Freiburg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.61
Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+499.7%+$227.75
Will Nott'm Forest win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.06
Will Porto win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.03
Will Celta win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will Lille win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
Will Stuttgart win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.76
Will Midtjylland win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.43
Will Fenerbahçe win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$17.71
All 9 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick26cpaid-55.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cal Raleigh win the 2025 AL MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$165.06
Will Aaron Judge win the 2025 AL MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$87.29
Will Cade Horton win the National League Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$25.85
Will Drake Baldwin win the National League Rookie of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$25.24
MLB 2025: Will a #1 Seed Win the World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$13.5
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 American League Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+258.7%+$413.9
Will the Seattle Mariners be eliminated in the League Championship Series?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.45
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 National League Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.75
All 8 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick31cpaid+49.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
F1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick19cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-53.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick8cpaid+36.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick11cpaid+184.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Space — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+49.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick14cpaid+230.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-10-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.35
Will FC København win on 2025-10-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+108.2%+$13.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fred Hoiberg win the Men's 2026 Naismith Coach of the Year award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+212.8%+$38.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pumas UNAM win Liga MX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael Mizrachi win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$12.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2025-10-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.86
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.