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Serie A · resolved market

Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-03-08?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$128,310
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$146,376

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,310 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes51c16,241$8,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,978.752,57545.6%1,174 W · 1,401 L+12.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8302…f88abacked Yes13c12,549$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,899.35333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+153.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No69c12,432$8,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,638.496942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed No79c10,000$7,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,899.97944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Yes21c8,578$1,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,776.321833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-33.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No79c8,000$6,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,32021258.5%124 W · 88 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed No79c6,000$4,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,739.93860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes76c5,522$4,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,318.6393252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Yes78c5,308$4,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,158.691172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No35c3,672$1,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,281.716838.1%64 W · 104 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes21c2,866$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,263.8999444.7%444 W · 550 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes21c2,632$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,078.9845547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30e9…390ebacked Yes79c2,000$1,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-57.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Yes20c1,774$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,422.424742.6%20 W · 27 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf8f7…1b4cbacked Yes21c1,200$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e8e…bc92backed No79c1,000$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No79c956.89$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.2940549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x670b…2c75backed No11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-39.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes61c885.86$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.9629962.5%187 W · 112 L+34.8wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa313…1f26backed Yes13c785.69$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.551747.1%8 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick30cpaid+92%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No78c747.34$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.9571150.1%356 W · 355 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4db9…14f5backed Yes17c735.29$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.291752.9%9 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.20per pick33cpaid+62.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No69c650$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.7620033%66 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x782b…ff64backed Yes13c650$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.5333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+156.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes21c628.57$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.576829.4%20 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick34cpaid0%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes21c613.16$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.416251.2%83 W · 79 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes27c604.25$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.994463.6%28 W · 16 L+6.4wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+22.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5ea8…b084backed Yes22c600.9$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.92948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No80c600$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.853026.7%8 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-51.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No78c573.44$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.1943355%238 W · 195 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8463…a509backed No79c549.99$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00a3…575cbacked Yes22c536.17$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.363754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d2a…9ee3backed No79c500$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3951233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-48.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa5bb…7466backed Yes22c500$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+54.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed No17c500$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855617.9%10 W · 46 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+10.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb8b9…7657backed No22c455.91$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes47c454.94$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.0651049.6%253 W · 257 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Yes73c443.19$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.193732.4%12 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2976…a6d2backed Yes22c426.35$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.553100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+149.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes19c404.27$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.7353438.8%207 W · 327 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed No80c400$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32013752.6%72 W · 65 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes26c400$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2962157.1%12 W · 9 L+5.9wins+0.28per pick29cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x9da7…a3f8backed Yes21c400$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.12100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+220.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes18c392$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.6512066.7%80 W · 40 L+11.1wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+13.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No79c391$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.8922348.4%108 W · 115 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No79c389.46$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.3726046.9%122 W · 138 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes21c380$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.233148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No79c379.37$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.738747.8%185 W · 202 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Yes65c369.19$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.514261.9%26 W · 16 L+5.2wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+29.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc519…5695backed Yes21c360.61$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.88250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67a0…33e9backed Yes21c352.36$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.362100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.69per pick32cpaid+257.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No79c352.36$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.3642647.9%204 W · 222 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e28…cf34backed Yes21c345$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.551833.3%6 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+28%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No23c344.95$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.867447.3%35 W · 39 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+25.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9bfc…fd26backed No79c341.28$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.912045%9 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed No69c325.35$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.245369.8%37 W · 16 L+6.7wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+27.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No79c323.98$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.9446147.3%218 W · 243 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Yes80c319.95$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.993759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No47c304.12$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.9824238.4%93 W · 149 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No78c300$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23421445.8%98 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes19c299.79$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.7911619%22 W · 94 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked No79c293.3$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.813638.9%14 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-27.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5329…e2f3backed No80c288.51$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.811070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No45c273.4$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.97236.1%26 W · 46 L-7.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-38.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb77e…2594backed Yes21c267.37$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.223100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+151.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8fdc…47a4backed Yes19c263.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.161225%3 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-34.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Yes19c258.79$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.622528%7 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb691…b39dbacked Yes39c255.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.191485.7%12 W · 2 L+3.9wins+0.28per pick58cpaid+46.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2097…8b03backed No79c251.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick77cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d4b…eedfbacked No75c242.67$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1821346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No78c236.67$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.626140.2%105 W · 156 L-13.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x26d3…8a20backed Yes67c233.47$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.982100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2931…edc0backed Yes16c229.99$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.19250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+212.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes21c222.38$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.386136.1%22 W · 39 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+35.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x33d3…0f8fbacked No42c219.05$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922040%8 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-37.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3798…c20ebacked No79c210.04$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.92536%9 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b18…0390backed No79c202.9$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.292540%10 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes54c201.63$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.457345.2%33 W · 40 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+24.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed No80c200$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1606959.4%41 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked No42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.813919.4%27 W · 112 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Yes23c172.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.634932.7%16 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-21.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3b14…4af0backed No79c171.67$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.62250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb8a…9806backed Yes52c170$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.832347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0780…b0e9backed Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.49650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9707…1861backed Yes20c167.73$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.181154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+44.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No41c159.16$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2624246.3%112 W · 130 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No28c155.13$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7613650.7%69 W · 67 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8df…e13ebacked No79c150.6$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.97333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yes21c150.01$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.169642.7%41 W · 55 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x16f9…6e9fbacked Yes79c148.81$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.09540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes27c147$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.7320431.4%64 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6058…1327backed Yes23c146$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.421957.9%11 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+37.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa33d…eabebacked No80c145.15$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick80cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb7c…82f2backed No21c142.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305933.9%20 W · 39 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bc9…a083backed No80c142.36$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed No80c137.98$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102268.2%15 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick71cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed No15c136.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014351%73 W · 70 L-10.8wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x61b2…d3c9backed Yes21c135$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.654158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No44c134.72$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2814347.6%68 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x742c…acc0backed No77c132.57$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.081233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-28.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.