TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9b43…33ce

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
996
Categories scored
42
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: AI, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category AI at 62 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT34369.4%238 W · 105 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 343 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.6
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$9.13
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.66
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.89
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.83
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$17.78
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+39%+$5.48
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.45
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on June 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.88
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+62.2%+$23.64
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+43.7%+$4.48
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.76
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.78
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+40.7%+$21.35
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.6
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$11.34
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.66
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.44
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$14.26
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.74
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$6.1
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.37
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.45
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.8
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.75
Showing 25 of 343 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT8482.1%69 W · 15 L+11.8wins+0.14per pick68cpaid+21.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Middle East — the 84 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kuwait recognize Israel by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56.4%+$5.65
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$6.05
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$6.48
Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$11.05
Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.67
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.56
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.35
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$6.24
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.38
Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.03
Will USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$5.76
Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.1
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$5.33
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+38.7%+$15.16
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$8.55
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$3.78
Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.23
Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.19
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+81.1%+$8.22
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$7.92
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+56.6%+$7.82
Will Iran strike Jordan by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+43.6%+$8.97
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$5.75
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$5.8
Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+44%+$5.85
Showing 25 of 84 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT7969.6%55 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 79 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.85
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.53
Will "Obsession" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.77
Will "The Boroughs" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.89
Will "The Boroughs" be the top global Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.19
Will "Nemesis" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.7
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.53
Will "DAN DA DAN Season 2" win Anime of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$4.14
Will "ZENSHU" win Best Original Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$10.73
Will Justin Briner as Izuku Midoriya (My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (English) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+46.2%+$5.1
Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$2.98
Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+68.7%+$16.9
Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+48.2%+$13.47
Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$11.05
Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+54.5%+$38.37
Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$5.6
Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$2.83
Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+47%+$29.54
Will "Man on Fire: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 55m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+57.8%+$9.01
Will "Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man" be the top global Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+36.9%+$4.06
Avatar 4 greenlit by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.67
Will Charlie Davis be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$10.03
Will "Virgin River: Season 7" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.39
Will "Hoppers" 3rd Weekend Box Office be greater than 21m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10
Showing 25 of 79 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT6783.6%56 W · 11 L+10.3wins+0.15per pick68cpaid+22.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
AI — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+60.6%+$12.61
Will Waymo operate in 12 or more cities on June 30 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$6.72
Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$8.69
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$10
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$3.11
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$11.31
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+56%+$19.38
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$5.4
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.06
Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1440?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.84
Services Down Parlaybacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$18.59
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $170B by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.28
Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.89
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+53.3%+$8.58
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$7.62
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+27%+$6
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.28
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1500?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$5.95
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1490?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$7.43
Will claude-opus-4-7-thinking be the best AI model on May 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5.74
X Money released by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+45.7%+$9.45
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $670b on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$8.8
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.7
Will Sabih Khan be the next CEO of Apple?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$6.88
ChatGPT Outage by April 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+48.4%+$8.04
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT5563.6%35 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick70cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$6.15
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$9.98
Will the Pirate Party of Slovenia (PPS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.24
Will the People Power Party win 3 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+47.4%+$10.58
Will the People Power Party win 2 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+38%+$11.52
Will the Democratic Party win 12 upper-level local government races?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.95
Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.74
Will Kim Sang-wook win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.93
Will voter turnout be less than 85% in the 2026 Maltese general election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$4.82
Canada recession before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.56
Will Noel Thomas win the 2026 Galway West by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$17.54
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on May 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$2.79
Will Reform UK win at least 1800 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$9.14
Will Helen Dalton win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+59.5%+$8.46
Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$34.91
Will Welsh Labour win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$10.81
Will Seoul have less than 40mm of precipitation in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.98
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.55
Will La U win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$5.55
Will CD win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$17.35
Will PLC win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$14.88
Will CD win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.41
Will Movement for Rights and Freedoms (DPS) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$10.45
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win 95 or more seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.7
Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT5066%33 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$13.19
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+73.3%+$12.88
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$4.95
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.21
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$4.96
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$4.83
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$5.05
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+42%+$6.16
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$2.62
Will White House post 140-159 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.61
Will White House post 160-179 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+46.8%+$7.04
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$7.86
Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.58
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+44.5%+$6.83
Will White House post 160-179 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.03
Will White House post 180-199 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$5.71
Will Ted Cruz post 60-79 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+59.5%+$9.21
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.09
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+54.9%+$7.55
Will White House post 120-139 posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$6.7
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.13
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$6.78
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.69
Will CZ post 40-59 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.22
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$5.62
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT4973.5%36 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+42.8%+$5.99
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+34%+$12.15
Will Silver (SI) settle over $110 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38%+$6.41
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+74.1%+$30.5
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.32
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.42
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+43.5%+$6.6
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+48.9%+$5.04
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+53.4%+$8.05
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$7.34
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.3
Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$7.68
Will gas hit (High) $4.75 by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$8.75
Will gas hit (Low) $3.85 by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+39.6%+$5.87
Will gas hit (Low) $3.95 by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+65.6%+$6.8
Houthis successfully target shipping by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+46.9%+$12.93
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,100 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$4.63
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $86 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$19.06
Will 6–7 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$13.56
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$6.38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of April 6 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$11.05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 Week of April 6 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$11.05
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.64
Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$21.07
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$10.45
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT3666.7%24 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+45.9%+$7.05
Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 3.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$7.96
Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 0.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+28%+$2.81
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.33
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 18.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.68
Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 5.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+82.2%+$9.01
Will Jayson Tatum play a game this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+40.2%+$6.01
Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 5.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+53.8%+$6.14
Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 2.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+58.7%+$6.64
Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 20.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$11.31
Rui Hachimura: Rebounds O/U 2.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11.66
Spread: Suns (-9.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+78%+$11.25
Suns vs. Kings: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+75.8%+$9.71
Spread: Lakers (-9.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$7.68
Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.29
Spread: Lakers (-10.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+45.8%+$5.21
Spurs vs. 76ers: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+58.7%+$6.42
Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 4.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$23.34
Ty Jerome: Rebounds O/U 2.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11.41
Santi Aldama: Rebounds O/U 5.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+51.5%+$12.01
Julius Randle: Points O/U 18.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+40.8%+$4.76
Ty Jerome: Points O/U 17.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$8.75
Mavericks vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+51.5%+$5.63
P.J. Washington: Points O/U 13.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+44.9%+$5.2
Mavericks vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+42.9%+$4.59
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT2673.1%19 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+60.8%+$10.33
Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+42.1%+$5.31
Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.98
Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.17
Will Sweden be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$7.5
Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.31
Will "Toronto" be said on ICEMAN?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.46
Will "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" be said on ICEMAN?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will Switzerland advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+82.4%+$8.76
Will Latvia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+36%+$4.14
Will Georgia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$5.95
Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+64.1%+$8.34
Will "Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.49
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$17.62
Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$10.2
Will "SWIM - BTS" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of April 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$21.89
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+60.1%+$28.54
Will 'Kiss All The Time. Disco, Occasionally' - Harry Styles debut week album sales be at least 550k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.96
Will "DtMF - Bad Bunny" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.97
Will "American Girls - Harry Styles" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$15.98
Will "Stateside + Zara Larsson - PinkPantheress, Zara Larsson" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$6.26
Will "DtMF - Bad Bunny" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.67
Will 'Nothing's About To Happen To Me' - Mitski debut week album sales be at least 40k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+88.7%+$8.94
Will Arisa win Sanremo 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+34.5%+$6.5
Will Emma win Melodi Grand Prix 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+42.1%+$5.98
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2085%17 W · 3 L+3.5wins+0.17per pick68cpaid+25.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Stocks — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin outperform NVIDIA (NVDA) in April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$10.42
Will Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$9.52
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,400-$6,500 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$4.07
Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 3% on any day in Q1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.71
Will the S&P 500 Index gain at least 3% on any day in Q1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$12.69
Will KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) hit 6500 (HIGH) in Q1 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+29%+$8.82
Will KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) hit 4800 (LOW) in Q1 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.07
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at <$144 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+53%+$6
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,700 on the final trading day of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+28.2%+$2.93
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $6.00 end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+49.3%+$5.05
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of February 16 above $210?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20.93
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of February 16 above $135?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+71.9%+$8.77
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of February 16 above $265?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+31.6%+$3.26
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of February 16 above $305?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10.81
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of February 16 above $205?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.21
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of February 16 above $5.50?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+62.2%+$12.56
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of February 16 above $134?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+35.1%+$3.6
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of February 16 above $420?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+26.6%+$2.75
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of February 16 above $5.00?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10.08
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at >$195 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 9 – Feb 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+26.6%+$2.72
All 20 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1973.7%14 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick67cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brazil record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.59
Will Spain record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+35%+$10.43
Will Sweden win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12.82
Will Switzerland win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+80.7%+$13.53
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey bronze medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+92.3%+$9.57
Will Xandra Velzeboer (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating ST - Women's 1500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+51.5%+$5.32
Will Minjeong Choi (KOR) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating ST - Women's 1500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.24
Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey silver medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+28.7%+$8.12
Will Netherlands win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating ST - Men's 5000m Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$19.25
Will Sweden win the Men's Ice Hockey bronze medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+37.9%+$5.35
Will Zoi Sadowski Synnott (NZL) win the gold medal for Snowboard Slopestyle - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$18.16
Will Marcus Kleveland (NOR) win the gold medal for Snowboard Slopestyle - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+33.2%+$7.09
Will Birk Ruud (NOR) win the gold medal for Ski Big Air - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+59.8%+$8.89
Will Sweden win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 4 X 7.5km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+27.8%+$4.22
Will Flora Tabanelli (ITA) win the gold medal for Ski Big Air - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+28.2%+$3.29
Will Lucas Pinheiro Braathen (BRA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Alpine - Men's Slalom at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+65.6%+$8.24
Will Vladimir Semirunniy (POL) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's 10000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+63.4%+$7.19
Will Sander Eitrem (NOR) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's 10000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+33.5%+$3.88
Will Johannes Klaebo (NOR) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: XC - Men's 10km Interval Start Free at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10.88
All 19 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1593.3%14 W · 1 L+4.0wins+0.27per pick66cpaid+40.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jon Rothstein tweet "This is March" 41–50 times during March Madness?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$6.83
Will the 2026 Men's NCAA basketball National Champion come from the Big 12 conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$27.92
Will the 2026 Men's NCAA basketball National Champion come from the SEC (Southeastern Conference)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$41.22
Spread: Utah State Aggies (-7.5)backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+28.2%+$2.96
Spread: Auburn Tigers (-9.5)backed Auburn Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$7.75
Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-6.5)backed Ole Miss Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+55.4%+$11.56
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Alcorn State Braves: O/U 137.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+55.8%+$11.24
Spread: Florida Gators (-21.5)backed Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$9.06
Spread: Green Bay Phoenix (-4.5)backed Green Bay Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+37%+$3.95
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-8.5)backed TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+61.3%+$6.69
Clemson Tigers vs. North Carolina Tar Heels: O/U 142.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+28.2%+$3.03
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Georgia Bulldogs: O/U 179.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.7
Akron Zips vs. Central Michigan Chippewas: O/U 160.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+72.4%+$8.07
UMBC Retrievers vs. NJIT Highlanders: O/U 140.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+40.8%+$4.63
Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-8.5)backed Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+63.9%+$7.41
All 15 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick68cpaid-22.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$21.31
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+61.4%+$12
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$9.65
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.59
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.03
Will Russia enter Riasne by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.56
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$4.84
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$4.66
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.44
Will India join the Board of Peace?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$5.54
Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.9
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.14
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.3
More EU sanctions on Russia by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.93
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.36
All 15 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1392.3%12 W · 1 L+3.3wins+0.25per pick67cpaid+40.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Walmart acquire TikTok?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+32.8%+$7.95
Will Hong Kong have 240mm or more of precipitation in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$6.92
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$4.1
Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+73.1%+$12.3
Will Trump say "Farmer" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+89.5%+$9.78
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$15.15
Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+62.4%+$6.38
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+78.5%+$10.27
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.72
Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+51.3%+$19.92
Will Hong Kong have less than 150mm of precipitation in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.46
DeepSeek V4 released by March 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.97
Will GALBOT have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+28.3%+$3.95
All 13 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick72cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Major US official out by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.31
Will President Trump sign 4 pieces of legislation into law in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+29%+$4.12
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$9.14
Will President Trump sign 4 pieces of legislation into law in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.52
Will President Trump sign 5 pieces of legislation into law in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+49%+$6.76
Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.97
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Chris Murphy vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$11.83
Will Lisa Murkowski vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+50.3%+$20.62
Will Chris Coons vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$15.03
Will Thom Tillis vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.13
Will John Fetterman vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$20.35
Will Hillary say "Secretary" during her Epstein testimony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+25%+$2.85
All 13 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+74.1%+$20.38
Will Team Spirit win IEM Rio 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+53.4%+$7.13
Will BC.Game make a roster move before May? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.89
Blast Open Rotterdam 2026: Will a player break something during a game? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+25%+$8.64
Will Natus Vincere win ESL Pro League Season 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.63
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs eternal premium (BO3) - IZI WEX Group Cbacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+40.8%+$4.85
Counter-Strike: ReThink vs Imperial Academy (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked Imperial Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+58.7%+$6.8
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+68.6%+$15.67
Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked LPH Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.9
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.75
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs b52team (BO3) - IZI WEX Group Bbacked WW Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+35.1%+$4.05
Will Team Vitality win PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+31.6%+$3.64
All 12 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT1090%9 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick65cpaid+42.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kenyan McDuffie win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9.96
Will Saikat Chakrabarti receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+38%+$3.83
Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.43
Will Chip Roy win the Texas Republican primary runoff for Attorney General?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$10.35
Will Ed Diehl win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.48
Will Chris Dudley win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$6.37
Will Ken Paxton come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+78.6%+$7.86
Will Jasmine Crockett receive the most votes in the first round of the Democratic Senate primary in Texas?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+59%+$6.52
Will James Talarico receive the most votes in the first round of the Democratic Senate primary in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+46.2%+$7.57
Will Donald Trump endorse John Cornyn for the Texas Republican Senate primary by March 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+38.2%+$7.37
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will no one dissent the June Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.14
Will two people dissent the April Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+32.8%+$12.65
Will Powell say "Distortion" during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$6.14
Will Powell say "Politics" during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$15.22
Will Powell say "Affordability" during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$15.74
Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.24
Will Powell say "Comment" during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.48
Will Powell say "Successor" during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.03
Will Powell say "Fed" or "Federal Reserve" 7+ times during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.27
Will one person dissent the March Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.1
All 10 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick72cpaid+25.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
IPO — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+57.4%+$25.13
Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$6.2
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.09
Will OpenAI file for an IPO by June 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$5.88
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+53.3%+$14.39
Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$30.31
Will Clear Street Group Inc. not IPO before April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+32.4%+$3.79
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in March 2026 (ET)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28%+$6.56
Will SpaceX IPO by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+33%+$9.03
All 9 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-28.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Golf — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Si Woo Kim win the 2026 THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+65.1%+$8.58
The Masters 2026: Playoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+58.9%+$16.38
Will Scottie Scheffler finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.88
Will Tommy Fleetwood finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.39
Will Collin Morikawa finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.94
Will Akshay Bhatia finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.42
Will Ricky Castillo win the 2026 Puerto Rico Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.29
Will Shane Lowry finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Cognizant Classic in The Palm Beaches?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.08
All 8 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick66cpaid+32%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick71cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick67cpaid+22.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick69cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bangladesh win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.86
Will Pakistan win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+60.3%+$8.94
Will India win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.38
All 3 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mateusz Gamrot fight Paddy Pimblett next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+44.8%+$5.85
Will Khamzat Chimaev fight Sean Strickland next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$9.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-34.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RCD Mallorca leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.39
Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+37%+$4.66
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-36%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+53.2%+$7.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern Munich Win the Treble?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+49.1%+$12.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025-26 Euroleague?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+46.8%+$14.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+41.6%+$7.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jarrod Bowen be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$5.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: AC Milan 2 - 1 Torino FC?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$8.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nik Airball win at Hustler Casino on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.