NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Hornets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x532cabed36cad1b584ff8c7a2d135c38429932498f3736c52c6b27eacfb81cb2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof Magic, Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,551,598
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,551,598 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,293 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Hornets | 67c | 158,316$106,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,244.42 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa491…3177backed Magic | 33c | 100,000$33,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,999.94 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Magic | 33c | 88,755$29,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,007.7 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd95…03bfbacked Magic | 24c | 88,426$21,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,046.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Hornets | 67c | 74,626$49,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,626.58 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Magic | 33c | 40,000$13,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,200 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Magic | 31c | 38,712$11,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,957.88 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2580…1d56backed Magic | 33c | 38,306$12,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,641.01 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Magic | 22c | 32,345$7,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,151.02 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…2dabbacked Magic | 7c | 30,182$2,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,005.38 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Hornets | 66c | 30,063$19,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,121.72 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19f7…d6d8backed Magic | 34c | 28,360$9,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,642.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Magic | 25c | 22,565$5,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,543.19 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…e17dbacked Magic | 34c | 20,200$6,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,868 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76ab…506dbacked Hornets | 66c | 20,200$13,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,867.93 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Magic | 25c | 18,759$4,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,753.85 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…9a9bbacked Magic | 33c | 18,182$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000.06 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Magic | 15c | 17,969$2,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,776.7 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…5068backed Hornets | 66c | 16,712$11,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,682.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Hornets | 67c | 15,052$10,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,967.27 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Hornets | 67c | 14,845$9,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,949.66 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Magic | 47c | 13,617$6,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,370.36 | 263 | 53.6%141 W · 122 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Magic | 35c | 13,609$4,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,815.84 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Hornets | 63c | 13,500$8,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,995 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Hornets | 63c | 13,500$8,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,994.98 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Magic | 40c | 13,446$5,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,420.78 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Hornets | 64c | 12,847$8,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,624.92 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Magic | 36c | 12,679$4,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,501.65 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Magic | 36c | 12,398$4,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,418.21 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d1…553ebacked Hornets | 65c | 12,300$8,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,273.42 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7792…b63bbacked Magic | 34c | 12,300$4,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,182 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Hornets | 53c | 11,070$5,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,213.77 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…aaf9backed Magic | 33c | 11,000$3,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,630 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Magic | 34c | 11,000$3,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,735.17 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…285dbacked Magic | 33c | 10,705$3,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,532.78 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Magic | 33c | 10,584$3,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,471.39 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Hornets | 71c | 10,259$7,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,010.77 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Hornets | 72c | 9,900$7,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,762.2 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Magic | 39c | 9,575$3,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,777.95 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Magic | 34c | 8,800$2,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,995.95 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9615…60ddbacked Magic | 14c | 8,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3915…35cebacked Hornets | 66c | 7,727$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,627.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Magic | 38c | 7,603$2,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,923.52 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Magic | 34c | 7,500$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Magic | 35c | 7,500$2,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,614.95 | 613 | 36.1%221 W · 392 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd15a…80dbbacked Hornets | 75c | 7,200$5,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,797.54 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 30c | 6,933$2,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,083.68 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…f4d6backed Hornets | 63c | 6,855$4,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,567.42 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…6bc7backed Hornets | 68c | 6,677$4,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,136.65 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Magic | 34c | 6,666$2,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,266.44 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Hornets | 68c | 6,560$4,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,084.86 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb961…66c7backed Magic | 1c | 6,474$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.68 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 30c | 6,381$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,908.08 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Magic | 42c | 6,234$2,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,591.62 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Magic | 34c | 6,136$2,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,081.46 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf54e…0950backed Magic | 35c | 6,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Hornets | 68c | 5,883$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,882.52 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Hornets | 67c | 5,842$3,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,928 | 272 | 41.9%114 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d2…796ebacked Magic | 38c | 5,695$2,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,164.18 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Magic | 36c | 5,519$1,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,986.84 | 377 | 55.2%208 W · 169 L | +23.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Magic | 36c | 5,500$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5b…8e29backed Hornets | 68c | 5,443$3,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,741.75 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Magic | 34c | 5,390$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,832.6 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2c…097cbacked Hornets | 66c | 5,050$3,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34c6…3637backed Magic | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Hornets | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.99 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Magic | 7c | 4,861$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.11 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Magic | 7c | 4,773$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.26 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Magic | 44c | 4,720$2,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,074.21 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Magic | 30c | 4,691$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.91 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Magic | 29c | 4,634$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.93 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aec…b4cebacked Magic | 33c | 4,545$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x649e…50f0backed Hornets | 66c | 4,543$2,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544.62 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1acc…8fe0backed Magic | 37c | 4,529$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675.8 | 180 | 43.9%79 W · 101 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…a495backed Hornets | 66c | 4,500$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4870…85f7backed Magic | 36c | 4,500$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0441…b3aabacked Hornets | 64c | 4,500$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.97 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Magic | 12c | 4,273$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.24 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…b299backed Magic | 33c | 4,142$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a9…d871backed Magic | 34c | 4,117$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f50…3191backed Hornets | 66c | 4,100$2,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Magic | 40c | 4,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff5b…c583backed Magic | 34c | 4,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 208 | 47.6%99 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8c…c7b4backed Hornets | 63c | 3,968$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.25 | 356 | 50%178 W · 178 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ad…4ea9backed Hornets | 65c | 3,857$2,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd1…e532backed Magic | 11c | 3,762$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Magic | 19c | 3,737$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.12 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Magic | 34c | 3,645$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.01 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Magic | 1c | 3,583$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.83 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Magic | 37c | 3,545$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.11 | 308 | 40.9%126 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Magic | 36c | 3,515$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.45 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Magic | 34c | 3,509$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.1 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03e7…0609backed Magic | 34c | 3,500$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Magic | 33c | 3,456$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.52 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Magic | 35c | 3,402$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 626 | 52.2%327 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Hornets | 68c | 3,309$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.98 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Hornets | 67c | 3,211$2,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.79 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea21…99ddbacked Hornets | 65c | 3,060$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.06 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Hornets | 68c | 3,059$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.93 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Magic | 33c | 3,050$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Hornetsthis page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Hornets won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Magic vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Magic vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 224.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 225.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 226.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 227.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 234.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 236.5Over won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Spread: Hornets (-15.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-4.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-5.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-6.5)Hornets won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.