NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d712be111e1f4bd78ca316456589614ac0a7e49072944d7ff62a8eda8b684e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $155,896
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,896 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 50c | 26,342$13,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,171.22 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 25,529$12,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,310.74 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 50c | 25,346$12,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,654.51 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 17,685$8,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,380.36 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 53c | 11,823$6,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,556.73 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over | 53c | 7,909$4,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,717.23 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 50c | 6,235$3,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,117.61 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Over | 52c | 5,865$3,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,815.73 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 50c | 5,166$2,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,583 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Over | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 53c | 3,016$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.36 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc7…0602backed Over | 55c | 3,011$1,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.16 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8003…4d8dbacked Under | 49c | 2,542$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9db…bc96backed Over | 52c | 2,505$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 51c | 2,500$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c11…a1f7backed Under | 48c | 2,427$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…d2c7backed Under | 48c | 2,396$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba7…4133backed Over | 52c | 2,369$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf9…8138backed Under | 49c | 2,220$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 47c | 2,206$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.01 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1120…cd0dbacked Under | 48c | 2,204$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb629…ae8abacked Under | 48c | 2,188$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a2…51bdbacked Over | 52c | 2,166$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2372…8852backed Under | 48c | 2,138$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…17a7backed Over | 51c | 2,066$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccc9…4aacbacked Over | 51c | 2,055$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a0…a003backed Over | 51c | 2,045$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 48c | 2,010$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.66 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x658d…77fdbacked Under | 50c | 1,998$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…a1c7backed Under | 49c | 1,966$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Over | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f19…d3ddbacked Over | 51c | 1,902$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…f6fdbacked Over | 51c | 1,901$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…e39abacked Under | 48c | 1,888$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78a9…46f5backed Under | 48c | 1,886$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba4…2336backed Over | 52c | 1,877$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6506…c87fbacked Under | 48c | 1,850$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bee…0ca9backed Over | 49c | 1,818$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.18 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a3…1082backed Over | 52c | 1,802$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2aa…c6ffbacked Under | 49c | 1,784$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd39c…d8ffbacked Over | 52c | 1,755$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…e4aebacked Over | 52c | 1,750$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd5…5ef0backed Over | 52c | 1,602$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 52c | 1,564$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1138…4c0bbacked Over | 52c | 1,502$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Over | 50c | 1,498$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.15 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Over | 50c | 1,485$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.3 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06ef…0a5cbacked Over | 52c | 1,466$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcade…5c29backed Under | 49c | 1,462$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Over | 51c | 1,249$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.02 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 54c | 1,063$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.25 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 47c | 1,050$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.5 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Under | 47c | 1,050$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.5 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Over | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 172 | 46.5%80 W · 92 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc01e…c9cfbacked Over | 51c | 975$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x052a…7808backed Under | 49c | 970$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…ebf6backed Over | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 53c | 890.28$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.43 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 53c | 856.23$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.43 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Over | 53c | 836.38$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.1 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 47c | 730.83$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.49 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 53c | 707.55$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.55 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Over | 52c | 694.83$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.52 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Over | 53c | 567$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.49 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 18c | 513.41$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.41 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 53c | 498.66$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.37 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 53c | 489.66$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.14 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 11c | 413.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.44 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Over | 53c | 364.47$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.3 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Under | 47c | 277.34$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.91 | 234 | 46.2%108 W · 126 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 53c | 249.39$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.21 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Over | 53c | 236.45$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.13 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Under | 46c | 231.85$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.65 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x362a…8683backed Under | 47c | 223.4$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 53c | 213.21$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.21 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Under | 47c | 208$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.76 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Over | 53c | 208$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.76 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…9153backed Under | 46c | 192.61$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.6 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…fd8fbacked Under | 47c | 190.43$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.5 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 49c | 189.31$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.14 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…f1fcbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 190 | 54.7%104 W · 86 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…3fe7backed Over | 53c | 181.82$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.46 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85cf…fc08backed Over | 52c | 180$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 51c | 175.74$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.91 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Over | 53c | 161.22$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.77 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Over | 54c | 156.97$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.2 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 46c | 150.15$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.07 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked Under | 47c | 140$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb81f…2fd6backed Under | 48c | 140$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97d3…d8ecbacked Under | 48c | 140$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Over | 53c | 131.32$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.72 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0383…079cbacked Over | 52c | 130$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…39e2backed Under | 46c | 126$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb3…9487backed Over | 52c | 122$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 225.5this page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Hornets won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Magic vs. HornetsHornets won
- Magic vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Magic vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 224.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 226.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 227.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 234.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 236.5Over won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Spread: Hornets (-15.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-4.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-5.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-6.5)Hornets won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.