Movies · resolved market
Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56e3a277978cde35f4ddea3ddcf62eb0d4f2fb0b282fb9d227f0b4645281a0ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,430
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,092
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,430 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd4bb…a993backed No | 77c | 4,443$3,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.09 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5f…c035backed Yes | 12c | 3,180$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 20c | 2,824$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.6 | 140 | 15%21 W · 119 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a43…979bbacked Yes | 47c | 2,823$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 22c | 2,521$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.24 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb766…1d83backed No | 79c | 2,143$1,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.44 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…6b0cbacked Yes | 28c | 1,956$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…14babacked Yes | 14c | 1,750$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.37 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 13c | 1,547$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.89 | 1,393 | 8%111 W · 1,282 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf81c…4540backed Yes | 68c | 1,478$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc7…3210backed Yes | 22c | 1,292$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc1…89e0backed Yes | 22c | 1,259$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd416…d9e2backed No | 67c | 1,251$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.55 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed No | 77c | 1,176$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb64a…e66abacked Yes | 51c | 1,108$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23a8…0586backed No | 55c | 1,041$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.45 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 60cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0201…fcd3backed Yes | 10c | 949.47$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976d…99f7backed Yes | 35c | 939$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…2561backed No | 62c | 829$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.98 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 26c | 804.9$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.44 | 231 | 30.3%70 W · 161 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd39b…43c0backed Yes | 39c | 733.2$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b09…3b3fbacked Yes | 18c | 606.52$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 10c | 600.19$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.62 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9138…0690backed No | 78c | 600$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 27c | 587.26$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.8 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…53c6backed Yes | 11c | 522.06$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945f…80e5backed Yes | 41c | 518$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd166…666ebacked Yes | 24c | 507.5$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +287.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed No | 29c | 505.16$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.16 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +5.5wins | +0.25per pick | 29cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x82f7…7c3bbacked No | 74c | 462.48$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd611…d04bbacked Yes | 10c | 452.24$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x060d…f510backed Yes | 25c | 410.9$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 5c | 400$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 123 | 1.6%2 W · 121 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff43…dbafbacked Yes | 36c | 385.3$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363f…ee04backed Yes | 15c | 383.82$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5e…909cbacked Yes | 26c | 378.86$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.46 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…a07fbacked Yes | 38c | 378.07$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…e1efbacked Yes | 6c | 361.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa62…d3d7backed Yes | 28c | 351.24$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed No | 55c | 340.9$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.07 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c07…fe00backed Yes | 34c | 301.84$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.82 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe69…42e1backed Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…0d1ebacked No | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 5c | 300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 201 | 3.5%7 W · 194 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df9…468cbacked No | 51c | 286.18$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.83 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed No | 58c | 284.09$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.52 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2321…8e59backed Yes | 11c | 276.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 14c | 268.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.93 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4351…916abacked Yes | 10c | 261.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682e…70bdbacked Yes | 8c | 259.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01d6…6049backed Yes | 6c | 251.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65d…a27dbacked Yes | 24c | 248.23$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.58 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes | 5c | 246.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb538…bd42backed Yes | 40c | 242.37$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Yes | 7c | 240$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2148…5c59backed Yes | 25c | 235.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x573a…693abacked Yes | 46c | 223.64$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.95 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebb…0614backed No | 71c | 222.96$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.14 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 33c | 217.88$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.57 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfab0…bd9cbacked Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafc9…4a0ebacked Yes | 24c | 211$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 18c | 210.49$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 154 | 9.7%15 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f6…4f56backed Yes | 52c | 209.15$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdda9…2281backed No | 72c | 208.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0d…1fb4backed Yes | 21c | 202.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…7163backed Yes | 49c | 202.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 46c | 201.78$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.35 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecb…aa7dbacked No | 43c | 200$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e4…c67bbacked Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8c…c39abacked Yes | 8c | 199.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f7…9c34backed Yes | 25c | 199.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…4f06backed Yes | 26c | 189.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x907c…23c1backed Yes | 27c | 180$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 73c | 179.01$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.18 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x585b…753fbacked Yes | 48c | 176.32$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d6…40d0backed Yes | 10c | 175.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…b675backed Yes | 23c | 175.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 7c | 165.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 119 | 24.4%29 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28aa…150fbacked No | 62c | 162.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed No | 22c | 161.95$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.32 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +365.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c65…dcf7backed Yes | 25c | 160$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x333b…d8d7backed Yes | 7c | 157.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…16d2backed Yes | 10c | 155.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1905…b59fbacked No | 64c | 151.02$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 13c | 150.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 25c | 149.65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.04 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf809…b391backed Yes | 49c | 139.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ee…63d8backed No | 75c | 138.26$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f4…f7ccbacked Yes | 26c | 136$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0f…18b4backed Yes | 27c | 133.9$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94c8…d66bbacked Yes | 23c | 133.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8b…1fb1backed Yes | 14c | 130.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6200…04cfbacked Yes | 35c | 130$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -57%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7438…b741backed Yes | 16c | 127.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7315…1232backed Yes | 23c | 127.31$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -70%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 24c | 127.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 90 | 21.1%19 W · 71 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…38efbacked No | 64c | 124.83$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.89 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x935b…8f4fbacked Yes | 33c | 121.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…76a4backed Yes | 25c | 120.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -6.1wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…deedbacked Yes | 21c | 117.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?this page
- Will A-Train die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes won
- Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No won
- Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No won
- Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes won
- Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes won
- Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes won
- Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes won
- Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No won
- Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No won
- Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No won
- Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No won
- Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No won
- Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.