TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7656…fd8f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
113
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 58 out of 100; worst NHL at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT4434.1%15 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-29.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.39
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+55.9%+$54.71
Bucks vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+150%+$69.41
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.05
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$119.06
Pelicans vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$51.62
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$193
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Nets vs. Warriorsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Bucks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Bulls vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$114.19
Bucks vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$42.85
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$89.54
Spurs vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Pacers vs. Magic: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$27.41
Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Cavaliers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.2
Knicks vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.5
Hawks vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.8
Suns vs. Celticsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Warriors vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Nets vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT3369.7%23 W · 10 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+21.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will CSyD Macará win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will CD Coquimbo Unido win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+68.7%+$13.26
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$12.83
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-08-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$12.94
Will SC Internacional win on 2026-08-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$40.86
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$10.5
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.72
Will Santos FC win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$9.14
CA Rosario Central vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$37.12
Will Santos FC vs. CSyD Macará end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$8.75
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-08-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$14
Will CA Platense win on 2026-08-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$23.06
Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-08-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$5.96
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-07-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$25.85
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-07-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$32.44
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-07-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-07-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Santos FC win on 2026-07-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-07-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.48
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2070%14 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+73.2%+$10.24
France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$89.09
France vs. Spain: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$66.43
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$126.07
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+131.2%+$53.8
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
France vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$91.33
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$39.6
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$54.18
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.64
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.67
Jordan vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$76.84
Panama vs. England: Panama O/U 1.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$40.23
Norway vs. France: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$118
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)backed Tunisia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$127.96
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Netherlands 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
France vs. Iraq: France 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$35.47
France vs. Iraq: France 2nd Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$43.5
All 20 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-38.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-31.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Texas Longhornsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$43.69
California Baptist Lancers vs. Utah Valley Wolverinesbacked Utah Valley Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+36.8%+$10.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blues vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Kraken vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BK Hacken win on 2026-07-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$33.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$8.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Deer Gaming vs DMG Esports (BO3) - NLC Playoffsbacked DMG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-08-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Basquet Club Andorra vs. Bilbao Basketbacked Basquet Club Andorra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$32
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.