NBA · resolved market
Spread: Hornets (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x991228527487909d8cf9eecd9a02e44c70b250fa734a1fc06c2718397cf43512
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof Hornets, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,086
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,086 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Magic | 47c | 7,486$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6734…2e18backed Magic | 47c | 6,685$3,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,141.86 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd859…68efbacked Magic | 46c | 6,258$2,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,878.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…36edbacked Magic | 46c | 5,888$2,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,708.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x093a…3ed3backed Magic | 46c | 5,606$2,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,578.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee6…6366backed Magic | 46c | 5,546$2,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,551.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0324…1d5abacked Hornets | 54c | 5,460$2,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,511.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f30…3904backed Magic | 46c | 5,184$2,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,384.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc829…37f3backed Hornets | 54c | 5,122$2,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,356.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda90…1cf0backed Hornets | 54c | 5,018$2,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,308.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb220…df7ebacked Magic | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd272…6196backed Hornets | 54c | 4,794$2,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,205.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0a…e24fbacked Hornets | 54c | 4,716$2,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,169.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Hornets | 53c | 4,626$2,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,171.06 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc63…1775backed Hornets | 54c | 4,454$2,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,048.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Magic | 45c | 4,348$1,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,963.45 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81ac…2693backed Magic | 46c | 4,298$1,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,977.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Hornets | 55c | 3,411$1,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.01 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a86…9777backed Hornets | 54c | 3,216$1,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hornets | 52c | 3,155$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.73 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Magic | 50c | 2,345$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.31 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Hornets | 56c | 2,023$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.12 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d10…541abacked Hornets | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc42…18bfbacked Hornets | 54c | 1,875$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +99%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47b2…dab3backed Hornets | 54c | 1,825$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +99%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…0999backed Hornets | 53c | 1,625$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.75 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b5…2849backed Hornets | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6700…1b0bbacked Hornets | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Magic | 44c | 1,050$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.17 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Hornets | 54c | 1,031$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.59 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Hornets | 51c | 999.98$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.99 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Hornets | 54c | 999.96$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.98 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Hornets | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Magic | 47c | 887$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.02 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e25dbacked Magic | 56c | 759.84$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.51 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -8.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Hornets | 55c | 550$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Magic | 44c | 525.32$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.14 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Magic | 45c | 516.83$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.57 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4e…7c67backed Magic | 46c | 340$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd795…f7e0backed Magic | 46c | 330$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4811…fd1cbacked Magic | 46c | 320$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x614e…f65abacked Magic | 46c | 310$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…f833backed Magic | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…a863backed Magic | 46c | 290$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae0b…404cbacked Magic | 46c | 280$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe998…ac26backed Magic | 46c | 270$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb64a…7dc2backed Magic | 46c | 260$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9890…b51bbacked Magic | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…697abacked Hornets | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 206 | 50%103 W · 103 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5e…bdc5backed Magic | 46c | 240$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceb2…aff5backed Magic | 46c | 230$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf824…651fbacked Hornets | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.22 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Hornets | 53c | 211.72$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.87 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Magic | 47c | 210.07$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…9a2bbacked Hornets | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a43…3898backed Hornets | 55c | 183.64$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.64 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Hornets | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 470 | 48.5%228 W · 242 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Hornets | 43c | 153.33$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.38 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…1647backed Magic | 46c | 145$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 46c | 135.02$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e0…13babacked Magic | 46c | 135$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Magic | 47c | 125$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 223 | 36.8%82 W · 141 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Magic | 46c | 114.64$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.96 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Magic | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Hornets | 55c | 105.82$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.79 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Magic | 49c | 101.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 360 | 45%162 W · 198 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Hornets | 53c | 95.88$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.06 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Magic | 47c | 94.34$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.34 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Hornets | 55c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 375 | 49.6%186 W · 189 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Magic | 45c | 66.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Magic | 45c | 65.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc816…7a20backed Hornets | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dab…dc59backed Hornets | 54c | 62.85$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee87…28edbacked Hornets | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaed5…981dbacked Hornets | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Magic | 51c | 52.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 296 | 45.6%135 W · 161 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Magic | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Magic | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcd…f802backed Hornets | 54c | 48.89$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Magic | 50c | 48.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Magic | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Hornets | 53c | 41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b6…0da7backed Magic | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1be5…9d53backed Magic | 49c | 40.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Magic | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Magic | 48c | 38.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Hornets | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 408 | 53.7%219 W · 189 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53d…b31bbacked Hornets | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Hornets | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x323c…2fa4backed Hornets | 52c | 33.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Hornets | 55c | 30.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 548 | 54.2%297 W · 251 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ae…78b3backed Magic | 45c | 30.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef9…0e82backed Magic | 51c | 29.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ab…2c2fbacked Hornets | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Magic | 49c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Hornets | 55c | 23.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 326 | 54.3%177 W · 149 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16a0…0dc5backed Magic | 45c | 23.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5946…027bbacked Hornets | 56c | 23.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Hornets | 52c | 22.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Hornets | 54c | 20.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hornets (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Hornets won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Magic vs. HornetsHornets won
- Magic vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Magic vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 224.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 225.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 226.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 227.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 234.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 236.5Over won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Spread: Hornets (-15.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-5.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-6.5)Hornets won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.