Movies · resolved market
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7876e77675dbae67bca6071ff6423703f995d1028fb0a871eb0f0a25449c1113
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $245,416
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $238,450
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $245,416 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 249 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd943…262dbacked No | 0c | 46,860$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf677…630dbacked No | 0c | 46,850$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 10c | 9,899$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.83 | 140 | 15%21 W · 119 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 11c | 3,951$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.99 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 6c | 3,859$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.01 | 119 | 24.4%29 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf29…da00backed No | 12c | 3,259$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfca2…fa4ebacked No | 4c | 2,901$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed No | 12c | 2,548$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.99 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda63…4378backed No | 11c | 2,545$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed No | 14c | 2,479$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.23 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf81c…4540backed No | 31c | 1,854$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked No | 12c | 1,650$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb890…a592backed No | 18c | 1,592$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.56 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf657…a60cbacked No | 7c | 1,455$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked No | 3c | 1,396$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.97 | 90 | 21.1%19 W · 71 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fb…f978backed No | 15c | 1,293$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb64a…e66abacked Yes | 63c | 1,286$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 3c | 1,200$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 268 | 6.3%17 W · 251 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -53%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefe…ad3dbacked No | 4c | 1,199$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d09…3c16backed No | 5c | 1,085$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60a…68a7backed No | 5c | 966.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x272c…7f07backed Yes | 74c | 918.33$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.27 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec3…3adcbacked No | 17c | 877$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.09 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23a8…0586backed Yes | 67c | 839.49$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.49 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 60cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1326…d13dbacked No | 17c | 824$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked Yes | 77c | 776.97$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0d…1fb4backed No | 19c | 772.12$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.75 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba31…1376backed No | 35c | 721.75$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x743e…f405backed No | 11c | 708.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…a220backed No | 17c | 704$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.68 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7407…19bebacked No | 17c | 695$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.15 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ac…d8c5backed No | 17c | 693$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed7…b0a5backed No | 17c | 678$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.26 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0053…315dbacked No | 26c | 621.17$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f61…c03ebacked No | 14c | 619$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.66 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe57a…e196backed No | 18c | 609$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9a…f183backed No | 14c | 606$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.84 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0b…6465backed No | 9c | 582.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 77c | 576.03$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.83 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…0217backed No | 14c | 571$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.94 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28aa…28b8backed No | 5c | 560$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2b…f025backed No | 15c | 551$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.65 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8c…edcdbacked No | 9c | 544.81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 34c | 541.25$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.35 | 231 | 30.3%70 W · 161 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…d306backed No | 10c | 512.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 8.2%5 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f3…2cf1backed No | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 67c | 492.04$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.12 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d21…532dbacked No | 24c | 486.81$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…74aebacked No | 15c | 481.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8b…1fb1backed No | 16c | 477.37$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.2 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08de…d2cabacked No | 15c | 476.74$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e0…a8cebacked No | 10c | 474.66$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222e…0419backed No | 21c | 458.51$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fa…4a86backed No | 12c | 431.54$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.59 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e40…224ebacked No | 18c | 430.61$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.87 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfab0…bd9cbacked No | 24c | 418.8$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbf…3eeabacked No | 14c | 412.63$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92a3…7a5cbacked No | 11c | 409.03$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7131…d184backed No | 12c | 404.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x437e…3013backed No | 8c | 400$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8192…0664backed No | 6c | 399.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 5c | 398.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d2…06fbbacked No | 5c | 390.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0e…434ebacked No | 18c | 382.98$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a6…8651backed No | 16c | 367.92$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc8…a7a5backed No | 11c | 364.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebb…0614backed Yes | 79c | 348.93$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3e…9854backed No | 14c | 347.7$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d3…53dcbacked No | 18c | 337$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.66 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc48…e792backed No | 6c | 333.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3504…0131backed No | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd86d…ecf8backed No | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf578…4a35backed No | 17c | 324.06$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 10c | 322.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 69 | 17.4%12 W · 57 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 17c | 320.38$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.06 | 154 | 9.7%15 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 77c | 319.92$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.06 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef14…bf21backed Yes | 44c | 315$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.4 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb271…ad22backed No | 32c | 314.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f8…6c22backed No | 56c | 313$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 13c | 312.18$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.43 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b2…1296backed No | 12c | 304.35$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd570…b90abacked No | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…7424backed Yes | 72c | 300$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…b750backed Yes | 44c | 296$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.76 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f85…e5a3backed No | 56c | 295$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3702…829dbacked No | 56c | 287$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.72 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1547…ba89backed No | 21c | 286.09$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7647backed No | 12c | 285.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d48…d6f1backed Yes | 44c | 284$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…0cc4backed No | 15c | 283.03$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.57 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6789…52f9backed Yes | 80c | 275$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…5d39backed No | 14c | 273.28$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9e…7d24backed No | 6c | 272.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…826ebacked No | 16c | 267.6$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 11c | 267.12$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd166…666ebacked No | 17c | 265.73$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +287.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9b…ddfabacked No | 19c | 264.66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…c9bfbacked No | 6c | 257.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…f137backed No | 4c | 255$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?this page
- Will A-Train die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes won
- Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No won
- Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No won
- Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes won
- Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes won
- Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes won
- Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No won
- Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No won
- Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No won
- Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No won
- Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No won
- Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No won
- Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.