TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7d4b…eedf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
155
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT2737%10 W · 17 L-5.7wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-14.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Premier League — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,697Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,697.37
Manchester City FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Norwich City FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.86
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,008
Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+85%+$297.44
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Norwich City FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Wrexham AFC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Oxford United FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.06
Oxford United FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Watford FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+748.6%+$89.83
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Port Vale FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+35.1%+$52.7
Sheffield United FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+78.6%+$74.64
Ipswich Town FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+72.4%+$50.69
Mansfield Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+117.4%+$17.61
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$13.48
FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$35
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$44.1
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$156
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$38.4
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$131.14
Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.82
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$124
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$56
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+50%+$49.98
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$22.31
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.6
Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.63
Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$19.7
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+61.3%+$91.94
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$55
All 17 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$73.15
FC Porto vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
FC Porto vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.47
SC Freiburg vs. KRC Genk: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+81.4%+$36.01
KRC Genk vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Ferencvárosi TC vs. SC Braga: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$64.29
Panathinaikós AO vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.99
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$73.95
KRC Genk vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Ferencvárosi TC vs. PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$18.41
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+108.3%+$108.33
SK Sigma Olomouc vs. FC Lausanne-Sport: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$50
SK Brann vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$312
GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. KRC Genk: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+33.3%+$50
All 17 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-22.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$198
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.71
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.48
FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.6
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.36
FC Barcelona vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$50.47
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$184.15
Girona FC vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+150%+$72
Athletic Club vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$30
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$149.8
Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$153.6
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+163.2%+$326.32
FC Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+38.9%+$11.67
Getafe CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 17 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$710Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$189.8
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$876Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+78.7%+$690.03
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$599Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$490.5
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$31.62
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,649Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$436.78
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.2
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+117.4%+$113.4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$64.5
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,056Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+90.7%+$956.98
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,870Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+29.5%+$846.19
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+156.4%+$237.9
Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$658Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+61.3%+$403.29
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 16 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Juventus FC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.75
AC Milan vs. Torino FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.55
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.57
Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)backed SSC Napoli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.52
Como 1907 vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$32.06
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$78.21
Udinese Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.37
AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.98
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$182
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+53.8%+$53.85
Udinese Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+38.9%+$58.24
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+51.5%+$51.52
All 13 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$97.6
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.7
VfL Wolfsburg vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+35.1%+$35.1
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$20
SV Darmstadt 98 vs. Holstein Kiel: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+40.8%+$20.3
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+33.3%+$33.33
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+104.1%+$104.08
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+33.6%+$50.4
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+49.3%+$49.25
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.83
Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.92
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$28.96
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$20.18
Knicks vs. Nets: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$12.5
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Thunder vs. Knicksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+63.9%+$127.23
Pelicans vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+58.1%+$174.18
Rockets vs. Heatbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$192
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+170.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+70.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Varvara Gracheva vs Rebecca Sramkovabacked Gracheva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+28.2%+$14.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$103.59
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+59.7%+$60.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+42.9%+$37.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Arouca vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$68.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$142.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Lerone Murphy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-03-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.