NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 226.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68d3817e35735d17f42a14690a1811a81a35f60ce8cfc2f835168d6d7a91ce1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $693,374
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $693,374 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 366 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 49c | 195,781$96,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96,049.27 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 50c | 96,561$48,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,293.61 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 51c | 95,413$49,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,374.92 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 49c | 65,278$32,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,253.94 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 60,873$29,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,681.95 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 52c | 60,012$31,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,854.8 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 35,398$17,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,387.1 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over | 51c | 32,155$16,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,755.95 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 51c | 30,000$15,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,700 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 49c | 25,863$12,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,786.82 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 51c | 25,204$12,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,345.75 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 51c | 17,709$8,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,955.15 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Over | 51c | 16,335$8,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,004.32 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 50c | 10,012$5,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,006.12 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb425…c80bbacked Under | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…b413backed Over | 51c | 9,236$4,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,525.63 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc920…7914backed Over | 49c | 9,176$4,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,673.3 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 48c | 7,500$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe998…ac26backed Under | 51c | 6,436$3,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,282.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae0b…404cbacked Over | 49c | 5,766$2,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…a863backed Over | 49c | 5,766$2,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb64a…7dc2backed Under | 51c | 5,654$2,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,883.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd795…f7e0backed Over | 49c | 5,598$2,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,854.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bee…0ca9backed Over | 49c | 5,577$2,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,844.27 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9890…b51bbacked Under | 51c | 5,560$2,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,835.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a3…e321backed Over | 75c | 5,518$4,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.41 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +237.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 5,286$2,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,643.69 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceb2…aff5backed Over | 49c | 5,222$2,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,663.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e0…13babacked Under | 51c | 5,216$2,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,660.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…eed7backed Over | 50c | 5,136$2,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,568 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x364a…98e7backed Over | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5e…bdc5backed Over | 49c | 4,758$2,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,426.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Over | 51c | 4,646$2,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,276.57 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x614e…f65abacked Under | 51c | 4,548$2,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,319.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Over | 49c | 4,041$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040.82 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4111…54a7backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.99 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 48c | 3,764$1,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,816.52 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 49c | 3,720$1,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,822.73 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 49c | 3,137$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.58 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 51c | 3,024$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.53 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.99 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d8…ce06backed Over | 48c | 2,989$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,554.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Over | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.18 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 51c | 2,919$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78c4…423cbacked Over | 48c | 2,915$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d4…d1e7backed Under | 52c | 2,879$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ce…f9cfbacked Under | 52c | 2,845$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c34…10d3backed Over | 48c | 2,832$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf76a…2a5ebacked Under | 52c | 2,807$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96e5…37a1backed Under | 52c | 2,796$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…8453backed Under | 52c | 2,668$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb63f…94f8backed Over | 48c | 2,614$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b9…f7d8backed Over | 48c | 2,605$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Over | 51c | 2,600$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Under | 49c | 2,600$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x298a…545dbacked Over | 48c | 2,598$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Over | 50c | 2,568$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…3b03backed Under | 52c | 2,558$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 51c | 2,461$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.66 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a9…54f7backed Under | 52c | 2,433$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4129…3df9backed Under | 52c | 2,402$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a41…f555backed Over | 48c | 2,363$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5132…af03backed Under | 52c | 2,332$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd618…889bbacked Under | 51c | 2,325$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fc…bd33backed Over | 49c | 2,306$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa478…b871backed Under | 52c | 2,302$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d87…4913backed Under | 51c | 2,277$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f6…03a1backed Under | 51c | 2,236$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae3…e69abacked Over | 49c | 2,190$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 50c | 2,183$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.66 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1404…f314backed Over | 49c | 2,172$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…dc47backed Under | 52c | 2,156$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad05…7528backed Over | 48c | 2,155$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6229…4f4abacked Over | 48c | 2,136$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8931…b15bbacked Over | 49c | 2,132$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…ba12backed Over | 48c | 2,120$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Over | 49c | 2,112$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.14 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 48c | 2,048$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.04 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Under | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f1…5b9fbacked Over | 48c | 2,040$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5698…8706backed Over | 49c | 2,030$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344a…7af8backed Under | 51c | 2,022$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ab…94d4backed Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.97 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…93d0backed Under | 52c | 1,966$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae3c…5652backed Under | 51c | 1,956$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…9f9cbacked Under | 52c | 1,956$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae1…d693backed Under | 52c | 1,859$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa283…268dbacked Over | 48c | 1,856$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d62…bcdcbacked Over | 48c | 1,834$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfea4…19e1backed Over | 48c | 1,802$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac34…320ebacked Under | 52c | 1,801$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.52 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 51c | 1,800$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0856…44c4backed Under | 51c | 1,766$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed7…8051backed Over | 48c | 1,766$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40b5…6723backed Over | 49c | 1,752$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f3…9be5backed Under | 52c | 1,722$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…3643backed Over | 48c | 1,710$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 226.5this page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Hornets won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Magic vs. HornetsHornets won
- Magic vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Magic vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 224.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 225.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 227.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 234.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 236.5Over won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Spread: Hornets (-15.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-4.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-5.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-6.5)Hornets won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.