Serie A · resolved market
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc92583ca6decc40c26edee16a2742d7a844977c1c2790757c736acc3727f369
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,093,988
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,093,988 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 535 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 49c | 147,901$72,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,471.42 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6a…5b18backed No | 52c | 98,992$51,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,574.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked No | 51c | 65,827$33,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,272.61 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 57,120$34,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,043.51 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab82…abe5backed Yes | 34c | 56,000$18,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,875.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…178dbacked No | 52c | 52,522$27,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,210.41 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 55c | 43,928$24,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,689.04 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 48c | 31,809$15,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,270.94 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8302…f88abacked Yes | 40c | 28,633$11,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,315.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +153.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 49c | 25,000$12,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,249.7 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 50c | 24,462$12,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,139.5 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 49c | 24,080$11,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,850.37 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked No | 51c | 21,574$11,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,571.26 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 48c | 16,224$7,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,787.52 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 29c | 15,030$4,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,318.44 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…5382backed Yes | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,350 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 48c | 13,921$6,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,682.04 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9707…1861backed No | 50c | 13,106$6,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,490.02 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed No | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,803.92 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 51c | 9,000$4,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,409.96 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 48c | 8,500$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,079.84 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 51c | 8,456$4,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,143.56 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 27c | 7,099$1,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,916.47 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 30c | 6,625$2,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016.9 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 49c | 6,119$2,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,998.5 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 50c | 6,012$2,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,021.09 | 205 | 44.9%92 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 23c | 5,666$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.13 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Yes | 48c | 5,161$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d04…7a5fbacked No | 52c | 5,075$2,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,436 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffec…7a8bbacked No | 55c | 4,964$2,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,220.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +109.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 67c | 4,798$3,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.5 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf05…291bbacked Yes | 25c | 4,500$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 72c | 4,394$3,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.44 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cca…6f28backed Yes | 39c | 4,359$1,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked No | 51c | 4,127$2,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,022.09 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 77c | 4,059$3,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.83 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed No | 51c | 3,400$1,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665.98 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed Yes | 38c | 3,092$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.81 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed No | 67c | 3,060$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.7 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 48c | 3,005$1,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.15 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 249 | 39.4%98 W · 151 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes | 27c | 2,777$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.78 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4922…34a7backed Yes | 19c | 2,405$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.32 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd8…5cdbbacked Yes | 38c | 2,272$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.17 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd0…3373backed Yes | 52c | 2,115$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 37c | 2,076$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.6 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 59c | 2,054$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.35 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…77f2backed No | 51c | 2,050$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be9…1442backed Yes | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…2719backed Yes | 49c | 2,032$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.03 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes | 49c | 2,026$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.45 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8907…a996backed Yes | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaed…580bbacked No | 51c | 1,960$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.46 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 68c | 1,733$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.09 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 38c | 1,595$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…453fbacked No | 52c | 1,557$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.96 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 46cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed No | 54c | 1,398$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.25 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9a…3f4bbacked No | 52c | 1,366$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.87 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3908…20eabacked Yes | 49c | 1,280$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 23c | 1,229$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 86 | 17.4%15 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Yes | 42c | 1,122$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.05 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Yes | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Yes | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…1f26backed Yes | 28c | 1,100$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 30cpaid | +92%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed Yes | 33c | 1,093$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x059f…0597backed Yes | 2c | 1,064$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Yes | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Yes | 43c | 1,031$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.49 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Yes | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Yes | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30e9…390ebacked Yes | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1263…fddcbacked Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.92 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 49c | 985.61$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.17 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d8…31cfbacked No | 72c | 955.98$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.68 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 50c | 946$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9184…6048backed Yes | 49c | 907.46$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.04 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd0…93acbacked Yes | 34c | 900$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…8282backed Yes | 29c | 898.24$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 47c | 894.62$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.53 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +6.4wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 33c | 884.62$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 129 | 20.2%26 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes | 47c | 849.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.83 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Yes | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 36c | 827.97$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 52c | 815.23$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.03 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 24c | 810$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.4 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6af…05c6backed Yes | 25c | 796.87$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3497…812bbacked Yes | 38c | 786.84$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes | 48c | 749.99$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Yes | 49c | 734.69$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Yes | 43c | 733.09$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.04 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 42c | 721.43$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 42c | 720.36$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…8a6bbacked Yes | 49c | 714.29$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 52c | 711.89$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.04 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 2c | 701.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed No | 52c | 700$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.48 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-08?this page
- Will Genoa CFC vs. AS Roma end in a draw?No won
- Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-03-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.