Champions League · resolved market
Club Atlético de Madrid leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8c2465c7fe1601640766bd3dfc40b0d4c207e9a488495bb835e3403ca5900fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,546
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,546 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc699…7961backed Yes | 39c | 6,440$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 70c | 2,406$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.4 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 70c | 1,575$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.55 | 260 | 47.7%124 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 1,496$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.75 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 68c | 1,305$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.5 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda46…e6e3backed Yes | 30c | 1,152$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80ef…3973backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 69c | 957.72$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.89 | 403 | 50.9%205 W · 198 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 70c | 563.71$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.58 | 502 | 47.2%237 W · 265 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff4…d735backed No | 18c | 434.71$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.86 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 18cpaid | +118.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…8f6bbacked Yes | 29c | 428.21$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 71c | 270.99$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.59 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 70c | 246.88$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.06 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…4da1backed Yes | 30c | 218.09$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f48…b9abbacked Yes | 33c | 214.95$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x095e…abc5backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c1…e73cbacked Yes | 29c | 151.72$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcae7…c218backed Yes | 39c | 131.96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3b…0533backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…849ebacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 71c | 83.33$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked No | 68c | 68.83$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…b6e2backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed No | 70c | 59.4$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 29c | 52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 293 | 50.5%148 W · 145 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 69c | 47.55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 32c | 47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 27c | 43.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.66 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 27c | 43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked No | 72c | 40.93$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 29c | 39.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…8ae5backed No | 71c | 28.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 69c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 223 | 56.1%125 W · 98 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 70c | 25.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed No | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Atlético de Madrid leading at halftime?this page
- Tottenham Hotspur FC leading at halftime?Yes won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.