NBA · resolved market
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4df7a1c0a909256860d89df934f1781bdf448d0112578c5d6dc29342c528dde2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof Hornets, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,362,264
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,362,264 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 338 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Hornets | 53c | 1,213,547$641,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572,136.63 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Magic | 47c | 615,334$289,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289,633.59 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Hornets | 51c | 403,355$205,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197,643.75 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Magic | 49c | 388,190$190,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190,213.34 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Magic | 48c | 283,776$135,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135,549.61 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Magic | 48c | 114,309$54,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,903.41 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3d…3165backed Magic | 47c | 71,450$33,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,684.67 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -6.7wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Hornets | 51c | 48,284$24,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,524.69 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 47c | 41,673$19,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,655.11 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Magic | 48c | 31,416$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,999.9 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Magic | 49c | 27,928$13,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,585.83 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Magic | 48c | 21,696$10,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,413.93 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Magic | 48c | 20,000$9,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,524.45 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…8254backed Hornets | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Hornets | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,799.98 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Magic | 49c | 17,026$8,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,347.61 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Hornets | 51c | 16,940$8,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,232.71 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Hornets | 53c | 13,692$7,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,425.66 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hornets | 72c | 12,453$8,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,485.57 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Hornets | 53c | 11,495$6,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,402.23 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Magic | 47c | 10,641$5,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,045.3 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Magic | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e7…52cabacked Magic | 49c | 9,898$4,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,850 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Magic | 48c | 9,350$4,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,492.8 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…ead2backed Magic | 54c | 8,734$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Magic | 48c | 8,417$4,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,040 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Magic | 48c | 8,375$3,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,998.73 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…eed7backed Magic | 48c | 7,706$3,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,698.88 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Magic | 48c | 6,455$3,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,067.1 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Magic | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a8…5506backed Magic | 48c | 5,775$2,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,772 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Magic | 47c | 5,756$2,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,710.75 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Magic | 49c | 5,001$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450.49 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Hornets | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.81 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…26e9backed Hornets | 50c | 4,822$2,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,411 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a9…f7d7backed Magic | 50c | 4,800$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Hornets | 53c | 4,754$2,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,236.22 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc540…f7e5backed Magic | 48c | 4,688$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Magic | 48c | 4,678$2,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,237.19 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1652…edf4backed Hornets | 50c | 4,400$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Magic | 48c | 4,070$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,953.6 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Magic | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x562f…efb5backed Hornets | 50c | 3,855$1,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,927.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16e1…49bbbacked Hornets | 50c | 3,811$1,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,905.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Magic | 48c | 3,673$1,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,763 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd812…9694backed Magic | 50c | 3,388$1,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,694 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d3…b488backed Hornets | 50c | 3,366$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,683 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7a…8dd0backed Hornets | 50c | 3,152$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Magic | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2963…9cf9backed Hornets | 49c | 2,683$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad6…5157backed Hornets | 50c | 2,659$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Magic | 49c | 2,641$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.26 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Magic | 48c | 2,556$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.04 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x472d…0b80backed Magic | 51c | 2,550$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…a653backed Magic | 51c | 2,501$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x739b…9324backed Magic | 50c | 2,479$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4765…7b48backed Hornets | 50c | 2,463$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69b8…0f63backed Hornets | 49c | 2,454$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4dc…ae0dbacked Hornets | 50c | 2,431$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8798…5426backed Hornets | 49c | 2,420$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x915a…1148backed Hornets | 49c | 2,412$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd8…a84fbacked Magic | 51c | 2,388$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Magic | 48c | 2,388$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bef…601bbacked Magic | 51c | 2,368$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb134…0da7backed Hornets | 49c | 2,366$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b61…d74cbacked Magic | 50c | 2,317$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dde…bcfcbacked Hornets | 49c | 2,282$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb144…e6b4backed Magic | 50c | 2,280$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc8…96bdbacked Magic | 50c | 2,230$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfe…8dc0backed Magic | 51c | 2,222$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b5…3076backed Hornets | 50c | 2,206$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f95…0756backed Magic | 50c | 2,204$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Hornets | 51c | 2,202$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.01 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…6ad2backed Magic | 51c | 2,201$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20fb…2ad5backed Hornets | 49c | 2,188$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…b9f7backed Magic | 51c | 2,185$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f2…f87abacked Magic | 50c | 2,155$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb50…20e5backed Hornets | 49c | 2,153$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x152b…5bf1backed Magic | 50c | 2,142$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e96…dc07backed Magic | 51c | 2,100$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42e7…fd6ebacked Hornets | 49c | 2,099$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Magic | 54c | 2,087$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.77 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…3c86backed Magic | 50c | 2,076$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa5…9f28backed Hornets | 49c | 2,070$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc77e…8f14backed Magic | 51c | 2,068$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa43a…a762backed Magic | 51c | 2,061$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Magic | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…8badbacked Hornets | 49c | 2,030$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Magic | 49c | 2,008$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5f…087abacked Hornets | 49c | 2,004$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf604…abfabacked Magic | 50c | 2,001$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2a…cba8backed Magic | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcb…3aeebacked Hornets | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab64…333bbacked Magic | 50c | 1,999$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f5…9ea3backed Hornets | 50c | 1,990$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb02…cee6backed Magic | 50c | 1,981$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf31…c465backed Magic | 50c | 1,948$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3a…e9e6backed Magic | 50c | 1,933$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…afa6backed Hornets | 70c | 1,916$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.86 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6367…8d56backed Hornets | 50c | 1,895$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hornets (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Hornets won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Magic vs. HornetsHornets won
- Magic vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Magic vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 224.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 225.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 226.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 227.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 234.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 236.5Over won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Spread: Hornets (-15.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-4.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-6.5)Hornets won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.