Movies · resolved market
Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0849db1cc309b5a190182f9aba47d766072e37335f5439eda5729f9aecf1a25e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,936
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,500
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,936 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48e…38bfbacked Yes | 18c | 6,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 20c | 3,000$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.95 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6f…469fbacked Yes | 31c | 1,865$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb766…1d83backed No | 79c | 1,471$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.78 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe71…38d2backed No | 69c | 852$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e15…7ff5backed No | 69c | 681$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.11 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecb…aa7dbacked Yes | 48c | 402.53$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.5 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 79c | 399.98$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cc…feb0backed No | 78c | 332.62$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.62 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…4580backed No | 69c | 332$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…f496backed Yes | 8c | 323.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x517b…be02backed Yes | 22c | 321.28$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 268 | 6.3%17 W · 251 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -53%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…f1f3backed No | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f1…595ebacked No | 79c | 292.64$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa536…0190backed Yes | 24c | 291.66$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.73 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc484…8b5dbacked Yes | 28c | 283.48$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23a8…0586backed No | 54c | 279.64$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.64 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 60cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed No | 75c | 257.63$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.98 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272c…7f07backed Yes | 21c | 256.25$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.83 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…d306backed Yes | 20c | 256.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…a47fbacked No | 79c | 253.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b54…76eabacked Yes | 5c | 242.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 21c | 225.21$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ca…0f21backed No | 78c | 220.79$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…7424backed No | 76c | 199.98$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 22c | 197.24$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.49 | 119 | 24.4%29 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf981…d9abbacked Yes | 42c | 185.65$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Yes | 47c | 164.74$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.27 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 76c | 146.22$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.45 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…3a50backed No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb2…75e4backed Yes | 23c | 128.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00d…470ebacked Yes | 27c | 124.55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.07 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…8087backed No | 71c | 123.55$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5291…5b15backed Yes | 19c | 113.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed No | 57c | 110.62$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.1 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bb…a993backed Yes | 28c | 108.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…685bbacked Yes | 22c | 107.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6aa…132abacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd130…2a7cbacked Yes | 29c | 99.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…d8dfbacked No | 72c | 99.97$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbecf…0f51backed No | 64c | 94.1$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…9722backed No | 61c | 89.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d6…6049backed Yes | 24c | 89.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 54c | 86.25$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 74c | 86.06$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 111 | 84.7%94 W · 17 L | +11.3wins | +0.10per pick | 74cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2f…845ebacked Yes | 27c | 84.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebfa…aed3backed Yes | 25c | 84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 19c | 83.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77d4…3156backed Yes | 25c | 80.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2d…f6c3backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05fe…b7c3backed No | 79c | 72.36$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df9…468cbacked No | 55c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed No | 29c | 67.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2935…d27abacked Yes | 45c | 66.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e6…8f4bbacked Yes | 24c | 63.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…578fbacked Yes | 38c | 62.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e40…224ebacked Yes | 24c | 61.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 36c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…2561backed Yes | 35c | 59.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…d994backed Yes | 21c | 58.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa994…19a6backed Yes | 44c | 55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…38efbacked No | 72c | 54.52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa265…a9dfbacked Yes | 43c | 50.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…29c3backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…867abacked Yes | 21c | 49.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 54c | 47.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…0b29backed No | 65c | 46.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x333b…d8d7backed Yes | 24c | 45.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…f9adbacked Yes | 32c | 45.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 35c | 45.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62d2…9355backed Yes | 23c | 43.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3908…8fddbacked Yes | 44c | 42.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4b…f574backed No | 79c | 42.46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked No | 67c | 41.42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…28eebacked Yes | 40c | 41.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0851…1de8backed Yes | 40c | 41.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…cd18backed No | 80c | 38.75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 70c | 38.02$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2c…f968backed Yes | 32c | 37.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked Yes | 44c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19db…7636backed No | 64c | 34.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68e…5620backed Yes | 44c | 33.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…d779backed Yes | 56c | 33.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb93f…6ca8backed Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…2028backed Yes | 39c | 30.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed No | 62c | 29.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32be…2cddbacked No | 70c | 27.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a6…db37backed Yes | 39c | 26.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0d…1fb4backed No | 55c | 25.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41fc…0f2abacked No | 78c | 25.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8862…bbf5backed No | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f70…312bbacked No | 76c | 22.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceae…2f49backed No | 62c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62de…39fbbacked No | 75c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48c9…b2e5backed Yes | 47c | 21.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…f038backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb3a…7f61backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?this page
- Will A-Train die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes won
- Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No won
- Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes won
- Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes won
- Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes won
- Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes won
- Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No won
- Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No won
- Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No won
- Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No won
- Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No won
- Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No won
- Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.