TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x095e…abc5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
116
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: La Liga, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 56 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT2835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Brentford FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+90.1%+$128.77
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$317
Sunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Burnley FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.2
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+134%+$260.69
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+190.1%+$79.82
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+93.2%+$69.91
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+170.3%+$25.54
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10
AFC Bournemouth vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Everton FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$14.48
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+183.7%+$33.06
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.52
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$208
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$53.13
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+166.2%+$209.38
Club Atlético de Madrid leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+157.7%+$453.65
Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$103.56
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$257.37
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.5
Atalanta BC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+133%+$57.2
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$147
Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+203%+$40.61
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+122.2%+$78.05
All 24 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+47.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.72
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will AZ win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$173.72
Will AS Roma vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$199.64
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+215%+$512.55
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
VfB Stuttgart vs. FC Porto: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Lille OSC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$29.12
VfB Stuttgart vs. FC Porto: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+203%+$84.03
Will PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+177.8%+$35.56
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Will AZ win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 16 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick37cpaid+37.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Deportivo Alavés vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+135.4%+$44.02
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+62%+$55.72
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+122.2%+$18.33
Will Girona FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+159.6%+$175.58
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+400%+$40
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+107.7%+$53.87
All 13 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Cremonese vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.55
SS Lazio vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+121.8%+$201.32
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$30.22
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$185.25
AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$272
AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Udinese Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+109.3%+$120.19
AS Roma vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+153.5%+$49.13
All 13 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-50.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+92.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+284.6%+$284.62
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$308.01
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$319.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-31.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.